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Everything posted by Aristis
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
I'm not Industrious but I'm answering It really should: It had 3 very good holds in a row now (+6%, -14%, -16%) It is only 115k behind after 40k weekend and 30k midweek There is still more holiday -
12.10 - 16.10 1 442.886 -35 1.197.870 2 Miss Peregrine's 2 367.403 --- 367.403 1 L'Odyssée 3 349.417 -30 1.949.985 3 Radin! 4 347.052 -34 979.352 2 Bridget Jones's Baby 5 187.113 --- 187.113 1 Storks 6 148.955 --- 148.955 1 Deepwater Horizon 7 90.313 --- 90.313 1 Captain Fantastic 8 83.414 -40 539.915 3 M7 9 76.212 -35 880.050 4 It's only the end of the world 10 70.605 -32 195.339 2 Don't Breathe Yearly: 1 4.841.220 Zoomania 2 4.619.638 Les Tuche 2 - Le reve américain 3 3.783.833 The Revenant 4 3.735.249 Deadpool 5 3.715.697 The Jungle Book 6 3.479.803 Pets 7 3.438.445 Ice Age 5 8 3.331.932 Dory 9 3.211.234 Camping 3 10 2.983.623 Civil War
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Could Pets still reach Zoo? If it has 50k again this week there are probably less than 125k missing... -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
2nd Trend: Inferno 425k Dory 425k (-26%) Miss Peregrine's 160k (-22%/-27%) Bad Moms 120k (-27%) Sausage Party 80k (-39%/-51%) Verrückt nach Fixi 60k Pets 50k (+/-0%) Blair Witch 40k (-44%) Tschick 37,5k (-26%) War Dogs 37,5k (-36%) Snowden 25k (-48%) M7 25k (-57%) SMS für dich 25k (-48%) Weather was good today - I don't know if those holds hold. But I'm hoping -
5.10-9.10 1 676.959 --- 676.959 1 Miss Peregrine's 2 524.976 --- 524.976 1 Bridget Jones's Baby 3 502.368 -42 1.505.077 2 Radin! 4 140.168 -43 427.752 2 M7 5 117.015 -43 772.542 3 It's only the end of the world 6 104.440 --- 104.440 1 Don't Breathe 7 100.461 --- 100.461 1 Chouf 8 70.048 --- 70.048 1 Le Ciel Attendra 9 63.625 -45 433.527 3 Cézanne et moi 10 50.901 -52 303.297 3 Kubo http://www.insidekino.de/BO/F2016.htm
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DC is doing great here!
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
So about 35% drop for Dory. Not that great... But that's great for Mrs. Peregrine's! Could play well over the holidays -
FINDING DORY | 542.3 M overseas ● 1028.6 M worldwide
Aristis replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
I think Dory will pass Zoo. It does need only $20M more - and it could do that in Germany alone. But we'll se. -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
So they believe in 650k and 2M on Sunday (which would only be -26%) This will play good over the holidays This has to hold really bad not to reach 4M... -
21.09 - 25.09 1 320.770 --- 320.770 1 It’s Only the End of the World 2 171.530 --- 171.530 1 Cézanne et moi 3 130.667 --- 130.667 1 Kubo 4 127.985 -40 388.311 2 Victoria 5 112.493 -43 344.283 2 War Dogs 6 92.067 --- 92.067 1 Blair Witch 7 75.375 -37 389.657 3 Frantz 8 69.864 -39 3.356.791 9 Pets 9 64.218 -28 479.903 4 The Mechanic 2 10 58.138 -47 372.081 3 Ben Hur 28.09 - 02.10 1 868.725 --- 868.725 1 Radin! 2 247.815 --- 247.815 1 Die glorreichen Sieben 3 206.250 -36 611.281 2 It’s Only the End of the World 4 115.772 -33 339.864 2 Cézanne et moi 5 105.017 -20 247.126 2 Kubo 6 86.329 -33 503.621 3 Victoria 7 72.473 --- 72.473 1 Die Tänzerin 8 71.019 +2 3.429.884 10 Pets 9 68.579 -39 432.899 3 War Dogs 10 61.165 -19 475.143 4 Frantz Year so far: 1 4.838.892 Zoomania 2 4.618.681 Les Tuche 2 - Le reve américain 3 3.783.833 The Revenant - Der Rückkehrer 4 3.735.249 Deadpool 5 3.710.630 The Jungle Book 6 3.429.884 Pets 7 3.418.670 Ice Age 5 8 3.328.232 Dory 9 3.211.234 Camping 3 10 2.982.625 The First Avenger - Civil War
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
So it wasn't too frontloaded but many went to see it on Monday? Edit: 350k is better than any film did over this weekend! -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Dorie 875 Moms 230 +21% G7 120 -2% SMS 100 -6% War Dogs 100/105 Purge III 90 -17% Snowden 75 +7% Nerve 72,5 -17% Tschick 70 +1% Pets 57,5 +6% Don't Breathe 50 -14% Frantz 25 Conni 25 +11% Squad 20 -30% Pets increased too - even if it faced Dory. It's a pity that this weekend is so good but is down compared to 2015 But today seems to be great - I read that some family movies made as much as for the entire weekend (Pete's dragon for example) I wonder how much Dory makes... -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Great for holdovers, still good for Dory. Will have holidays to push its multipler. -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
No, it's just the weekend -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
2nd Trend Dory 1M Bad Moms 210k (+10%/-20%) M7 110k (-10%) SMS 100k (-6%) War Dogs 90k The Purge 75k (-31%) Tschick 75k (+9%) Snowden 60k (-14%/-32%) Nerve 55k (-39%) Don't Breathe 40k (-31%) Pets 40k (-26%) Great drops! Great for Dory and really bad weather here -
FINDING DORY | 542.3 M overseas ● 1028.6 M worldwide
Aristis replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Could be tough. For now maybe $9M from Germany. It made $5M last week - but Italy will have a harsh drop... -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
I did not find a list so I made this one. I think I have the biggest Openers though. Rank Admissions Cinemas Average Year Movie 1 2.395.588 1.061 2.258 2006 Ice Age 2 (FOX) 2 2.032.136 1.004 2.024 2003 Nemo (BV) 3 1.670.397 754 2.215 2007 The Simpsons Movie (FOX) 4 1.475.967 841 1.755 2008 Madagascar 2 (U) 5 1.465.302 794 1.845 2002 Ice Age (FOX) 6 1.457.891 861 1.693 2009 Ice Age 3 (FOX) 7 1.273.707 888 1.434 2004 Shrek 2 (UIP) 8 1.226.475 834 1.471 2005 Madagascar (UIP) 9 1.106.059 820 1.349 2012 Ice Age 4 (FOX) 10 1.086.897 633 1.717 1996 Werner - Das muß kesseln (NCO) 11 1.049.479 712 1.474 2000 Pokemon (WB) 12 1.004.885 861 1.167 2007 Shrek 3 (U) 13 1.000.000 762 1.312 2016 Dory (BV) 14 983.777 258 3.813 1994 The Lion King (FOX) Source: http://www.insidekino.de/DJahr/DBOStartrekord.htm -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Maybe he already included the weather in his estimates? I really hope it doesn't disappoint again and turns out to be better than expected... -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
1 Trend: InsideKino really predicts 1M first weekend for Dory!!! That's great and with probably bad weather ahead - and if it's not frontloaded - I think that's reasonable. I'm happy 1M would be - by far - the best start of the year and the Million Opener among Animation since 2012 (IceAge4) Bad Moms 175k (-8%/-34%) Mag7 110k (-10%) SMS 100k (-6%) War Dogs 80k -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Saturday, Sunday are predicted to have bad weather, Monday is a Holiday and it seems that there are some good early numbers. Then Dory will be the only family movie in the Autumn-Holidays - I'm really faithfull now -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
2.032.136, 9th best OW of all time, second best for an animation (after Ice Age 2) - big footprints -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Dory is a hard one to predict. I would be OK with every weekend that is the biggest OW 2016. A 1M OW would be great but is probably too much to ask. Whatever, I'm looking forward -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Dory should at least become the biggest OW this year. This year is a bit boring yet... No big Openers, no big movies. Deadpool will fall, I'm sure (If the weather doesn't turn out to be great) 1 713.887 523 1.365 Deadpool But if Dory, FB and RO all disappoint - could this year end without any 6M+ movie??? The last time that happened was 2010, before that 1992, so that's clearly a rare phenomenon. -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
2nd Trend: Bad Moms 260k Magnificent Seven 140k SMS 140k (-20%/-34%) Purge 120k (-45%/-48%) Snowden 90k Nerve 90k (-43%) Tschick 90k (-27%) Don't Breathe 65k (-38%) Pets 45k (-66%) Suicide Squad 32,5k (-56%) Many movies are down, only Bad Moms and The Purge increased. Weather is great, so that was expectable. It's obvious now that Pets won't pass Zoo, with Dory arriving next week it could fall hard again. It could end near 3.6M - with bad weather in the next weeks it could top that by far though. Suicide Squad will have passed BvS by Sunday (1.535M). InsideKino predicts 750k for the first weekend and more than 4M in total now, one week before the release of Dory. Weather doesn't seem to be that bad (about 20°, probably without rain) but without real competition for a few weeks it should at least do OK. I can't imagine Dory to have any trouble becoming the third Billionaire this year.