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Everything posted by Aristis
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Great work! A few things: Are you going to include the fourth Hunger Games movie? Is it possible to include local currency in the growth statistics of the markets? ($ seems to change things in that case) But only if it's not to much With 171M admissions there isn't at least one admission per person per year yet (so probably still much potentail for growing), but: Do you (or anybody else) know if moviegoing is affordable for many Brazilians?
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
I didn't even think of $1B for this. There is too much against it. It would need to make $850M to $900M OS (probably rather the latter one) to get to $1B. With falling exchange rates that is impossible. -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Well, as for Ice Age I would say 2M are still possible. 3M would need to have a multipler of 7 already, so... Could be down more than 70% in admissions in the end! (If it reaches 2M) But most of the Ice Age movies had great multiplers - still, all is possible. But it will certainly end as the least successfull IA movie - and that by far -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Now it seems that it had 440k 5,6M won't happen for OW... MbY 250k without previews that means a 3% increase! (cume 780k, not bad) CI 95k -23% C2 70k -29% AiW 25k -36% -
Weekend 22.06 - 26.06 (InsideKino) 1 715.264 --- 715.264 1 Finding Dory 2 184.865 -29 1.566.252 4 Retour chez ma mère 3 111.817 -33 1.055.495 4 AiW2 4 89.683 -26 1.517.140 5 Warcraft 5 78.929 --- 78.929 1 L'Outsider 6 78.779 -22 379.390 2 Bienvenue à Marly-Gomont 7 70.419 -26 1.977.866 6 X-Men 6 8 60.016 --- 60.016 1 Tout de suite maintenant 9 35.612 -43 116.045 2 Dans les forets de Sibérie 10 32.305 --- 32.305 1 Love & Friendship
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
I totally forgot Ice Age! The previous parts were huge here. The second one still holds the crown for the biggest Opening Week (3.612.053), which is crazy. With the fourth it began to sink though. Still, interest should be there. But I wouldn't be surprised if it would open to "only" 800k admissions - while I hope for a million of course. Soccer on Saturday could have a big impact, bad weather predicted as well. I hope it'll land on the bright side. -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Should be 14th July. -
FINDING DORY | 542.3 M overseas ● 1028.6 M worldwide
Aristis replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
OS number should be of today. With US ($285M - $290M) there is a slim chance for $400M I think. But I would think it'll be rather at $397M. Maybe with OS actuals. Domestic: $236,525,059 68.2% + Foreign: $110,300,000 31.8% = Worldwide: $346,825,059 -
JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW
Aristis replied to Corpse's topic in International Box Office
That movie is released in Japan? Great!- 23,594 replies
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
3. Trend MbY 325k CI 110k -42% C2 95k -53% Batille Day 52,5k AB 40k -45% AiW 40k -51% WC 35k -58% Some up, some down - still not great... -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
2. Trend MbY 340k CI 100k -57% C2 100k -51% Batille Day 50k AB 40k -45% AiW 40k -51% WC 30k -64% Not so good drops this weekend... -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
1st Trend MBY could have about 375k admissions C2 and CI will fight for second with 75k each (Would be hard drops if that hold, -62% and -66%) Anything can happen though -
That's shocking
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Hopefully the Pound can recover... Maybe a late change in decission? I can't believe that... Pound at 1,33/1,34
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FINDING DORY | 542.3 M overseas ● 1028.6 M worldwide
Aristis replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
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BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
I've never heard of Drive-ins in Germany yet. It's just that you sit outside while watching a movie But I have no idea if its such outside showings whick explain that increase -
Transformers: The Last Knight (June 23, 2017)
Aristis replied to CaptainJackSparrow's topic in International Box Office
Transformers 4 came just before XR collapsed. It was really lucky... Russia: $45M vs $24M China: $320M vs $300M (Obviously in China everything could happen, no matter XR) Germany: $32M vs $38M GB: $29M vs $33M I don't think this can increase again OS (Maybe if China makes $450M) I'd say $200M US + $750M OS ($350M-$400M from China). This won't come to 1B (Changing XR could change my opinion though) -
FINDING DORY | 542.3 M overseas ● 1028.6 M worldwide
Aristis replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Nemo bigger than ROTK Even if Pixar is great - that's going to far -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
Germany was the second biggest market for that movie OS with more than $70M - I think that's huge for that time. It made 2.543.713 in its Opening Week. And for now I think - while I hope that I'm wrong - that it won't make more than that. 2M admssions I would call a success. But if things are good, maybe JW numbers are in play Maybe there is potential - but we thought that for TJB, too. So my hopes aren't too high for that one. -
BO Germany/Austria: Dune 2 fine 2nd weekend
Aristis replied to IndustriousAngel's topic in International Box Office
So, with Monday numbers things are looking even better for the Top Movies! Central Intelligence with 230k, Conjuring seems to crack 200k. Warcraft with 85k falls a bit more than 30%. For the rest no numbers or no change. -
FINDING DORY | 542.3 M overseas ● 1028.6 M worldwide
Aristis replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Deadline: "CinemaScore projects that the Andrew Stanton-Angus MacLane movie can clear anywhere between $446M-$629M at the domestic box office alone. " That's not a very precisely forecast With the latter one OS would have to make only $371M for $1B...