Jump to content

TommyA10

Free Account+
  • Posts

    439
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by TommyA10

  1. They had TLJ @ 85m past weekend, so huge grain of salt needed when deadline forecast is involved...
  2. I know that, but some here are talking about 500-600m overseas which is absurd. TLJ will probably make more OS than domestic (probably 52-55%).
  3. Overseas was much bigger than domestic today, so I’m not sure why you think TLJ will make more domestic (or 50/50 exactly). The weekend was decimated by CE/Christmas. Also, it still hasn’t opened in China (whatever it ends up making there).
  4. So what, different countries react differently to various genres. Here in Croatia, the Avengers ended its run with 61k admissions. TFA has 245k. TLJ is at 96k as of this weekend. Is the Avengers number bad/embarrassing? You tell me...
  5. If Episode IX follows the typical SW pattern (which TLJ seems to be doing more or less), it is bound to increase from TLJ out to 25% (or more). Now, if TLJ ends up dropping less than 30% from TFA (which I think it will); the increase for IX will probably end up being a bit smaller than Clones-Sith, but could still reach 20% or more, IMO.
  6. Sure, but you gotta admit there’s quite a difference between a 150m and 220m opening...
  7. How many of these movies opened to 220m though? Could it simply be that more demand was burned off in the OW, leading to worse legs overall (plus the fact TLJ ain't getting your "once in a lifetime moviegoer" to see it in theater)...
  8. Multiplier isn't about WOM exclusively, though. CW had amazing WOM and had a pathetic multiplier, even for summer standards. TFA multiplier was more a product of its insane event status, than some amazing WOM, IMO. It got people who don't even go to the movies, to see it, which softened the drops and gave it amazing legs. I'm not arguing TFA WOM here. All I'm saying is, maybe it's unreasonable to expect 3.0x minimum multiplier for December releases just because it's december. Sort of like, it's no longer reasonable to expect soft openings in December, just because...
  9. TLJ will have longer holidays through January (Winter break started later this year in case you forgot). Also, The Revenant was a relatively big hit, which actually dethroned TFA. Is there anything of that size on the horizon in January?
  10. Everyone knows these aren't the most accurate estimates, as ticket prices for a movie can vary greafly from the yearly average (like TFA, which was significantly pricier than your average 2015 movie).
  11. TPM probably adjusts to more than 750m. With TFA average ticket price, it would probably adjust to 850m+, so I don't think TFA beat it by much in pure tickets sold..
  12. Maybe it’s just the fact that sequels to massive event movies like ANH/TPM/TFA are bound to drop significantly in total gross, regardless of the OW (or WOM). We might get a slightly lower opener like RO, with decent legs, or massive opener like TLJ with relatively poor legs.
  13. If the 27m estimate holds, we have our first hint at GA WOM, which is meh to not so good. This is just an awful Christmas Day number (unless we get a 20% jump tomorrow or something crazy like that)... edit 25-30% was the drop between SW/ESB (I know multiple releases and all, and BOM not being that reliable with the total number of SW re-releases) and TPM/AOTC so I guess 650m is what should have been expected all along.
  14. Exactly. We’ll get a much better insight into TLJ’s legs next week. What is sure, though, is there will be quite a bit of crow on the menu In the next few days/weeks, (one way or another), and It will be glorious
  15. Maybe, maybe not. The only thing certain is we cannot compare TFA’s and TLJ’s first weeks/weekends due to different calendar (at least not to extent to extrapolate TLJ’s legs).That’s all...
  16. TFA had 75% of students/kids on holidays during its first week. TLJ is on 30% or so. (RO had something like 40-45% if I’m not mistaken)...
  17. The movie itself wasn't terrible (it wasn't good either), but the characters, wow. Easily take the cake for the biggest, most idiotic morons ever to set foot on a spaceship/alien planet... I actually wondered at times if I were watching a Prometheus parody. That says it all...
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.