ConnorFilm
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Posts posted by ConnorFilm
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6 minutes ago, emoviefan said:
It seems like most of us have given up on this opening anywhere near 100 million. 80-90 would be great. 70-80 more likely. Just hoping wom will be less divisive than the critical reaction so far and it will work as a crowdpleaser to the regular folk.
It’s disappointing to see this and Flash kind of running out of gas. I thought both would be easy $100M openers. Nostalgia doesn’t always work I guess.
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19 minutes ago, PrinceRico said:
Might as well stick a fork in this movie. It’s done.
Yah... I'm getting WW84 vibes with how many negative reviews are coming out in the last 12 hours. This is getting the same kind of fine critical reaction as Aquaman and Thor 4... but likely without the box office results... :x
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Score probably isn't going to change much now with 200 reviews on RT. It's been bouncing between 68 and 70% over the last 24 hours. I still find it hilarious that the studio touted this as the greatest superhero film in years and it ends up getting reviews similar to Aquaman/The Incredible Hulk/The Wolverine/Iron Man 2. Lol.
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Even *if* Flash has great walk-in business and climbs into the $80M range, that's still not great. This film needs great WOM and good legs or this thing is DOA. Curious to see films hold up in the next few weeks given how ridiculously cramped June's releases are.
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Box Office Pro has this now opening anywhere from $60-80M this weekend. Not good numbers at all. Yeesh.
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Let's hope it has some appeal and walk-in business is very good this weekend because these tracking numbers are horrific. I understand the DC brand is not in a great place right now, but the fact that a DC movie featuring cameos from Justice League members, several Batman actors, Flash and Supergirl is going to open half as big as a solo Batman film with a three-hour runtime is insane.
And it's not like the film is getting awful reviews either. It's been going between 70-73 this week on Rotten Tomatoes, currently at 72% with 150 reviews.
James Gunn has a lot of good faith to win back from audiences if this film can't even gross the $500M worldwide gross mark.
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Variety says tracking is still looking like $70M, with some industry analysts claiming it really well could climb to $85M.
No matter which way you spin it, opening to under $100M is disappointing. Opening to under $90M is just BAD. Ezra’s time is almost up. No way Gunn keeps them after this. He is so obviously going to cast a whole new crew of actors for the Justice League.
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8 minutes ago, Eric Prime said:
Horrible if all that comes to fruition. The Flash and Indy should be films easily opening around the $100M range. Nostalgia for Indy has crapped out and DC’s brand power is in the trash can if this happens.
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Curious what critics at tonight's premiere and later throughout the week think. I think the film is leaning positive so far, but we all know things can change at the drop of a hat (WW84).
Anyway, there's still a bunch of positive reviews that have yet to be published.
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I say this opens to $80-85M. Not great, not awful. It HAS to have strong legs or this is going to be a massive loss for WB. If that happens, so much will be riding on Superman Legacy.
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It's actually a good sign that Transformers came in above expectations. The same could happen with The Flash.
If Transformers was predicted to open with $46M via Box Office Pro and opened to $60M, I could see TF going from $72M to more around the $85-90M range.
Gonna be super interesting next weekend...
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Positive reviews from NME, Screen Daily, Metro, CNN, JOBLO and Cinemablend have yet to be added to the RT page. This will definitely go up and down I think.
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5 minutes ago, ChipDerby said:
It previously increased from 70 to 74. So...?
I could see this pulling an Aquaman: 65% on RT, 55 on MC. Not awful, not great. Very meh.
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48 minutes ago, Paul Verhoeven said:
$21M over the five day holiday weekend for Gucci would be good, especially for an rated r film that's two and half hours long. That would roughly translate to $12-13M over a regular three day weekend.
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Anyone on Awards Watch and see Erick Anderson going on a tirade? He's blasting Gaga and her fans, adding that apparently all his critic friends hate the film and we should "prepare ourselves."
I don't know if I buy all that. I don't think the reviews for this film will be impressive, but I can't it getting panned. I mean, David freakin' Ehrlich said he enjoyed the film. Isn't he a respected film critic? Idk. I have seen far more positive word of mouth from bloggers, critics and voters than negative reviews.
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It’s going to be so interesting to see how the film does with critics. The RT score could really go anywhere between 50 to 70%. I’m also very curious to see what the opening weekend looks like. MGM is really going all in with promo.
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5 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
Praised by a few and loathed by a few, but most reactions are kind of just "sure"
It's very much a lukewarm response, which is what I was anticipating. I'm expecting anywhere from a 50 to 65 on RT. This feels like VICE all over again where the cast is praised but the movie? Not so much.
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So far, Scott Menzel, Matt Negli and Brandon Katz didn't like it at all. Everyone else seems far more favorable to it. It's def looking to get a very lukewarm, if not mixed, reaction tho.
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1 minute ago, Cmasterclay said:
I heard from a friend in LA that this is apparently great and I don't know how accurate that World of Reel stuff is.
I can't deal with all the rumors at this point. I'm hoping the reactions online today gives us a better idea of what the reception will be.
I know AcademyQueens on Twitter heard LA crowds ate this up, while NY peeps were less than impressed.
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On 11/7/2021 at 4:50 PM, EmpireCity said:
MGM is having all their trade and critics screenings on Tuesday, that is why the embargo is dropping.
I assume that's a good sign? I mean, if MGM had zero confidence in this, wouldn't they hold off on even allowing social media reactions?
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Thank god for the holiday weekend, because apparently Flash is only making $64M in three days, but it’ll technically be $72M because Monday is Juneteenth.
This is embarrassing, and that’s coming from someone that liked the film. It doesn’t look great for Blue Beetle and Aquaman 2.