acetabulum7

Can we predict star wars yet

My backyard!

Yeah, this and Mad Max. And with all the R-rated violence on TV (Game of Thrones, Walking Dead, etc.), I definitely see it making a comeback in movies.

Visual effects and sound editing definitely. Not sure about the rest.

Eh, not like Kylo had the best training compared to Maul or Dooku. Sith just trying to make their way back into the universe. I can live with that.

The Force Afloppens.

Out. Christmas boost, stellar reviews, and Star Wars has a history of great holds. Definitely out.

Yeah, absence of physics in a sci-fi fantasy just... rubs me the wrong way! Bleh!!!

I think it hurt Spectre and MJ2 a bit. I mean $50M in pre-ticket sales and all the massive hype everywhere has to count for something. Spectre might not even hit $200M, which is a huge drop from the previous entry, and MJ2 might not hit $300M despite being a franchise finale. Pretty disappointing numbers that I don't think most of us predicted.

It will be hard to build the same kind of hype 3 had going for it.

True. It took 5 years to build Cars Land (two planning, 3 constructing), yes with other California Adventures expansions at the same time, but all totaled the same amount of acres that Toy Story will have. I'm thinking closer to 2020 for this and Star Wars Land.

That benchmark started in 2008 when superhero films really started to catch fire. Not 1978.

Wow, what a low opening for Ant-Man. People just weren't really interested, and I'm guessing it simply wasn't as fresh and amazing as Guardians. Will this even break $150M anymore?

Like Ted 2 and Magic Mike XXL, this will probably drop significantly from the last installment.

His family's lawyer confirmed it was him. Damn. He scored the first movie I ever saw in theaters, The Land Before Time. R.I.P. to an incredible musical genius.

Spielberg, Cameron, Woody Allen, Tarantino.... Edgar Wright!!!!!!!

$38,837,000

Why are we even comparing movies from the 70's and 80's to movies today? This is why adjusted numbers don't work, especially for much older movies. GWTW made $1.6B DOM; I'm pretty sure that's impossible to replicate today. You're correct that sequels back then hardly ever increased from the first. They were never as popular back then as they are today. Nowadays, maybe half the time they increase from the first. If AoU stopped at $550M, it wouldn't be too bad, but stopping at $450M is disappointing. Still a money maker, but still much lower than expected.

Why would anyone listen to a poster who asks a loaded question argument fallacy?

He didn't destroy anything; just a bunch of random sarcastic lines. What if AoU was a better movie? With no stupid fight that Saturday? Can you or anyone predict that? No. That's why it's a disappointment. Because a lot of fans expect it to be the best movie in years, and maybe it was for some, but not for the majority. At least, it wasn't as well-received as Avengers 1, and hence the drop in box office.

I never said "all" movies will. It looked like you were saying all movies won't. I was merely saying your basis is not true; some go up, some go down. Oh, and all of those movies I listed are massive hits.

Okay, let's wait a few years after IW2, and then re-release AoU. It's gonna add some more money. Then wait another 10 years. Re-release. It's gonna make some more. Therefore, it's an unfair estimate. You have to compare their original runs.

You need to eliminate all the part 2 to part 3 movies. Next, you need to take their original grosses, not with all the re-releases (Star Wars). Also, most of these part 2 movies didn't have the same hype going in. There are plenty of other movies had had increases: Shrek 1 to Shrek 2 Pirates 1 to Pirates 2 CA 1 to CA 2 Thor 1 to Thor 2 Transformers 1 to Transformers 2 Just off the top of my head.

Well that would be a very disappointing number. Almost a $200M drop. WOW. What went wrong? Still profitable, but after all they spent, it's not that great for supposedly the biggest tentpole movie in 3 years. Oh well, win some, lose some. :/

The problem is, the fight wasn't even finalized until a few weeks ago. Yes, there were rumbling rumors for months, but nothing was for sure, and most people don't automatically backtrack their numbers for something nobody really knows for sure how much effect it would have. The high predicts were also based on hopefully insanely good WOM, like the first one had. Without the fight (plus Kentucky Derby, plus Spurs/Clips Game 7), plus better WOM, it's not a crazy prediction to believe it would break the record at all.