Lancelot Gold

Am I looking at the numbers wrong, cause +7% doesn't seem horrible. TFA was -27.9% R1 with +12.1% but that also had a much worse Wed drop. (mixed up days) I Am Legend was +0.7% Hobbit 1 +4.5% Hobbit 2 +3.9% Seems to be helping to keep the 3.5x or more multiplier alive, which all those movies did.

Never made it past 3 times for one movie while in theaters myself. Not because I didn't want to, just time and money.

@EmpireCity These look like they have a chance, or am I way off? Christmas Day and Eve were the hardest ones for me to come up with a % since there isn't a lot of data. Used JW and TFA to help, with R1 too maybe. Been a few hours and I was doing it at work on scratch paper so I forget, haha. Before 17.5 was estimated for Thursday, I was looking between -8% to +2% based on what I was seeing with the other movies. Not exactly a small range, lol.

With the Fox purchase, they don't need Tony Stark and Steve Rogers anymore. Tony can become a background character and Bucky can take over for Cap. They're also far from their peak. Captain America, Thor, and Guardian movies show us that, each sequel increasing from the previous movie. I guarantee that Doctor Strange 2 will increase even though it hasn't been announced. I'll admit, Antman 2 will be interesting to see if they can hold the streak.

Just like Marvel movies... oh... wait...

Going to try for #3 on Christmas Eve.

Look at past December openers. There is no way this gets less than a multiplier of 3.2x.

Combination of JW and TFA. Figured Christmas Day will be somewhere between +60-80% and went with 80. It's been behaving similar to JW so far, except TLJ's Thursday looks better. The weekend is going to be rough to predict so I compared JW to TFA to get a prediction.

TFA dropped 27% on Christmas eve.

Posted this in Wednesday thread, but it's better being here. Assuming Deadline is close with 17.5 for Thursday, I'll undercut and assume 17 for these predictions. Thursday 17.0 Friday 27.88 (+64%) Saturday 37.64 (+35%) Sunday 30 (-20%) Monday 54 (+80%)

Assuming Deadline is close with 17.5 for Thursday, I'll undercut and assume 17 for these predictions. Thursday 17.0 Friday 27.88 (+64%) Saturday 37.64 (+35%) Sunday 30 (-20%) Monday 54 (+80%)

Would you call me crazy if I said it could remain even or drop by up to 10% and still insist that it's legs will take it above 680m?

Yeah, too low for sure. 110m puts it under R1 that did 113m from the 20th through the 25th. Not apples to apples, but still.

http://deadline.com/2017/12/last-jedi-dwayne-johnson-jumanji-zac-efron-greatest-showman-box-office-1202230784/ Disney/Lucasfilm’s Star Wars: The Last Jedi is eyeing between $16.8M-$17M today, which puts its Friday-Wednesday run at $278.8M. Industry estimates believe that over the Wednesday through Christmas run that The Last Jedi will mint $110M which will take its running domestic total to $371.8M. Sony’s Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle is coming in around $7.4M today and the industry continues to remain bullish that the Jake Kasdan film will get into the high $50Ms, with a shot at $60M by the end of Christmas Day. After dinner, that’s when everyone is expected to head to the cinema. Sneaks for Jumanji for Amazon Prime members grossed $2M on December 8, and that cash will be rolled into its total cume. CinemaScore audiences gave the Jumanji reboot an A- tonight.

If deadline is short by 1.5m like Monday, it would put this more at what I expected, 19m. I was originally thinking in the range of -3% to +1%. Where is Rth so I can go to bed, haha.

Eminem's Not Afraid music video?

My favorite responses to both TFA and TLJ, they both had plenty, are the "This movie ruined my childhood!" I laugh like crazy and wonder how horrible their childhood was for a movie to be able to ruin it.

I don't want to name the horrible movie (a few fit and you can fill in the blank yourself), but this feels like a bizarro week. Then: Bad movie, hated by critics and general audience, fans/trolls insisting like crazy that it's the best movie ever and that it will have great legs. Now: Good movie, loved by critics and general audience, haters/trolls insisting like crazy that it's the worst movie ever and that it will have horrible legs. On a side note, saw TLJ again tonight. Amazing the first time, even better the second. I missed so much the first time due to being overwhelmed. Big Imax, 7 story screen biggest in the state, 550 seat theater, about 50% full hard to judge. Made sure I was out of the theater first. Not a scientific study, but I stood there to listen to people's conversations as they exited. Not one bad thing mentioned just pure love and admiration for the movie.

Am I the only one who remembers the backlash from fanatics with TFA? I heard more bad WOM about that then TLJ. People wouldn't stop complaining how it was just a remake of ANH.

And my Facebook feed is full of friends that loved it and are saying it's their favorite Star Wars movie. Both of our experiences are anecdotal and don't matter. Odds are, we're going to be friends with people with similar interests and opinions. The actual scientific polling done on this movie is showing that people overwhelmingly love it.

3D is worth it for big blockbusters in my opinion. Even converted ones. Marvel has really gotten better at the process. Doctor Strange was totally worth it. I really enjoyed GotG2 in 3D as well. Transformers movies have been amazing too. Only reason I saw TLJ in Imax 2D is cause the theater I go to was bought out and stopped all imax 3D showings. I'll be going to the MN Zoo Imax screen, biggest screen in MN, to see in 3D there.

Wait, you don't think Saturday the 30th will be above 20m?