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Claudio

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Everything posted by Claudio

  1. Needs 49% jump and considering Godzilla does 44% then of course it's possible.
  2. 45% jump pretty good. Let's wait other movie's numbers to give us some perspective to the daily jump.
  3. Yes. They do and for the rest of movie's run they always use the same exchange rate. Here's a detail example : - X country sell tickets for ¥1 each - ER when the movie released : ¥1 = $1 Let's say the movie sell a million tickets on opening weekend. That means : 1,000,0000 x 1 = ¥1,000,000 ( local currency ) converse it to dollar = $1,000,000 Second weekend the ER fell to ¥1 = $0.5 Let's say 500,000 tickets sold On real value it should be : ¥500,000 x 0.5 = $250.000 so the total should be $1.250.000 BUT BOX OFFICE ISN'T LIKE THAT Box office uses the old ER when the movie opened (¥1=$1) therefore the math goes: ¥500,000 = $500,000 and the total is $1,500,000 If they adjust the ER for the total gross then it must be pretty stressful cause ER changes every day.
  4. How many times the same thing needs to be repeat again and again and all over again ??? The ER adjustment on Mojo doesn't mean shit. They just a site who collects number not an official source. Disney is the source and they ( likely other studios as well ) always uses the ER when the movie released to determine the total. For Example , Mojo adjust the China total to $614M from $629M that Disney has. Therefore the WW total on Mojo should change to $12M lower than what Disney. But in fact it didn't Cause Mojo ER adjustment IS USELESS. The studio is the real source.
  5. Could even hit $850M if Dom could sail past $300M and Japan breaking out.
  6. Opening weekend : $123M second weekend : $78M that’s an OUTRAGEOUS 36.5 % DROP. could target 35% drop with actuals. I’m expecting $335M OS total until next weekend. Great things are : -the frontloaded China already opened (it also seems has a decent hold there tho ). -the leggiest market still to come ( Japan ) so expect a great hold over next weeks with DP looking to flop , KotM and MiB looking to be an underperformed and SLOP not looking too good ( UK is an early indication )
  7. My deepest condolences to Godzilla who has to live among that kind of human with cringewothy dialogue.
  8. Here’s the May 30th chart : Godzilla opens second behind Aladdin.
  9. Going forward , Any chance of Aladdin getting some screens back from the disappointing weekend openers ?
  10. Ah you’re right. Counting time isn’t my best skill I guess.
  11. Yes. Everything can happens. Defying logic , over perform , crashing and break out always fun when it happens. But prediction is fun when you're using logic , comp and data history. So let's discuss using logical way 😁 1 month is plenty of time when you're opening blockbuster but not enough when you're opening uber blockbuster. Let's say TS4 with $200M makes $500M with shit legs then Lion king makes like most people predict around $600-$700 tot. Now you have $500M and $600M movie in just one month. Out of 13 over $500M domestic movies rn the closest is I2 and IW with almost 2 months apart. Edit : wrong month count
  12. If TS4 really breaks out with $200M , will it has some kind of effect to TLK opening and total ??? Given they both are 4-quad movie and could hurt each other especially when they come out just 1 month apart. I think it will.
  13. Mine : 1. Beauty and the Beast - I watched it 4 times 2. Aladdin - Hard to choose between this and BatB. Let's say they're on the same level. Currently 2 times watched. Will be going for 3td time 3. Christopher Robin - Pooh is my most favorite Disney character 4. Maleficent - watching this in theatre. Pretty good. 5. Cinderella - pretty good too. Lily James 6. MPR - plot is so thin and simple. The song saves this. 7. Pete's Dragon - not so bad. But.... Eh... 8. Dumbo - mediocre. At least Dumbo was cute. 9. Jungle Book - I don't like it. Maybe because I have too much expectation after the reviews out. Never watch Alice 1, 2 , Nutcracker and others.
  14. I swear to god. if Godzilla dies or loses the battle against Kong , I’ll boycott it for ages.
  15. Well , with that kind of number I believe that words is a little bit harsh. It’s more like extremely possible if not locked.
  16. This will have a good opening at least in Indonesia. 5-day OW with Thursday being a holiday will be a big boost. I think it’s a lock this will be the #1 movie beating Aladdin second weekend going by traditional opening weekend count ( 5-day ow vs 3-day 2nd weekend ) But I’m Not quite sure if its FSS can top Aladdin second weekend yet. The real problem is the screen count. Godzilla gets all the premium seat ( IMAX , Premiere , etc ) and 1-2 regular screens ( depends on how big the theatre is ) while Aladdin still occupies 2-4 regular screens thanks to great WOM. Either way , most showings for those two movies are full and they both will coexist just fine. More likely a good opening for Zilla and strong hold for Aladdin.
  17. Reading your comment , I instantly remember your comment in the past about you and your ex girlfriend did some Na’vi ritual and language thing. It’s always cracks me up haha. So hilarious. P.S. : I’m just sharing a funny memory. Please don’t hate me.
  18. Yes. you can enjoy some Cameron stans doing an orgy in Avengers thread.
  19. Well , so you’re a neutral side. Congrats. Yet you were saying that this shit in this thread started when people trying to dismiss Avatar so this circle jerk shit keeps happening again and again. Therefore we are the one who you ‘blamed’ and told us to stop. While in fact , all this shit happened because some certain Avatar fans invaded and said something which have no correlation with EG. Sorry , brother. Maybe you need to stop pretending to be a wise one.
  20. I see... Buddy , you're new and have no idea what happened here
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