newbie BO buff
Free Account+-
Posts
690 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Everything posted by newbie BO buff
-
MOANA | 394.6 M overseas ● 643.3 M worldwide
newbie BO buff replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
In light of some doubts about this movie having a shot at 1 billion. -
MOANA | 394.6 M overseas ● 643.3 M worldwide
newbie BO buff replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
boxofficepro revised their DOM long range forecast to 300 mil that is dangerously flirting with 1 bil WW -
Playing with numbers, the gloomy or moderate version (depends on who you ask). It opens with 76 mil, right about target. Then the good but not great reviews and WOM gives it a 2.6x multiplier, ending DOM with 197.6 mil. Asia loves it, but Europe not so much, and then there's that ER thing. A 32:68 splits gives 617.5 mil WW.
-
Playing with numbers. Opens with 85 mil, overperforming. Frontloaded like the last 2 HP films, 2.4x multiplier. 204 mil domestic. 30:70 split, 680 mil worldwide. Opens with 85 mil, overperforming. Leggy with a 2.9x multiplier, 246.5 mil domestic. 30:70 split, 822 mil worldwide. Massively overperforming due to curiosity, 95 mil OW. Frontloaded with 2.4x multiplier, 228 mil domestic. 30:70 split, 760 mil worldwide.
-
I can't see the movie tomorrow or this weekend, and have to delay until Monday soonest. However I can see that the demand is pretty high. Presale has opened, and I took a peek at one of the busiest, XXI Kota Kasablanka. They have it at studio 4, that's the best one, equipped with 3D HFR when Hobbit 1 came to town. Best seats are already taken, about 40% sold.
-
Top 10 Worldwide 2016, as per Mojo Rank Title (click to view) Studio* Filter A24 BG BST BV EC Focus Fox FoxS Free HTR LG/S LGF ORF Par. PFR QF RAtt. Rela. SGem Sony SPC STX TriS Uni. WB WB (NL) Wein. ALL Worldwide Domestic / % Overseas / % 1 Captain America: Civil War BV $1,153.3 $408.1 35.4% $745.2 64.6% 2 Finding Dory BV $1,024.1 $485.9 47.4% $538.2 52.6% 3 Zootopia BV $1,023.7 $341.3 33.3% $682.5 66.7% 4 The Jungle Book (2016) BV $966.5 $364.0 37.7% $602.5 62.3% 5 Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice WB $873.3 $330.4 37.8% $542.9 62.2% 6 The Secret Life of Pets Uni. $871.1 $366.9 42.1% $504.2 57.9% 7 Deadpool Fox $782.6 $363.1 46.4% $419.5 53.6% 8 Suicide Squad WB $745.6 $325.1 43.6% $420.5 56.4% 9 The Mermaid (Mei ren yu) Sony $553.8 $3.2 0.6% $550.6 99.4% 10 X-Men: Apocalypse Fox $543.9 $155.4 28.6% $388.5 71.4% I always thought that the mighty trio of Fantastic Beasts, Moana and Rogue One would invade this list, but now Doctor Strange is definitely in the mix as well. Cracking 700 mil, yes, maybe even 800. Game on, Fantastic Beasts!
-
I think the worse Strange could do is get a 2.75x DOM multiplier, ending in 233.75 mil domestic. And then it got clipped a bit in OS by FB, getting a 35:65 split (it is now 30:70) and go towards 667 million worldwide. Better holds and/or better splits would lead to the 750-850 mil worldwide figure that Deadline was talking about. I just wonder how much better.