The more I think about it, the lower the opening weekend of TMNT2 will be. $2M starting at 5pm means a 3x drop from the original's $4.6M for the 7pm-midnight period. Expect the weekend to be around $21-$22M (a third of the original's $65M).
There is a real chance now that TMNT2's domestic gross is under TMNT's opening weekend. Wow.
It should open to around $25 million based on that preview number. Joins Alice 2 for the biggest flop of the summer race.
Neighbors 2 is having a shockingly bad drop from the first. With a 7.6M Friday (including 1.6 M Thursday+midnight), it is doing around 19M for the weekend.
It won't lose money, since its budget is very small. But going UNDER 20M is an extremely poor performance.
This is performing great, but the opening would have been 200M+ if they just replaced 'Captain America' by 'Iron Man' in the title (or also just put Iron Man/Avengers in the title).