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Poseidon

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Everything posted by Poseidon

  1. I don't think it makes sense to look at the USA as a country and compare it to much smaller nations. The US has Vaccination rates between 37% (Alabama) and 68% (Vermont). Hospitalization rate in Alabama is 10 times as high as in Vermont. That doesn't keep into account that Alabama is a poorer state with less and worse insurance, less hospital beds and thatfor a state with more people trying to get over the infection at home instead of in hospital. Alabama is also a much younger state in terms of average age.
  2. I would be cautious with all those studies. Keep in mind, that the most vulnerable got Biontech shots all over the globe first, while Moderna always lagged behind in production. This is also a big pharma-war and while they did a good job, what they really want is money. We've seen those studies favoring certain vaccines over the last year. As I said, we have to look very closely. Same for 3rd shot-studies. They will, of course, do everything they can to sell a third dose when it proves safe, but there are also many voices out there saying it's only neccessary for the vu
  3. Or it's just the fact, that due to the huge number of Indians/people with indian roots in UK they had a big head start compared to other countries in terms of travelers superspreading the variant all over the country. We will see. There's just one thing: The UK has many "firsts" in this pandemic and it might be a good thing, to find out why and what's triggering it.
  4. I really don't know where to start with such arrogance. Cases are massiveley dropping again, so will deaths. Compeltely losing control, this is funny. This is a fairly small outbreak, that's under control within a couple of weeks as it seems. In a nation of almost 25m people. And that's with, indeed, barely anybody vaccinated. Who is this person to judge a nation with a record like this? The whole so called developed western world produced millions of deaths and he is talking about Taiwan "totally" losing control. Talk about proportion...
  5. Many eastern european countries looked very good when the first wave hit, but it might be, that they are now missing a certain percentage of immunity paired with the fact, that they just can't afford those lockdowns like richer countries do. This, combined with the faster spreading variants, seems like a deadly cocktail.
  6. they will come after their responsibility when their own needs are satisfied. What's happening with vaccination will be looked at in a very critical way in the coming years. Europe might help out some other partner countries that can afford vaccines, but of course they are not much better, as the world doesn't care about Africa or the poorer nations in Asia. And this might haunt us, because it's most likely, that more mutations will develop in those countries that keep spreading the virus throught heir young populations and those mutations will not stay there, the
  7. So the question of all questions: Are all those countries with reasonable governments better off because of their leaders being greater role models in terms of sticking to the rules or did populist lead counries at average just get dumber? Or were they always dumber? Oh yes, you CAN blame Boris Johnson for what he did to his country!
  8. When Germany decided to not allow AZ for over 65, data was as follows: Studys showed immune response in adults over 65, but it was a lack of participants and people who later caught the virus that lead to the decicion, that data was not sufficient. What you can do is critizise the government to sticking with the usual procedure during a pandemic ( and we all know that the usual procedure was not REALLY the usual procedure, as everything went way faster than it normally would) And yes, we will copy your effort, because your government threw you right in there and t
  9. The UK took risks they only had to take, because the government fucked up for 2 different waves. No, thanks, we have problems in Germany, big ones, but Boris and the UK approach can stay where he is right now.
  10. SA is a very young country, though. Same for India. Nobody really knows why numbers are down, but on the other hand, nobody knows how many people REALLY died. It's a good possibility, that it rolled through India and due to the young age of the country, overall it wasn't as severe as in older countries. Only time will tell I guess.
  11. The UK went out of Lockdown with what? About 14k new cases/day and straight into christmas shopping, opening pubs, open schools, 1000 people capacity in theaters in the middle of winter. As for the US: Their numbers are just as bad, aren't they? 500k+ excess deaths. That's just horrible and the result of the same politics and a horrible role model in charge of the country. Do people really think it's coincidence, that women lead countries fared way better during the pandemics?
  12. Well, if a wave runs through whole of the country by exponential growth, it will plummet at one point an shrink the same way and SA might very well have had one of those waves that literally infected everybody. Some models say, mortality for Covid is "only"0,3%. SA has about 60m inhabitants. Not all 60 Mio will get it or be immune either way, so let's say 80% will get it through a wave. That's 48 Mio who will get infected. 0,3% of them dying is 144k deaths. And now look at SA Excess mortality.... Well, there you go. Of course there are other fact
  13. Yah well, this basically ran through all of south africa looking at excess mortality. There was a week where 24k people died, 8k were expected. So yeah, they might run out quickly, especially in UK and SA, where measures were pretty much non-existant in December compared to many other countries. But do we really want to pay that prize? 120k people more than expected died in SA, Same for UK.
  14. She fell sick after only one dose though. Either way, 90% or 95%, 1 out of 10 or one out of 20 will still get sick.
  15. That's the question. I don't think that's going to be the case anymore. I have the impression that people are way more sensitive now in this department.
  16. In german surveillance, Rhinovirus is pretty much the only virus detected in people in the last couple of weeks and it is very active. Rhinovirus is your typical distributor of a common cold and light sniffle. And well, who, before Covid, would even look after having a runny nose from time to time. There are so many light allergies out there nobody would have a second look after. But we live in different times now.
  17. Your original point was, that there were more than 1000 deaths in the UK because of the flu. This is wrong.
  18. You are aware, that Pneumonia can also be caused by bacteria and seems to be included in those statistics? Also it is mentioned, that a death cann fall in both, the Covi and th Influenza/Pneumonia-Category. It really doesn't make sense to compare this and make a point out of it.
  19. There seems to be something way off with those numbers. If I would guess, 1162 is the number of confirmed deaths ALL YEAR due to Influenza in the UK.
  20. Keep in mind, that people were not too excited to go to the emergency room for many weeks during the pandemic. https://www.health.org.uk/news-and-comment/charts-and-infographics/visits-to-a-e-departments-in-england-in-april-2020-fell-by-57
  21. As for australian measures: I don't understand that system of locking people up at home. We were always allowed to go out in Germany and we still got numbers down. Governments do it again and again. Locking down everything at once and then opening up everything again. They completely skip the lessons to learn about what each meassure actually does within the pandemic. But it's getting clearer and clearer, that gatherings in closed rooms are the main issue here.
  22. @DeeCee You seem to be the Australia expert. One thing that struck me ist, that during Australis "first Wave" 65% of cases were aquired overseas. Only now, during the annual Influenza wave, you have the first real communityl outbreak. So looking at those facts and also other places, like Europe, might there, after all, be a certain kind of seasonality for Corona as well?
  23. That's the case for months though, it's nothing "new", that those antibody tests get included.
  24. Would you mind handing out a link to that information? I was always wondering, if the rest of the year would make up for the peaks at one point.
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