YM!

Feeling confident in a similar increase as AtSV domestic. Dune send to be very enjoyed as the years passed, and think it'll garner enough attention for a big OW. Something like 70/210/650 for it.

Cool. Hope they continue to have a shitty year.

If Disney can bully their way to PLF control minus IMAX for Haunted Mansion in the middle of Barbenheimer, and did the same for NWH with Matrix, I'm not too worried right now. Especially when Barbie did 150m with little PLFs. The main concerns right now is if Secret Invasion and the other plus shows will have any effect, reception, and if Disney can maintain a strong marketing campaign. If it weathers them, it'll be fine.

Not shocked The Marvels isn't getting IMAX due to Dune being their first and it being actually filmed in IMAX giving it priority and I believe we knew this months ago. However, think there's still enough PLFs and larger screens, The Marvels can get where it's not a doomsday OW (think it'll be like Barbieheimer but with a larger PLF control for Marvels in exchange for no IMAX). If The Marvels misses 100m OW, it'd be due to lack of hype and/or bad WOM not because of no IMAX. Not too worry about it right now.

What total in USD is Elemental looking at?

Eh, I’m not so sure it’s original animation is permanently dead when what’s on the menu either went to streaming (Mitchells, the Pixar Plus squad, Encanto, Sea Beast, and Vivo would’ve likely done well enough theatrically or not stifled with) or just very bad in general (Strange World, Lightyear, Paws of Fury). Even adaptations did so-so with Bad Guys and Super-Pets though I think opening close to Sonic did Bad Guys in somewhat despite its success. Elemental did solid enough considering circumstances and is likely to finish at 450-500m despite being middle level Pixar and both Wish and Migration have potential. Still sad to see it considering it was one of the last ways an original property could do blockbuster numbers outside of Nolan. Like, I don’t think Paramount’s Smurfs Movie has any potential than either Paramount originals that’ll likely go to Plus and SpongeBob seems dubious due to oversaturation (especially with a high budgeted Netflix movie a year before the fourth one). TMNT, Avatar and Transformers will likely be hits though.

Costs may be rising while the box office is contracting, but Robbins sees areas of opportunity. He’s overhauled Paramount’s animation division, raiding Nickelodeon’s vault and jettisoning projects that he didn’t think were commercial. “Under the Boardwalk,” a movie about hermit crabs on the Jersey Shore that predated Robbins, will debut on Paramount+, not in theaters. “We’re not going to release an expensive original animated movie and just pray people will come,” he says. Instead, the studio’s upcoming animated releases will center on familiar properties such as “SpongeBob SquarePants” and “Avatar: The Last Airbender,” which Robbins thinks will appeal to millennials who grew up with the shows. https://variety.com/2023/film/features/brian-robbins-paramount-pictures-tmnt-mutant-mayhem-tom-cruise-1235679142/amp/

Hello and welcome. The deadline is September 4th so you have quite a bit of time. If you want to start playing, just post a film. Then when part one starts on the 5th, write some reviews and then drop some predictions and BOOM! you’re cooking with gas. Feel free to take a look at some of the past years films as some movies that are Year 10 films are sequels to movies from previous years and there’s a lot of great films there. Good luck and hope you enjoy the game.

🙏🏿Praying DeCosta does justice to Monica and not pull a FaTWS and SI🙏🏿 Coogler can’t be the only creative in the MCU who can cook with black characters.

I forgot to put it was in no particular order.

There’s no particular order for all but each has their own benefits: Black Panther may have had the benefit of Phase 3 hype taking the zeitgeist but it’s very very very hard for predominantly Black films to succeed and yes we did predict big things for it from the jump (actually same for a number of movies on my list). TLM barely did over 550m WW, and this doubled it, due to being a great movie and hitting a cultural zeitgeist. Sure WF fell off but one can argue with the passing of Chadwick, what happened there was a best case scenario and it still had good reception. Barbie also had the benefit of being perhaps the most popular toy on Earth but everything went perfect from marketing to casting to hype, and served an underserved market in women. It then blew up straight out of the gates to being the biggest film of the summer and likely the year, especially as there’s no competition (also it’s kind of putting to bed the argument of “woke=broke”) Frozen is still one of the biggest original concept movie even though it’s based on a fairytale and became Disney’s biggest animation franchise overnight and bought back female led animation and musicals. Oppenheimer is a three hour, dour and depressing, well-told R rated drama in a time where audiences just want dopamine. With Nolan and another strong event marketing campaign, it’ll be his biggest non-Dark Knight or TDKR movie, at 300m domestic and 700-800m worldwide. Top Gun Maverick had nostalgia (which can be hit and miss) but it too gave older whites something to go crazy for as well as being a great movie, and became a juggernaut. American Sniper is of the same cloth as TGM but was more fresh at the time. TFA and JW perfected the nostalgic requel for better or worse and the GA loved both, creating leggy runs out of nowhere. Avengers also did something new with crossover and created perhaps one of the most popular film franchises in history as expectations rose and rose. Joker made an R-rated drama about the most popular supervillain with little action sequences and also blew up.

Missed the talk of most impressive blockbuster runs since the 2010s boom, but if I had to make a line up, it’d be: Black Panther Barbie Oppenheimer Frozen Top Gun Maverick American Sniper Avengers Joker The Force Awakens Jurassic World

Elon Musk has got to be the saddest human being on the planet. Wanted to be loved and funny when he never will be, and bought Twitter on a midlife crisis.

Tbh Wonka looks stronger than Aquaman

Haunted Mansion double feature fudge

Yeah Aquaman seems most likely to be pushed to 2024.

It’s wild how bad Zaslav is at maintaining/retaining talent. Nolan may have gone to Universal due to Killar’s fault but Gerwig is doing her next two movies at Netflix.

I don’t care what Barbie does, just let it beat Midrio

I think Flower Moon can do 100m, maybe 150m domestic. Think so long as marketing is strong for it, the audience will follow.

The movies are back and the forum is back.

Great. Just got my bachelors degree and am onto my masters degree.

Hey ED How are you?

I don’t get why Feige isn’t making her one of the main faces this saga. Iman has the most energy and charm out of all the new characters. She’s like Peter Parker in the MCU but with more character development and a fleshed out world around her:

You’re going to be a great dad.

Barbieheimer OW is looking to be one of the most fun blockbuster runs I’ve followed since Black Panther. Sure, both have IP drawings (Barbie and Nolan) but it’s such a relief to see a full on comedy and a big 3-hour drama do numbers we haven’t seen since the 2000s. Makes me so damn happy. The 2020s may not be able to replicate the raw numbers of the 2010s and the issue of price is still the upmost consumer concern but it gives me hope that the industry continue to thrive but also grow into something that not only diverse on what does big, but something more sustainable to prevent film and theaters going the way of Broadway. Oppenheimer, Barbie, and Elemental to a degree, give me faith that there’s still a hunger amongst the GA for original or something new and unfamiliar and the former two blew up because the studios had faith in their talent and pulled out all the stops. Perhaps both can kickstart a return of both genres in theaters. Even the mega franchises that did well in Across and Guardians were great films first and foremost. Sure, Mission is dying but that doesn’t mean the franchise or quality of the series is gone. Mario is a generic film that exists to pimp nostalgia but kids need movies too and animation as a whole this year apart from Gillman seems to be back in action.