YM!

Under. Think Mufasa takes a big fall, Inside Out 2 has a weakened Pixar and seems like a mediocre sequel except without the nostalgia to safely coast, Cap 4 and Apes I’m thinking around 500-700m WW, Alien doesn’t have the overseas juice either and Deadpool 3 I’m iffy on 1B currently.

Still a limit like, with a 30m OW it gets to only an 122m domestic total if it has legs similar to Super Pets which had a 4x multiple.

Double features with Elemental baybee

Let Excel grieve. Right now he’s in either in the denial stage.

$70,927,028

1. Beyond The Spider-Verse - 165m/500m 2. Deadpool and Wolverine - 150m/390m 3. Despicable Me 4 - 105m/375m 4. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning - 115m/325m 5. Gladiator 2 - 100m/300m 6. Joker: Folie A Duex - 105m/300m 7. Inside Out 2 - 80m/255m 8. Captain America: Brave New World - 95m/250m 9. Mufasa: The Lion King - 75m/230m 10. Thunderbolts - 65m/225m

So Beyond wins the year right?

Now this looks like a classic Pixar adventure. Definitely their best teaser in like years. With the Coco co-director and writer helming it, I think it has the potential to be a big hit for Pixar and Disney both critically and commercially. Not a fan of the release date though, as it’ll get limited PLFs with Fall Guy and faces intense family competition from KFP4, Snow White and Beyond. Hoping it can either clear up or it moves to 2/9 before it’s too late.

I’m pretty sure Barbie is going to be PG-13 from judging test screenings and reports.

Thing is no one but Keysersoze thought Gillman over Elemental was a serious possibility. Everyone thought it was a wash.

Wow, the movie they took an entire span of just under three months to market and didn’t even attach to Mario is opening under 10M? I’m shocked. Call me back when Migration does at least 100m+ domestic. Tbh can easily see that doing 150-200m.

A huge diverse audience as expected at 30% Black, 28% Latino and Hispanic ( a growth in these first two demos as Bumblebee drew 25% Latino and Hispanic and 14% Black), 25% Caucasian and 17% Asian/other.

https://deadline.com/2023/06/box-office-transformers-rise-of-the-beasts-spider-man-spiderverse-1235412771/ 25m for Beasts 16.5M for Across

In fairness both Lightyear and Pets had a fanbase of some sort even though they’re family properties in Toy Story and DC. I can see anywhere from 9.5x-12x being Elemental’s multiplier.

- Seige of Savage is pretty much done. Still uncertain what to do with Martian Manhunter as of Lance Reddick’s untimely death. Want to post that with the Gateways/GLCE. - Gateways 2 has the jist of the outline done and am doing final edits for that this weekend. Green Lantern Corps, I hope to have the outline done by Juneteenth. Hoping both will be posted before Fourth of July weekend. - I am aiming to write a filler every week to get my creative juices flowing. This weekend I hope to get the faith based musical dramedy The Music in Me up. - I go on vacation on July 15th through August 15th to Barbados. Should have easy internet access but will work on the rest of my animation slate, Off Road 2, Yabba Dabba Doo!, and Red Flag. - I start graduate school the day after deadline so hoping everything is done by then.

Either Panda 4 or Snow White moving to the slot would be better for everyone.

The Second Water War Studio: Infinite Studios Release Date: 11/6/Y10 Genre: Family Comedy Director: David Bowers Rating: PG for rude humor and peril involving children Budget: $35M Theater Count: 3,201 Runtime: 92 minutes Cast: Unknowns Plot: The Konner family are heading on a holiday vacation up north to upstate New York for the winter to visit their affluent grandparents. The now 6th grade twins; the brave and bold Kimmy and the intelligent but at times awkward Kenny are excited to see their grandparents and see snow again. Kimmy wants to do a bunch of cool snow activities while Kenny wants to relax. Karen is indifferent, torn that she couldn’t spend the holidays with her new boyfriend, and is too busy texting him back to really care. The grandparents have a cushy house nearby Everest Lodge, a luxurious ski resort in upstate New York, split up into two portions, one that is for tourists and the more expensive portion. The kids decide to explore the neighborhood as Karen slacks off. Kimmy and Kenny meet the neighborhood kids who are all much more affluent than they are, and more snooty. The leader Tammy, a pompous 13 year old, lets them in reluctantly despite the family being middle class out of respect for the grandparents who helped her Fortune-500 grandparents get the Lodge built, even offering to take Kimmy under her wing. Kimmy forms a friendship with Tyson, Tammy’s younger brother who’s her age. The families go to the lodge as Kimmy convinces Kenny and Tyson to a sled race, away from the stuffy atmosphere. The kids sled down Corpse's Cliff, the biggest mountain of the resort as they wind up, in the public portion of the park. However, despite a few cool attractions, it is not as luxurious or even as well-kept. The kids do bond with the kids there, whose class has won a trip due to strong test scores, coming from a poverty stricken school. Tammy and the other rich kids go looking for the group, and tease the other kids. Kenny, after his character development from the first, stands up to Tammy, as the two children argue profusely drawing Kimmy and Tyson in the middle. As the sun goes down, they head back to their sites. That evening, Kimmy is confronted and teased by Karen on her apparent crush on Tyson, encouraging her younger sister to follow her heart. Tyson talks to Tammy about being nicer, as Tammy notes that is not what their parents do and intimidates Tyson to back down. Kenny convinces Kimmy to help sneak the campers into the nice side of the Lodge, which Tyson decides to help as well using a spare set of IDs to get the other children in. This succeeds until Tammy catches wind. Tammy manages to get Kenny, Kimmy and the campers in trouble, exposing the plan to the adults, successfully getting the other campers inside for the duration of the vacation as well as Kenny and Kimmy. Tyson calls Tammy out for her snobbery. Kenny challenges Tammy to a game of capture the flag. Whichever side wins, stays indoors all week but the losers will also be slaves for the rest of the vacation to the winners. Both Tammy and Kenny get their sides to build snow forts, make a large amount of snowballs and plan strategies. Tammy, noting that they know the mountains and resort, demands they do a series of guerilla tactics and “borrowing” a few of the snowmobiles, while Kenny notes they have the numbers advantage and use their side against the rich, like the poorly salted ground and small patches in the ground, dividing two camps one to capture the flag, the other defends the base. Kenny, suspecting Tammy will play dirty, hides the flag inside his jacket. Tyson and Kimmy attempt to talk their siblings out of the war to no luck. The kids sneak out at night as a massive snowball fight begins. Both sides are evenly matched but injuries pile up. Kenny manages to steal the flag in a hit and run, as Tammy learns that the flag is also on Kenny. Tyson and Kimmy manage to convince the fighting to stop by pointing out similarities between the kids, with Tyson standing up to Tammy. Kenny and the rest of the kids are convinced to share but out of spite, Tammy shoots a flare gun at the peak of the mountain in hopes of causing an avalanche to wipe out the other side’s base. However, the avalanche grows larger to be a threat, this forces all the children to work together with Kimmy and Tyson taking charge as they sled down the mountain. Most escape but Tammy gets stuck as Kimmy and Tyson go to help her but as the avalanche grows nearer, Tyson sacrifices himself to make sure Tammy and Kimmy make it out okay. As it ends, the kids work together to find Tyson, who is unconscious. Tammy is overcome with guilt as Kimmy revives him. The children decide to squash their arguments and enjoy the vacation, but not before the parents come. Tammy and Tyson’s parents argue not only should the other kids be kicked out but the lodge stay private. Tammy sincerely apologizes for her actions as well as being justly punished by her parents. Both Kimmy and Kenny, and Tyson and Tammy advocate for the park being for everyone, as he explains to the parents and grandparents all the trouble that has happened because of these divisions and class mentalities. The owners of the lodge agree to end the divisions as the kids enjoy the last few days of vacation. Tammy is working at the lodge to make up for her action as she and Kenny make peace. Kimmy and Tyson exchange numbers and a kiss

Disney+ has not really had a show that really broke the mainstream in ages. Last time subscribers really flocked was Loki back in 2021. Sure, Marvel and Star Wars stuff drives up numbers but it’s not really bleeding but more or less around the same as any other streamer. 300,000 is only a fraction of 42M in the US, hell that’s barely over 0.7% of US subscribers.

TLM is doing 300m domestically, and with the % of Caucasian audience decreased in general since the pandemic (Top Gun and Guardians are the only example of 40%+). The problem isn’t right wing america having a hissy fit but rather the fact that Disney Plus is entirely too convenient. The Plus numbers only fell worldwide literally due to Cricket, Disney actually has gained subscribers here in the states. In addition to that, when most of Pixar’s films this decade has gone to the plus, it trains your audience.

I’m not anti-Pixar or anti-WDAS, I’m just finding it odd that Universal isn’t giving things space.

Eh. I doubt it. Trolls 3 has refused to move from Wish which is five days later. I think Universal is willing to have a smaller hit and hurt it’s competition which is highly weakened.

Tbh I think March 29th is great and could pull a Mario. I think if Cap can't make it in time, Disney wouldn't mind giving Sony the May kickoff and it opens late July. Or tbh they can probably getting away with bullying IO2 out of a spot on June 14th.

It's a mix of both Iger and Chapek. Chapek was in control of the distribution system for movies but Iger allowed him to set up that division when he shouldn't have.