YM!

I don’t think goofiness or even not adding anything is the cause of concern, as it will come down to quality at the end of the day. If it gets Shang-Chi/No Way Home/Wakanda reception from the GA, there is no worry.

I think Joker 2 will be dropping about the same as these two because the first hit a zeitgeist and I’m not sure the musical angle will be a sell. This one needs to make up for the lackluster reception of the majority of Phase 4-5 as we’re seeing with Guardians 3, a well-liked predecessor might not be able to help lose of brand faith (but if Guardians is great and the next few shows get strong reception throughout I would feel more positive.) as well as having China not as strong as it used to be. 250-300/600-800m is my range for both.

Dude, this literally happens to DC movies and a lot of other tentpoles too. It’s not just Marvel.

Fowler’s The Siege of Savage will now open May 22nd, Y10 on Memorial Day weekend in accordance to a deal with Phoenix Fire Entertainment.

@cayommagazine As a sneak peek is expected to debut at this year’s Oscars, Gateways: The Children of Zenith gets a last minute release date change to 4/1/Y10, to capitalize on the Easter weekend and Spring Break. The original Gateways will also see a rerelease to help hype up fans in a limited one week engagement on March 27th, Y10. Some theaters will also do a Gateways double feature on March 31st at 7:00 PM.

You might think I’m crazy The way I’m been cravin’ If I put it quite plainly Just gimme them babies

Not as good as Teen Titans Go! To The Movies sadly.

I don’t think they’ll do Smash Bros but I’ve been thinking on it for a minute but I think Universal come Cinemacon will ink a deal with Nintendo to make a bunch of movies both animated and not. Live-action Zelda, Pokémon and Metroid will be one of them with Illumination doing Mario 2 for 2026 and either Donkey Kong or Luigi’s Mansion for 2027, and probably Kirby, Star Fox, Splatoon or Pikmin as movies. Think Kirby will be most favored as the lead is silent and is the perfect blend of Ice Age Scrat/Minions shenanigans which Melandandri help build.

I’m afraid of this possibility more and more this weekend: Grand Theft Auto Directed by Shawn Levy Ryan Reynolds as the lead

You do realize Disney+ gained subscribers in America right? The subscriber drop was due to losing Cricket in India. The same ones on the right will grumble about it some woke crap, then forget it when their children or them wants to watch one of the movies or get another month of Disney+ or go to Disney World/Land. This whole culture war thing has no principle or spine perpetuated by the right. I mean Black Panther is still one of the biggest Marvel heroes. Doctor Strange 2 and Wakanda Forever are still some of the big blockbusters. Don’t forgot the very blatantly “woke” Captain Marvel, Zootopia, any Disney Princess movie circa 2013, Black Panther, Coco, etc.

That comes a lot with when you have built a name for yourself on quality. It’s why Marvel Studios has been struggling Phase 4-5 after the Infinity Saga whereas most competitors just need to be good. Same for Pixar/WDAS, being good enough works for stuff like Illumination, Sony, Dreamworks etc but there’s a pedigree that comes with it.

In addition to that: the well-received ones have all done gangbusters on the plus: Encanto, Luca and Turning Red were amongst the most streamed movies in 2021 and 2022. Honestly if both had longer windows or went theatrical with a strong marketing campaign, I think all would’ve gone 100m+, maybe 150-200m+ for some. i think Elemental will slightly underperform but I think Wish will be the big hit they want. Big Disney musical reminiscent of the 90s and SpiderVerse animation could be big, just need to really market it hard (ie 3 trailers and massive campaigns). Elio from the Coco co-director/writer Adrian Molina seems like a knockout hit but needs KFP4 to move. IO2 is IO2 and I think the 2024 WDAS is Zootopia 2.

So 210M five day then.

I fail to see the difference in messaging between the recent output and the majority of Disney stuff 2010-2019 in animation. Can you imagine the scrutiny Zootopia and Coco would face today? But both would still be huge hits. Quality is a main problem of why both Lightyear and Strange World failed (both failed to take off streaming either) because both were very boring and unimaginative but it had very little to do with the “go woke, go broke” mentality that doesn’t really exist despite a frustrated loud minority. Even on OW, Lightyear did well in the Midwest and red states, but underperformed on the East and West coast. I also think in addition to that when you have mediocre WOM and know that Disney will put it on the plus within 30-45 days that’ll eat at your legs. TLM is very likely to do 300m+ domestically.

Turning Red and Luca was one of the most streamed movies of their debut years. My dude, every Disney and Pixar from inception has had a message and a blatant one too. There’s a huge difference in quality between Wall-E and Strange World despite booth’s climate change allegories and Wall-E is way more unsubtle about it. The problem is both Strange World and Lightyear were not good and streaming eating into its margins. 3 out of the 4 Pixar movies since Onward went straight to streaming and 3 out of 3 movies after Frozen II had either a very short window for streaming or a hybrid release.

You have to send a picture of shirtless Matt Damon or Ben Affleck, you know the rules

Incel Bowser was the funniest part. If it were funnier and didn’t use a lot of lame gags, I think it’d be great. My expectations of C-tier Dreamworks was met. Therefore it’s in the top 5 Illumination movies. Under Grinch, over Minions Gru, a solid 3/5.

We need shirtless men sacrifices for RTH to come:

God damn at Mario. Not only is it looking at a record breaking 215-220M five day allowing it to be the biggest movie of the year with an outside shot at biggest animated movie ever both domestically and worldwide but it did so on Easter weekend and when kids movies were floundering with some exceptions. Could be a nice kick in the pants to show big screen animation is back.

We haven’t had a big kids movie do this well since 2019, and the last big non Disney kids movie to this caliber is almost unseen.

I was very well behaved going out as a kid, even when I was a toddler. My parents can only recall one tantrum in public and that was when I was a toddler. I was told to behave or we won’t go back. Like I was told when we to ToysRUs when we could get a toy or just looking and I was keep a straight face the whole time. Then again, I was an easy kid.

2022 What Disney needs to do is be relentless in marketing again and give longer windows for the Plus. It’ll be very very very hard because of how big the Plus is and that it ate into a lot of it’s animation arms. Not saying Elemental or Wish won’t be hits (I think the latter could surprise) but they do have a battle uphill we can’t deny, especially because now competitors are less afraid to open against them.

Illumination and Dreamworks

Mario is looking like the king domestically and a good sign for animation this year (albeit this was clearly the kingpin). Thanks to the Plus damaging every Disney brand, Comcast is now the big name in animation at least until 2024/25 in which Disney could build themselves back with Wish, Elio, IO2 and possibly Zootopia 2. Think there’s a solid chance that every Comcast animation does 100m+ domestic this year. Gillman: 30m five day/100m Trolls: 50m/165m Migration: 30/55/200

I like the animation, but lol at just being 30 seconds of footage. Now watch this be the biggest non Mario/SpiderVerse animation this year lol. 35/50/205