Jonwo
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Everything posted by Jonwo
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I love how nonplussed the pilot was. It's great they've got the obscure Batman villain, I'm guessing Hugo Strange, Professor Pyg, Hush etc were too dark for a kids film -
Lego Batman seems to be okay in presales but I would guess it'll benefit from walk ins, Sing is doing very well and I imagine Lego Batman will benefit from spillover if Sing has sold out showings and vice versa, it's in a lot more formats like 4DX and IMAX whereas Sing is 3D and 2D. There's local holidays coming in just over a week so I would imagine families will wait until then to see Lego Batman then rather than this weekend.
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I imagine most families will wait until half term to see it, I wouldn't be surprised if it has sellouts on the day, I think if Sing sells out, Lego Batman will benefit from the spillover.
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I assume it's sharing IMAX with Lego Batman on Saturday and Sundays. I'm surprised La La Land didn't go to IMAX sooner. I could see it happening, it wouldn't surprise me if it dominates until Fast 8 comes out
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Lego Batman has a lot of showtimes for previews this weekend, more than Sing did. It'll be interesting how it does given Sing will be doing well on weekends. Beauty and the Beast has gone on sale, wonder if it can come close to what The Jungle Book did on its opening weekend
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Interesting that Sing despite being number 1 only has three entries in the top 15. According to Deadline, it was third on Friday but jumped to number 1 on Saturday and Sunday
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Sing opened in December in most places and faced Rogue One and Moana so it did well but not huge numbers, the fact there hasn't been any kids films since Christmas is a major factor too plus it was marketed really well.
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Interesting that Trainspotting was only £1.1m behind Sing if you exclude previews, I guess it probably beat Sing on Friday but Sing won Saturday and Sunday I imagine even with Lego Batman previews, Sing will have a good drop simply because weekdays will be lower because kids are in schools.
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I think Sing will benefit next week if Lego Batman has sellouts and vice versa. Lego Batman is in IMAX, 4DX and PLFs which is rare for an animated film.
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It'll be interesting who wins the weekend if you take away the previews, I think Sing will have the edge but I imagine T2 will be higher on weekdays.
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I'm not sure T2 is going to do much business domestically but TBH it doesn't matter as it'll be a success in the UK and the budget is only $18m which it'll easily make back just from the home market, everywhere else is just gravy
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For stats nerds, here's the breakdown of the 2016 UK box office: http://www.bfi.org.uk/sites/bfi.org.uk/files/downloads/bfi-uk-box-office-2016.pdf June was the lowest admissions which isn't too surprising due to the football but I'm shocked August was the highest month of 2016. November and December were massively down but I assume that's due to no Bond and Rogue One not doing nearly as well on its OW as TFA. May is a very consistent month.
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I think it would have lead to a much worse sequel and clearly Illumination knew they couldn't meet that deadline. I'm surprised they had nothing to replace it, it'll be the first summer in 4 years without an Illumination film.
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I imagine T2 will win Friday but Sing will win Saturday and Sunday. Sing will be number 1 anyway because of previews
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4 years is a big gap but I assume Wicked in 2019 prevented them scheduling it then. I do wonder if Sing needs a sequel, seems kind of a one and done film
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Minions: The Rise of Gru | July 1, 2022 | Illumination
Jonwo replied to grim22's topic in Box Office Discussion
I'm assuming they wanted breathing room between it and DM3 and to fit other films and sequels -
Bridget Jones was a rare example of a film opening huge in a quiet month but I don't think even Universal thought it would be as big as it was. I would not be surprised if Lego Batman does double what Fifty Shades Darker does on its OW, the marketing for Lego Batman is been very good, equal to Sing
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I love Streep but Florence Foster Jenkins which I liked wasn't Oscar worthy and I think Amy Adams should have been nominated over her. Mel Gibson getting nominated for best director wasn't too surprising.
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I'm sure if Marty or another director offer him a great role, he'll jump at it. It'll be a huge shame if his last film is How Do You Know.
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M.Night's comeback with Split makes me wonder if any other actor or director should make a comeback. After watching The Departed again, I would like Jack Nicholson return to acting.
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The previews number for Sing just shows how superb Universal marketed it whereas Disney didn't do much marketing for Moana hence the lower OW but luckily it had fantastic WOM to help get a huge multiplier. Warner Bros likewise has done a really good job marketing Lego Batman and I suspect that'll do really well in previews and on its actual opening weekend, whether it can close to SLOP or Sing previews remains to be seen.
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I'm curious when the Lego Batman Movie reviews are out, I'm assuming it's within the next week or so since it's opening in some territories a week before domestic.
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You mean number 2, Sing will be number 1 easily. Hacksaw Ridge should do decently as well, I'm not expecting huge numbers but I think if it gets an Oscar nomination then it'll do over £2m.
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Lego Batman is the big question mark as The Lego Movie opened to £8m with previews, it's been marketed really well but I don't know if it'll open as high as The Lego Movie. Trainspotting 2 I imagine will do pretty well as well although it's 18 rated so I'm not expecting more than £3-4m.
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Julieta, America Honey, The First Monday in May, Love and Friendship and Paterson were my lowest grossing films of 2016,
