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Posts posted by Valonqar
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3 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
Too bad the casting category won't be in effect this year. This might win that as well. But yeah, I can also see one acting nom for this.
Agreed, Casting would be shoo-in lets hope Ensemble compensates. It needs to be seen as actor's movie not just tech movie. And yes, 1 acting nom is the most realistic scenario.
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39 minutes ago, kayumanggi said:
DUNE was nominated for 10 Oscars. Wins in bold.
Picture
Adapted Screenplay
Original Score
Sound
Production Design
Cinematography
Makeup and Hairstyling
Costume
Editing
Visual Effects
Do you think DUNE II might give Denis Villeneuve a directing nom? Are acting nominations possible as well? Chalamet, Zendaya, and Butler have been receiving praises.
Chalamet and Zendaya will be campaigned in Lead which is much tougher category to get in. WB could technically fraud Zendaya in supporting but not Chalamet. Since Supporting is easier to get in, Butler with his showy af performance could get in since that category likes villains and OTT characters (see RDJ, Ruffalo, DeNiro, Gosling this year). Likewise, I've seen praise for Ferguson so she could sneak in Supporting if they decide to campaign her there anot fraud Z.
So what I can see it winning:
Picture
Director
Editing (repeat)
Score (repeat)
Sound (repeat)
Production design (repeat)
Cinematography (repeat)
VFX (repeat)
Makeup and Hairstyling (Butler's makeup is getting singled out although it's the same makeup like all Harkonens in the first movie)
I think that Costume is tougher cause it didn't win last time, will depend on competition. Adapted is likely going to something else - they like to award small character-driven movies there - but as long as it's nominated it will be fine. I'm hoping for at least 1 acting nom and right now Butler seems the likeliest for what I said above. It really needs SAG Ensemble nom at least if it wants to win Picture.
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6 minutes ago, JustLurking said:
Wait, what kind of rounding does RT use? I thought it'd turn 98% when it crossed 97,5 but still hasn't happened 🤔
Maybe Elrich resubmitted his rotten review?
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2 hours ago, WorkingonaName said:
WBs campaign team is gonna be busy this year, they have
1. Joker
2. Dune
3. Juror No 2
4. Horizon 1
5. Horizon 2
6. Alto Knights
7. Furiosa
All coming this year, have no idea how there gonna juggle all that.
Horizon movies won't go anywhere awards-wise. Yellowstone TV show and spin-offs got mostly ignored despite ratings. Costnerverse doesn't seem to be awards thing. Can't say tried to watch Yellowstone just to see what the fuss was about, was bored halfway through ep 1 and quit.
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5 hours ago, JustLurking said:
108 reviews, still 97% and only 3 negative. Another...9? positive reviews and it goes up to 98%.
2 hours ago, JustLurking said:Down to 5 more for the 98 👀
Time for "Reviews Are Mixed" headline
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7 minutes ago, Elessar said:
You can never predict the Oscars, especially not at the very beginning of the year. Maybe some other movie comes along we haven't even on the radar now that gets all the momentum. I get it, fans want to be validated, but really, Oscars or no Oscars, the movie will be the movie. Don't stress over it.
Fans mostly want it to happen for Villeneuve especially after that ridiculous snub
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44 minutes ago, Firepower said:
February release date also doesn't help.
Technically March and EEAAO was released in March too. If a movie has what it takes, release date doesn't mean shit. By that logic, Oppenheimer (summer movie) shouldn't be the frontrunner but one of fall festival movies released between Oct and December.
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3 minutes ago, MysteryMovieMogul said:
I don't understand why we're even discussing Best Picture or Oscar chances whatsoever when many Best Picture nominees don't pop up until October or later. Poor Things didn't come out until December, and didn't even debut until September. Does Dune Part 2 have a chance? Totally, but it's definitely not a sure thing.
because month of reelase doesn't matter if your movie sustains the buzz. Early release didn't hurt EEAAO also released in March.
And we aren't discussing nomination here cause that seems pretty locked with reviews like these and first movie's pedigree. We are discussing potential win. I'd say SAG ensemble nom is a must (ROTK got it and won it, ditto Parasite) if it doesn't get individual acting nomination(s). Out of these supporting categories are easier to get in.
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WB promoted the heck out of DUNC so they obviously have high hopes awards-wise and boxoffice-wise.
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3 minutes ago, Last Man Standing said:
Yes lol. It ends with a note about how nuclear war is inevitable.
This. Even Nolan said so in his BAFTA speech.
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Bleak shmleak. Oppenheimer is bleak yet to made almost 1B. Dune II will be fine. Audience can take bleakness.
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2 minutes ago, Last Man Standing said:
Crossed 100 reviews now, still 97%. Please stop obsessing over the tiny minority of critics who didn't like it. It happens every time a well recieved, highly anticipated movie gets reviewed. It does no-one any good, except maybe the critics who dislike the movies, who get an absolutely outsized amount of attention.
Yeah not trying to jinx it but 100/3 ratio goes against dropping below 90% with more reviews.
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Any foreign reviews that we can compare to domestic ones which are raves?
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20 minutes ago, Spidey Freak said:
Sony giving AtSV the worst release date where OS theatres couldn't keep it around due to an uninterrupted string of new releases is not a victory for Aquaman 2 as much as Sony leaving money on the table. Neither is dropping near 700M from its predecessor. And obvsly AQM2 would be bigger OS than Black Adam. BA didn't get a China release lol.
It's not as disastrous as The Marvels I guess.
That's what I'm saying. Smart release date on WB part and obviously Momoa holds some appeal since the movie didn't collapse after the holiday season. Bomb to be sure but a Pyrric win in comparison to some other bombs that didn't have a likeable star to tide them over.
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1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:
This is lock to get BP nom. Like Oppenheimer I am hoping it will have great BO run and so will be the frontrunner. Hopefully Denis is also in BD contention. he should be for sure considering its purely director driven version. Plus win all tech awards for sure. I am not sure if it will get any acting noms. Unlikely for the genre.
There's also another thing that worries me re: win which is that current Metacritic is 80 while Oppenheimer is 90. Given the genre bias, genre movies need to work harder to win. ROTK had 94, Shape of the Water 87 but EEAAO 81 though that one has some other advantages. I really hope Meta stays above 80 and increase. Bloody Elrich review really drags it down.
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5 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:
WB is really an expert in making Oscar blockbuster unlike any other major studio. They have Inception, Mad Max, Gravity, American Sniper, Dunkirk, Joker, Dune, Barbie. And this year they may have more than one in a single year.
It would be fair if a WB sci fi became the first one to win Best Picture. I know that some consider EEAAO sci fi but that's a stretch. It's more of a fantasy.
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Those 3 negative reviews look sos tupid now.
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3 minutes ago, ThePhasmid said:
If you excuse the early 00's CGI, it still looks incredible for a miniseries of that era. I can only echo how amazing the score was. Brian Tyler's shining moment. It was released a few years before Last King of Scotland, so McAvoy was still slowly climbing the ranks of stardom. The dialogue and acting was aeons ahead of everything else on Sci-Fi Channel at the time.
💯
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2 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:
That 8.6/10 average rating is showing just how passionate the positive reactions are.
I guess we found our Oscar blockbuster for year of 2024.
Yep reviews when you read them in depth definitely sound like that. Fingers crossed.
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Boo counting Erlich of all reviews twice!
I'm focusing on acting in reviews and so far cast has been praised - Tim, Z, Becca and Austin.
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2 minutes ago, IchwanBigBrother said:
https://www.metacritic.com/movie/dune-part-two/
I'm surprised they're quicker on the draw than RT who probably have much more funding and staff. As of this post, nothing.
https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/dune_part_two
Thank you!
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why can't I see the reviews and score on Metacritic?
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28 minutes ago, ThePhasmid said:
Any Children of Dune fans in here? It was the best version of a Dune translation until Denis showed up. I say this as someone who enjoys Lynch's version as a guilty pleasure.
Massive fan! McAvoy's breakout role if I'm not mistaken, great performances by unknown cast (especially Alia), incredible score. Much better than Dune adaptation the same team did though I liked Irulan's expansion and the actress was great.
8 minutes ago, IchwanBigBrother said:Liked it much more than the version of "Frank Herbert's Dune" they did years earlier
Same. Dune series felt stilted in dialog cause they were too scared to stray from the text (sacred cow!) and adpat it to natural dialog. No such problem with CoD which was actually Messiah + CoD adaptation. Made me tear up so many times.
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⊃∪∩⪽ Part II | March 1, 2024 | Reactions drop February 15, reviews February 21 | Zendaya for our next C-3P0
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
to be fair, LOTR was filmed as a trilogy back to back so they knew ROTK was coming. They weren't going to up the number of wins for the middle movie. Dune 2 could suffer from Dune Messiah announcement but it has contained story. What some call a cliffhanger really isn't that.
I don't think that Feb/March stands in the way as much as actors' support. If it is seen as actors movie on top of tech movie (helped LOTR) than it has a shot to win. If not than no.
If Oppenheimer wins, it will be a big socially relevant movie. They don't have to be small and barely seen all the fuckin time.