Gosling has no chance of winning either. Both are vying for one of 2 also run spots and also runs are the most vulnerable. Both have strengths and weaknesses:
Rami - popular movie, guaranteed blockbuster by the look of presales and how it's blowing up in UK, iconic historical person, praised performance, but bad reviews for the movie
Gosling - praised performance and movie, iconic historical figure but boxoffice bomb
Top 3 (in no particular order): Bale, Cooper, Mortensen.