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Posts posted by cdsacken
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7 minutes ago, stuart360 said:
Yep me, you, Sheldon, a few others, we all said for a long time that its a legs film, and not amazing first and second weekend film.
I cantr believe there are still people on here that think 600mil is in doubt. I mean its going to bearound or over 500mil by the end of next weekend, and next weekend should be in the 40mil range.
'Sky people can not see'.
next weekend may not be in the 40m range and the week after will drop harder. 600+ seems likely -
25 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:
It's not about gore. It's about tone.
Opm is a seinen anime geared toward young adults and no one dies in that show. It's very tame graphic wise. AOT is aimed at teens and people die there all the time.
Of course it's not 1 to 1 but its the point I'm making.
nah if that’s the case it does way worse. It’s hitting great with families. My 8 year old loved it. Other than one part and I won’t expand on that. -
5 minutes ago, Sheldon Cr said:
Also the first to 1 billion with Titanic, first to nearly 3B with Avatar.. Not sure where A2 will end up, but it sure would be nice if it made 3BWW
Zero chance of even 2.5B WW. Even 2.0 is very hard.
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Just got out. Not as good as the first but that’s expected as it’s clearly part 1 of a 2 part movie. Reminds me of the feel after Deathly Hollows part 1.
Won’t see again in theaters. Dolby was beautiful but some of the effects felt too smooth too forced. Detail was incredible and much of the weather scenes were excellent. Anxious to see #3. Really hoping 4 and 5 have nothing to do with earth.
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SHOWTIME! See you guys after!
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Just now, Sheldon Cr said:
A2 definitely hitting 600m. But I would 700-800m. Time will tell
lol dude I'm not talking about avatar 2 but yes 600 is likely. 700 very unlikely. January will tell more.
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21 minutes ago, XXR Eywa Has Heard You! said:
I think it can get $400-500M WW
Dude I will be jacked with 500m. Anything above 375 given this box office is a huge win.
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4 minutes ago, XXR Eywa Has Heard You! said:
ATSV will, yes.
Exactly. I don’t think it will dominate but I’m hoping for a decent opening and good legs. Looks awesome and my daughter wants to see it so that’s a win. She is freaking out about Avatar 2 tomorrow in Dolby. -
19 minutes ago, XXR Eywa Has Heard You! said:
Legit spider verse buts puts Spider-Man above 10b
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5 minutes ago, danziger said:
TWOW will end up so incredibly successful I see no way (barring aforementioned external events) Disney waits that long, they'll want Cameron back filming 4 asap, and probably 5 simultaneously to save money just as with 2 & 3. Just a question imo of whether Cameron wants to make that commitment at his age.
likely true and I hope so. I don’t think it hits 2B closer to 1.7B but we shall see. Going on Tuesday with the fam to see it -
38 minutes ago, danziger said:
Fantastic WOM, easy profit - barring external events like wars and pandemics, the only way we don't get Avatar 4 & 5 now is if JC reverses course (& all indications are he's very excited to do them). TWOW's mission is accomplished. Everything beyond that is just more cherries on top. Naysayers will try to hold on desperately to the "$2 billion to break even" lie, but if that's their standard they've already lost. 6+ more years of heavy heavy Avatar news for them (of course they could just stop caring like they've insisted for 13 years that everyone else has - but has zero impact on us or Avatar either way).
2 billion to break even is ridiculous. At 1.5B it makes money. At 2B it makes quite a good chunk. Long as 3 does well it’s very likely we get all 4 more. -
In general 1.65-2B is good. Given the expectations of Avatar not so much
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20 minutes ago, Mulder said:
All things considered, if it does make it to 1.9 billion that'd be impressive.
agreed it’s going to need absolutely amazing holds- 1
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52 minutes ago, XXR Also in Boots said:
All depends on exchange rates and China. Even if ticket sales drop 10% from A2 to A3 in all markets (minus China for obvious reasons), a flip in the ER can still turn that into a 10-20% gain.
If Jim can tighten A3 up into the 160-170 minute range that would be a plus.
Oh yeah if the next movie expands on this one and is even better with better exchange rates and china even lives up to 80% it could easily do more. I want 3 to do 2.5B make it impossible not to do #4 and #5 -
1 hour ago, Ryan Reynolds said:
3 weeks minimum, Disney gets what they want
thats what I thought like till Jan 3rd or something like that -
Curious how long they keep their massive share of premium screens
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Gimme just under JW. Hoping for 2B.
hoping it has monster holds every week.
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6 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:
This is AoU and TLK all over again.
Damn that is accurate. Feels exactly like TLK and I remember how negative that was even though it did 1.65B. I was honestly more disappointed in the movie cared less about the box office. Versus Aladdin beat expectations and did way less . I did love Aladdin though.TLK imo looked amazing but I liked the original way more. Solid film and daughter enjoyed it kinda.
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19 minutes ago, JustLurking said:
FYI being obnoxious in the other direction doesn't make you any better than the users you're mocking.
how on earth is 1.55B being the opposite? Hope I’m wrong and it does 2B I want Avatar 4 and 5 greenlit!- 1
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4 minutes ago, ZattMurdock said:
It’s not guaranteed that it won’t top NWH, but that was one of the biggest superhero films of all time for good reason. There is no shame in that.
in general that’s true. But for 10 years folks on this board talked about 3 billies WW and 1 billion dom. Expectations were way way too high. Especially china.- 1
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2 minutes ago, XXR Also in Boots said:
It's not going to die hard at all. There's 6 weeks before another 15M opener shows up. It's going to add another $500M in January alone.
I don’t see 500 happening in January. China will be zero, a lot of markets will be dying down. Premium screens will be gone.I’m going with 1.55B as my guess maybe 1.6
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14 minutes ago, XXR Also in Boots said:
I've got it at $1.28B WW through January 2nd. No matter how one feels about its run, It's going to be the biggest film released in 2022.
I mean sure but it’s going to die hard after. It’s good in general but a massive step backwards and losing to NWH is rough
Weekend Thread | Estimates: Avatar 19.7, Puss 11.5, M3GAN 9.8, Missing 9.3, Otto 9
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Dak played pretty bad