cdsacken

Woah nelly sir, going to the opposite end of the spectrum here.

Mulan's problem is that it followed a silly cartoon musical and went super serious. I don't think anyone thought eternals was going to be a comedy but it does certainly seem like it's going to be a much deeper slower more methodical type of film and I'm curious to see how that translates box office wise

Based on the detective Pikachu level of expectations versus likely results I anticipate seeing a 400m OW post shortly.

How interesting. I loved lost in the woods. It was a great 80s love balled. Well different strokes for different folks I guess! Wish you loved it more but I can agree on tone and ending. Bit different

Lmao Eternals is going to crush it

I LOVED the second film. Better songs (Let it go and then nothing versus tons of good stuff), and I loved the depth of the film. First felt very basic to me. Fun but basic.

It's possible. It's FAR FAR from a lock. 225 in a weekend is incredibly hard and remember the following weekend is going to be incredible as is the ENTIRE week following the 19th. No school and Christmas on a Saturday? If it does worse than expected probably has way better legs than anticipated. If it hits your 225+ probably hits 650+ might as well beat black panther then.

I love how people are guaranteeing the next infinity war despite the fact that no Spider-Man films even sniffed it, we have no idea if the reviews are going to be amazing and typically Sony messes up everything, there's a pandemic, an inflation is hurting a lot of things including people's budgets. I feel like I'm taking crazy pills. 600 million domestic would be absolutely monstrous but if you look at the predictions on this thread it would be actually a huge disappointment which is hilarious. Feels like a detective Pikachu thread. I definitely don't expect this to bomb and I expected to crush FFH numbers domestically. International is a crapshoot thanks to China

I agree that it'll open big however I don't believe that big we shall see. Legs have sucked balls thanks to covid and while the Christmas month will provide legs no matter what especially just where the day is fall how good it does I think will depend on reviews and pandemic numbers. If the pandemic numbers are down and the reviews are amazing you might be right but 700 million is a massive stretch for domestic.

Why you gotta show that sign. I'm still sad and mad

lol what a time to strike. Those bastards are geniuses.

I get it, people are excited but the pandemic does exist. It's not going away and case counts will rise probably 40 to 50% in late fall. It will keep people out. Hell thanks to Evan Hansen sucking I've been to ZERO movies since jan 2020. No Pandemic, 99% RT score and it nails it sure 275m OW is possible. However, pandemic and Sony always screws up every movie a little bit. It won't be perfect just like FFH wasn't. Perhaps I will be wrong but 225 OW is projecting what 500 million domestic in 14 days? No way.

Why wouldn't it? Case counts are plummeting, and by the time it comes out 10+ million newly vaccinated kids 5-11? Numbers should be great. Considering Christmas is on a Saturday and most will have Friday off (NYSE holiday and Federal Holiday) it's going to have a banging good first week and an amazing 2nd week. Some are predicting insanity like 225 OW in just America despite a pandemic. I'm happy to stretch for 250m for 7 days (FFH did 195m in the summer not in a pandemic directly after End Game with Iron Man link). This has nostalgia, other Spiderman, Dr Strange (massive drop off from Ironman link) but multi verse angle is sick. Still accounting for what will be at the very least 25% of the entire country still not vaccinated in a pandemic where case counts will start rising again a 28% increase in 2 years seems pretty damn generous Now what I will say, 2nd week will be awesome. FFH did 280m in 14 days. Gimme way more 350m in 14 days domestic maybe more. Hell 370 wouldn't shock me one bit. I just hope it comes out in China and dominates.

Entire week? Doable Weekend? Not a chance in hell.

Only due to endgame.

Great cast, weird story angle plus mega powerful superheroes. Should do awesome IF reviews are solid.

Not fully back but mostly. 5-11 vaccine and shortly after 6 months to 4 will bring back to last families holding back like mine.

But don't you understand delaying the movie six consecutive times only increases the hype........

Let's be realistic prior to this movie coming out and being announced ask a hundred people who Shang chi is. What percentage would get it right? 5% maybe?

Easy! People liked the first one despite the plot sucking, michelle williams being awful and the villain being terrible. Better villain, michelle did better and the reception was way stronger. Perfect time for the release and apparently people liked it even more! Combine all of that with no competition besides Shang Chi out for a month. Bet it does good next week too. Venom had back to back massive domestic drops. Venom 2 will hold better for weekends #2, #3 and #4!

33% drop for Sunday? Aggressive forecast

Shang Chi is going to end up at 225m minimum domestic. I don't think 300 domestic was a reasonable forecast precovid for an obscure IP. 250 would mean 90% of pre covid target.

Under by 50m. FFH did 185m for a 6 day weekend Opening entire week? Totally.

It's a much bigger deal than Venom 2 which is going to hit near 80. So yeah 100 seems easy unless it bombs review wise.

That would make sense. Venom is a very good candidate for a late night audience.