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JB33

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Everything posted by JB33

  1. The BIG drop, the big shift in pace, will happen today. From there I think it will be pretty steady. I'm thinking anywhere between $6.8M and $7M for today.
  2. OT, but conversely a lot of Canadians travel down to Buffalo and Detroit for hockey games.
  3. Okay, I figured it didn't really make much of a difference. You also make a good point about it still being the 3rd weekend in December. Didn't think of that.
  4. Now we're seeing how the calendar is BENEFITING R1. Given New Year's Day landed on a Sunday, a lot of people had January 2 off, meaning people likely flocked to theatre for one last chance to see R1. Meanwhile, the 3rd Mondays for the likes of TFA and Avatar were both just over $8M. What a difference the calendar makes.
  5. This is really nitpicking, but isn't Disney's usual date the 3rd Friday in December, which would be the 21st in 2018? Or are they thinking of shifting it back a week because that's cutting it TOO close to Christmas?
  6. Like you said, Tuesdays are much different now, but if 2011 is any indication then the big drop will be from Monday to Tuesday. Wednesday and Thursday should be relatively steady. I'd say around $5.5M for Wednesday and a similar but slightly smaller number for Thursday.
  7. Wow, that Monday number is considerably higher than we all expected! I wonder what this means for the coming Tuesday-Thursday frame. In 2011, Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows fell 12.3% from Sunday January 1 to Monday January 2. It then dropped a massive 57.4% from Monday to Tuesday. As the article states, Rogue One only dropped 4% on Monday. I wonder if that means the drops will continue to be lower OR if we'll see an even bigger drop today to compensate for the very low drop from Sunday to Monday. I happen to ere on the side of the former, given Star Wars is a bigger and better brand. I expect a minimum of just under $7M ($6.88M) for Tuesday.
  8. What's your take on James Wan's movies? Specifically the Conjuring/Warren franchise?
  9. Really?? I wasn't aware of this negative reaction to the trailer. I've seen it before but I had no reaction either way. I have to watch it again to see what's got people unanimously slamming it.
  10. Don't tease me! That would be awesome! I think after the 3rd spin-off movie they'll take the saga films to the "Old Republic", so to speak, about 1000 years before The Phantom Menace. I'd love a saga based around the Jedi's victory over the Sith, Darth Bane and his rule of 2. It's the last significant time in Star Wars history before the story of the Skywalkers and the return of the Sith.
  11. Absolutely. Can't argue with that one bit. Maybe you put it best when you said Star Wars (outside of the films) is more of a merchandising juggernaut.
  12. If you're going to go into different mediums and products than you might as well take into consideration how Star Wars has dominated the toy market for a LONG time. Not trying to diminish what you're trying to say, just pointing out that Star Wars goes well beyond the films and as a franchise and total package is probably still more popular.
  13. Cool. It would definitely be the best choice. I mean, even if Avatar 2 takes a huge bite out of it, they don't necessarily NEED Han Solo to be massive. The saga films are the true mega blockbusters and the massive success of Rogue One is just gravy, considering it's ultimately a spinoff, like HS. Their main event for that year is Avengers: Infinity War anyway.
  14. It's going to be interesting to see what happens in 2018. If I'm Disney, I'm putting Han Solo in that mid-December slot regardless of what happens with Avatar 2. They're better off to let Avengers: Infinity War wreak havoc in May and early June than have two of their own tentpoles cannibalizing each other.
  15. It's funny the topic of objectively ranking movies has come up because I've sometimes tried to have this conversation with people, but to no avail. Movie ranking is not really objective, but I always tell people that they way I would do it is based on a combination of box office success (aka commercial success, success with the actual viewers), critical reception and awards. Using that formula, I've maintained for awhile that The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King is the greatest movie ever made. When it completed its box office run, it was the 2nd highest grossing film of all time behind Titanic. In terms of critical reception, it has an unbelievable 94 Metacritic score and 95% Rotten Tomatoes score (the former of which is even more telling) and in terms of awards it shares the all time record for Oscars won with Titanic, having amassed 12. It doesn't get any better than that, objectively speaking. In terms of my personal opinion, it's one of my top films of all time and I believe it still holds my own record for most times seen in theatres. I don't exactly remember how many, I just know I was 15 and a half years old when it came out and I was going to watch every time I had an ounce of spending money. I couldn't get enough of it.
  16. I see around the same final domestic take, but a much bigger opening weekend and, therefor, weaker legs.
  17. A bit early for showing me Spring clothes, isn't it?
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