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TwoMisfits

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TwoMisfits last won the day on November 26 2020

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  1. 100M doses is 50M vaccinated til J&J comes online for a single dose shot...VA (my "standard") is not currently following the "delay the 2nd shot" plan and is taking full immunity to each shot taker vs spreading it wider... Since VA has the best death rate for its size in the US (as a "not tiny" state), I'm assuming more states will probably follow its plan and its Gov, unless vaccines truly become scarce...
  2. https://deadline.com/2021/01/open-roads-liam-neeson-pic-the-marksman-takes-3-7m-at-mlk-weekend-box-office-1234675393/ The Marksman $3.2M 3 day/$3.7M 4 day The Croods $2M 3 day/$2.9M 4 day Wonder Woman $2.6M 3 day / around $3M 4 day (the $2.7M 4 day has to be an old number before WB updated) Edit to Add: This was a VERY nice deal to theaters from WB - "Some smaller exhibitors (non-chain) tell us that their terms for the HBO Max-theatrical releases are good at roughly 55% in their favor, to Warner’s 45%." Edit #2 - Adding the whole chart (again, I think WW 4 day has to be off)... Top 10 chart: 1.) The Marksman (Open) 1,975 theaters/3-day: $3.2M/4-day: $3.7M/Wk 1 2.) Croods: A New Age (Uni) 1,855 theaters (+37), 3-day: $2M (+13%)/4-day: $2.9M/Total: $40.1M/Wk 8 3.) Wonder Woman 1984 (WB) 2,201 theaters (-17)/$2.6M (-13%)/4-day: $2.7M est./Total: $35.9M/Wk 4 4.) News of the World (Uni) 1,953 theaters (-33), 3-day: $1.05M (-15%)/4-day: $1.27M/Total: $8.7M/Wk 4 5.) Monster Hunter (Sony) 1,694 theaters (-71), 3-day: $920K (-16%)4-day: $1.09M/Total: $9.2M/Wk 5 6.) Fatale (Lionsgate) 1,175 theaters (-47), 3-day: $530K (-19%)/4-day: $630K/ Total: $4.8M/Wk 5 7.) Promising Young Woman (Focus) 1,333 theaters (-115), 3-day: $430K (-24%)/4-day: $518K/ Total: $3.4M/Wk 4 8.) Master (Tamil & Telugu) 130 theaters/3-day: $206K/4-day: $251K/Wk 1 9.) Emperor’s New Groove (Dis) 744 theaters, 3-day: $169k/4-day: $239K/Total: $89.6M/Wk 1,049 10.) The War With Grandpa (101) 422 theaters (+37), 3-day: $155K (even) 4-day: $200K/Total: $19.2M/Wk 15
  3. That's why you buy 1 month a year...and cancel... Or swap from service to service as it fits you...
  4. That's what I'm reading, too...but not being in Norway or knowing anything about Norwegian senior living, I don't know if that's like the US's hospice level living or not. Like, if it's hospice, then, I'm not sure why they vaccinated anyway, b/c hospice should usually be palliative care only...but maybe they did see the vaccine as palliative...until now...
  5. Yeah, I saw that one - I'd love to know how old and frail they were prior...it's something I'm gonna keep watching for me. It does put Pfizer's vaccine down the list for my "desired" choices when my times up (and it does seem like maybe there was some method in getting essential workers done before cancer patients, just to see how strong reactions might be in the healthy before trying the really unhealthy)...
  6. Taking the "Spring Break" week right before Easter is making the holiday play again (week before and week after Easter are the normal 2 biggest spring movie going weeks). If there's any theatrical money to be made in the early spring, this will be it...AND it will also be the time all families are again looking for the "family" event, ala Trolls going big in 2020... I mean, the last only made $110M DOM, and this wasn't ever gonna go higher, especially in the Covid or post-Covid environment, so it won't lose much releasing here...and HBO Max could again gain a ton, now going after a different demo...
  7. Agreed - that's why I referenced the VA Gov being the best guide of what's possible - if you're not a doc AND a government employee, you don't get how both sides have to work this all the way through the logistics chains to the arms and what that entails...we'll get the logistics down and the seasonality of the disease (while not as strong as flu, is still there) will help, and we'll probably progress on his timeline of "max possible" doses...and that will still be absolutely amazing...
  8. Just remember, though, some people can't vaccinate, either in part or in full...
  9. At some point, exponential will slow down b/c this isn't a virus - this is people, storage, production, etc... VA Gov has a goal of 25K doses/day by early Feb and 50K/day by early April...with about 2.5% of the US population, if VA makes its goal, we're at 1M doses/day in Feb and 2M doses/day in April for the US. Since he's the only doc Gov, I'd assume his ideas of what's possible in the medical system are probably closest to "goal" numbers extrapolated across the country... PS - They ain't close to 25K/day yet, but here's hoping (they are getting close to 1/2 that in the 7 day average)...
  10. I used to think more vaccines would help speed everything up, but seeing rollout right now, the hold up is in the"paperwork/admin" side (at least in my state), which may be on purpose since they only have so many shots, so the easiest way to not disappoint is to slow down the front end and not get folks in line until you know you have product... But, if it's not on purpose, and they don't add folks and tech capability (or even just more phones), they are only gonna get X done per day for "regular" people, no matter how many doses and vaccines they have. That said, they do have "vaccine clinics" by important job field where the admin side gets either skipped or routed to some other group, so it will likely be "fast" for the levels of essential workers (we had 3 levels and about 10 groups at each level) and SLOW for the not...
  11. It's a very quick thing to destroy...it's a very long time to rebuild. The state of movie theatrical after Covid abates (which I do think should be summer) will be "destroyed"...so, it's gonna need a full rebuild. An outreach to consumers paid by the studios and supported by the talent (unlike last summer's outreach), a re-employment and reset to actually put showings all 7 days of the week at all normal times, actual product to see, and a decision on how to promote to try to "push" back consumers, b/c just opening won't really bring anyone...right now, you see who will go, and that number won't grow much just b/c someone says it's okay... It will be 15 months come June 1 for many places to have no theatrical...you don't just open your doors, price at $20/ticket, and say "come in" and see the masses flock to your doors... And this assumes the economy is not through the floor...if it collapses right after Covid is under control, well, folks are gonna sit home on their $7-9/month plans and live with them...
  12. Black Widow is now already strongly rumored to be PVOD/theatrical day and date...if Disney gives in on a super scheduled for May, scratch everything for months after...
  13. And yet one probably adopted by all the biggies for the entire year...they'll just keep dragging out the decisions one-by-one, month-by-month (which, by that nature, also costs more money and provides more uncertainty to everyone)...
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