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I'd love that to be the case if this fails but there is no way Pixar and Disney get that message. It would be more like "We want more sequels and bigger IPs" likely leading to Incredibles 3, Finding Nemo 3 and Toy Story 5 (I know the latter is already announced).

Damn, some of you are really desperate for this movie to fail. Unfortunately it is going to but damn you guys are desperate, who hurt you?

I saw it lol but totally forgot, same with Pinocchio. Would say those are the worst ones by far, haven't seen Peter Pan and Wendy

I don't think any remake or adaptation has been above the original except maybe Cruella, but I am not a fan of 101 Dalmatians in the first place and Cruella is a completely different story.

Could the domestic gross for The Little Mermaid be higher than the Overseas one at the end of its run? I still have the hope that the legs are amazing internationally like Aladdin but it is not looking good, particularly in Asia. I really wanted this to succeed in a big way so racists can shut their mouth. Edit: Just saw the rankings and felt like doing one as well 1. Aladdin 2. The Jungle Book 3. Cinderella 4. Maleficent 5. Beauty and the Beast 6. Cruella 7. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil 8. The Lion King 9. Alice in Wonderland 10. Dumbo 11. Mulan (If they had adapted the original with the original songs this would definitely be in my TOP3) 12. Alice in Wonderland: Through the Looking Glass

I think this is going to do well in Latin America and Europe, great in the US and underperform in Asia.

If COVID would not have happened I think Soul would have easily done +$300m DOM in summer 2020. Luca and Turning Red would likely had been +$200m hits as well.

Guardians of the Galaxy. Vol 3 was fantastic, so glad it is holding up great, my favorite MCU movie since Endgame. I think this movie could have made a billion a year ago, now if it makes +$800m WW I'd be happy considering I thought it was going to barely make $600m a week before it opened. I think it it pretty clear that Marvel must focus on quality over quantity, and I say this as an absolute fan of the brand. Two or three movies max and two disney+ shows a year is more than enough. I actually have high hopes for The Marvels, must be the only one in the internet who is excited for that movie.

Some of you really want The Marvels to fail

I think for the future of the MCU, and superhero movies in general, it is way more important that Guardians 3 is well liked by the general audience and gets good legs rather than a huge opening and mediocre responses. Yeah $110-120m is not good, especially when compared to the previous one and how MCU third installments usually perform compared to the previous two first entries, but I think Quantumania really hurt the MCU brand so if Marvel can earn audience trust back with this and hopefully Secret Invasion, Loki Season 2 and The Marvels (even if they underperform) I think they are set for a good future.

No, of course I don't expect them to say that is movie is garbage and I am aware that early reviews are always amazing for almost every superhero movie being released. What I meant is that this movie has tested extremely well (apparently), WB seems pretty confident showing it 2 months before release date and almost every news I have seen from this movie says it is amazing.

I mean at this point, i'd be surprised if it doesn't. Everything I've seen regarding this movie is people saying how great it is and that it is one, if not the best, superhero movie ever made lol It'd be hilarious if this gets like a 60-70% on RottenTomatoes

My predictions for summer 2023 (DOM only): 1. The Flash: $363m 2. The Little Mermaid: $359m 3. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny: $344m 4. Across the Spider-Verse: $321m 5. Guardians of the Galaxy. Vol 3: $295m 6. Mission Impossible: Dead Reckoning - Part One: $278m 7. Barbie: $272m 8. Elemental: $209m 9. Fast X: $160m 10. Oppenheimer: $141m 11. Transformers: Rise of the Beast: $135m 12. The Boogeyman: $80m 13. Blue Beetle: $75m 14. Insidious: The Red Door: $69m 15. No Hard Feelings: $67m 16. Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem: $62m 17. Haunted Mansion: $58m Late-May to Mid-July is insane considering all of the potential massive wildcards are placed there (Indiana Jones, Little Mermaid, Spider-Man, The Flash...). I have a feeling one of them will surprise and do something like +$450m DOM and other ones might then just underperform a bit because of it, I just don't know which one it'll be yet. The Little Mermaid will probably be well received by audiences and has the advantage of being a musical, like audiences expect from a Disney live action, however, it'll also receive massive backlash from certain people, it needs a massive overperformance in the US to reach a billion WW in my opinion. The Flash had always felt like a $200-250m movie to me but apparently it is pretty good, WB seems pretty confident and it will have multiple cameos so the sky is the limit, however, it has to deal with Ezra controversy and superhero fatigue. Indiana Jones could be a massive breakout, I'm just not seeing any hype for it, again this could change with rave reviews and great early buzz. Across the Spider-Verse will jump big from the first one but I think competition will hurt it.

I'd actually move The Marvels to Christmas and Trolls 3 to the first week of November. That would give more breathing room in November and another strong hit in December. I think Aquaman 2 is likely decreasing, question is how much, I don't think it'll be another Shazam 2 but I can see it making $200-250m. Then Wonka will probably replicate Mary Poppins Returns numbers at best and Migration will probably do similar numbers to Puss in Boots 2. November is packed. Dune 2 will most likely increase big time from the first one, Hunger Games prequel can have a lot of nostalgia if done well and with actual Hunger Games and Wish could be a big comeback for Disney.

I think something will break out in a big way this summer. My bets are on Barbie, Indiana Jones, The Flash and (maybe) The Little Mermaid.

I honestly think Elemental can co-exist with the rest of the movies this summer. So, unless The Flash is a Top Gun: Maverick or No Way Home type of monster (which even the optimistic predictions don't indicate) I don't think it'll tank as bad as some people here think it will. Now I am not saying this will make, or even come close, to Inside Out numbers but I can see something like $45-55m OW and much better legs than Lightyear and Strange World, I think this will actually get good reviews and have pretty good audience scores.

To everyone who hates Brie Larson or is going to hate this project just because the stars are three talented women, get a life please!

This was a surprise. It looks much better than I expected and I am actually pretty excited for this now, looks like a lot of fun. The colors look so vivid and fun compared to recent blockbusters. I thought Captain Marvel and Ms Marvel were just fine but the characters had huge potential, seems like this will be better. I still have doubts in its box office prospects but I can see this being a decent hit if it movie delivers like the trailer.

Damn, Super Mario Bros might actually take the year, what a beast. However, it´s sad to see DnD doing low numbers, that movie was fantastic, a really nice surprise that I would actually want a sequel to. I think it would have played better in August/September maybe, or just on a not so crowded month and right before a juggernaut

After Quantumania I feel like this desperately needs good/great reviews at least, they need to earn the public trust back, and I say this as a huge MCU fan. I can see this underperforming OW but if reviews are amazing it could leg out to +$350M and be a solid hit (would love $400M but not seeing it). Now, from the trailers and everything we have seen I think this will obviously have better reviews than Quantumania and Love and Thunder and probably be closer to Wakanda Forever, however I think this can have better legs than Wakanda Forever. Right now I could see something like $135-150M OW / $340-390M DOM

I didn't think this movie was as bad as people were saying but it was definitely very mediocre. I just felt bored while watching this movie, it started out great and then it kinda went downhill from there. The standouts were Kang and Janet, I am a huge MCU fan and this was the first time I checked my watch while watching the movie. For me what worked about the Ant Man franchise is how simple it was compared to these other MCU movies, this completely takes that away for something else that is half executed. First Ant Man is probably on my TOP10-15 MCU movies, second one is not as good and kind of the same but still entertaining, this one was my least favorite for sure.

Ah, ok thanks! I hope it breaks out, looks great

Wait, since when? Did I miss anything? Last I checked predictions around here were in the 80-110 m (3 day)

My predictions: 1. Aquaman: The Lost Kingdom: $296m DOM - $964m WW 2. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny: $387m DOM - $912m WW 3. The Little Mermaid: $342m DOM - $875m WW 4. Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning. Part 1: $274m DOM - $860m WW 5. Guardians of the Galaxy. Vol 3: $403m DOM - $824m WW 6. Super Mario Bros: $328m DOM - $757m WW 7. Fast X: $148m DOM - $710m WW 8. The Marvels: $264m DOM - $705m WW 9. Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania: $225m DOM - $562m WW 10. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse: $232m DOM - $520m WW Although I haven't predicted any movie to cross the billion mark, I think at least one of them will surprise and do it. The ones with the strongest chance of doing it are the ones in my Top 5. Aquaman 2 depends mainly on China, if it releases there, it is well liked and COVID is not an issue anymore then I think it will likely do enough there to cross 1 billion. Indiana Jones 5 is a wildcard, I think if it is very well received it could pull do really well like Top Gun: Maverick. The Little Mermaid would have been a safe bet before COVID, but now, between families getting used to watch Disney movies on D+ and the negative response from some racist people I think it will likely miss it, would love to be wrong though. Mission: Impossible is also a strong contender but I don't think the jump will be that big, plus the fact that it is a "Part 1" will have a slightly negative impact. Finally, Guardians 3 would have done it with a China release date but now that Marvel is no longer being released there I think it will not have enough fuel to make it.

I have watched 'Avatar: The Way of Water' twice in cinemas over this holiday period and I thought it was a pretty fantastic movie that sets up 'Avatar 3' in a big way. Really glad it is doing big numbers, it is a beast overseas. Regarding the "Avatar has no cultural impact..." comments I think that is likely due to the fact that the first Avatar was released in 2009 where social media was still not that big. I agree that it is maybe not on Twitter/TikTok as much as other franchises (Marvel, DC, Harry Potter...) but I think outside of it Avatar is pretty big. For instance, my family is not big on fantasy/sci-fi movies but they wanted to watch Avatar 2 and really enjoyed the film whereas they never come with me to watch a Marvel/Star Wars movie. Now, I don't think they are going to rewatch the movie over an over at home but I am pretty sure they'll be back for the next one.