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Barnack

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Barnack last won the day on September 3 2018

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About Barnack

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  1. That number in this (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/2/d/e/2PACX-1vRwAqp96T9sYYq2-i7Tj0pvTf6XVHjDSMIKBdZHXiCGGdNC0ypEU9NbngS8mxea55JuCFuua1MUeOj5/pubhtml#) must be a mistake ? An average Canadian province of 4-8 million people can easily have the double of that test numbers run by now, the 40 millions California only 41k ?
  2. Because when you use VR, you need 2 independant screen, push everything about it quite a bit versus a regular 2D screen timeline wise, you need in some way twice the power (and you need faster FPS than what people playing on a tv to be comfortable). I doubt 8K is just 2 yrs from going mainstream, and a big mistake if it happen (it is nice for sellers to have easy impressive numbers to push sales but for consumer, the sacrifice to everything else that happen that is made for a resolution you cannot appreciated without sitting near a 100 inch screen is really not worth it). 4K is still borderline in term of mainstream: https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/tech/internet/netflix-and-youtube-reduce-resolution-as-virus-hits-web/articleshow/74731063.cms?from=mdr https://techraptor.net/gaming/news/4k-gaming-still-in-minority-according-to-steam Here is a selection of the resolutions players are using: 1024 x 768: 0.47% (-0.05%) 1280 x 1024: 1.64% (-0.01%) 1920 x 1080: 64.58% (+1.11%) 2560 x 1440: 4.95% (-0.06%) 3840 x 2160: 1.74% (-0.04%) I would imagine that still a lot of what the industry call 4K is upscaled to it, it require a ridiculous amount of horsepower, a bit like actual large volume of realtime raytracing is not soon to be something mainstream.
  3. I am not sure how many test they run, but those numbers look ridiculously low (enough to be worthless). The estimate seem to be around Latest estimate: 19 per million people; 26,798 in total (as of 27 March 2020). Latest estimate: 50 per million people; 69,245 in total (as of 03 April 2020). I.e. they tested virtually no one in India.
  4. Iceland will try to test almost everybody (literally), if you achieve that in a short enough windows, quarantined all the known case and the people in close contact with them and you should achieve an R0 significantly under 1 (quite under 1) and have it goes away, then you need to test everyone that enter and quarantine those you cannot achieve too if you do not have enough test, for a small island without a big tourist industry, that sound possible. A country is not trying to contain a virus like Covid if something like a soccer game occur.
  5. Not in Canada, to show how little containment was tried we never even stopped air travel coming in. I do not remember any western country trying containing it, looked like slowing it down from the start (here right away they talked about flattening the curve and the importance of not peaking the healthcare system, without any talk that it could realistically be contain once the denial that it was even an issue stopped).
  6. Maybe during the peak of recessions (has lower activity save life during that time as well), but how much of the opiate - suicide diminishing life expectancy in the USA is linked to the economy of thoses regions going down and is it taken into account ?
  7. They are very similar to South Korea or the cruise ship. Germany: 1,330 / 92,150 known case South Korea: 177 / 10,156 known case Diamond Princess: 11 / 712 known case Iceland: 4 / 1,417 known cases France/Spain/Italy numbers look quite odds versus the rest of the world, but they are completely overwhelmed I imagine.
  8. Is any western leader no open to that idea ? (I think they almost all have a flatten the curve strategy, no ?) If there is no perfect vaccine for this, I imagine virtually everyone currently under 40 will get this, maybe multiple time during their life, quite possible with a vaccin as well (has we will probably vaccinate at risk people in priority like we do for the flu).
  9. Also imagine among the worst in air quality (that seem to be a factor). https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2020/mar/17/air-pollution-likely-to-increase-coronavirus-death-rate-warn-experts
  10. All the study a have read say the opposite, that the difference between sophisticated mask and surgical masks was not that obvious and that they were really good at protecting the career of the mask. Now at the moment people wore the mask, I can imagine people social distancing them a lot and skewing the result, but it goes for people that took care of an infected person in their house as well in that scenario it is quite apple to apple.
  11. Once they are common and easy to find yes, but in country that never wore them before, I can imagine gaining a couple of month of more social distancing for "free"
  12. Apparently when you look they can predict if the person got infected US west coast, italy, china, do not know if the difference are enough/significant in how bad the virus is yet. You can even get infected by multiple variant, apparently the genome is stable has it has validation mechanism when it duplicate: https://www.iflscience.com/health-and-medicine/icelands-prolific-covid19-testing-is-telling-us-a-lot-about-the-outbreak/ We have found 40 island-specific virus mutations..... While this number of mutations is slightly higher than other estimates, it’s nothing to worry about. According to Nathan Grubaugh, an epidemiologist at the Yale School of Public Health, mutations are a natural part of the virus lifecycle and “we shouldn’t worry when a virus mutates during disease outbreaks.” By and large, preliminary data suggests SARS-CoV-2 has a relatively stable genome. There is very little place for which we have a good idea how bad the virus is among those (Cruise ship, wuhan, south korea, iceland) it does seem relatively similar once adjusted for the infected population no ?
  13. One possible thing mask would do if they are mandatory to do X activity in a country not use to wear them, they could reduce how many people get into crowded place. Say the vast majority of the trips to the grocery store has been a luxury (people having a month of food they could use if they wanted too, could eat what you can get from amazon,,, but they have a mix of wanting luxury-panic buying to not reduce their reserve and still going), if you need a mask less people will do it.
  14. So many country blocked the export of mask, glove, ventialor, etc..... that it would be strange for this administration not to do so.
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