Sophie

Chainsaw Man 2 technically comes out on the 29th, so that might cut off a lot of its steam. Its competition will be: * the second(??) Week of mortal Kombat 2 * The second week of the Springsteen movie * the Thing With Feathers * Bugonia How do you think things will shake out?

Trans rights can never be compromised. Thank you mods for being so based.

The week of August 22 is an interesting one. We have Ne Zha 2, one of the biggest movies of all time, releasing as an Emglidh dub. Could this be the chance for China to prove they can make inroads at the US box office? It made about 12 million in its first week as a sub back in Febuary where it ranked 5th place. Can it maybe rank a little higher this time around? * Holdovers Freakier Friday and Nobody 2 will probably be the top 2 * Bad Guys 2 and Naked Gun could potentially still be big enough to be in the top 3 or 4 movies of that week. * Honey Don't comes out * Eden comes out * Some weird German animated film called "Grand Prix of Europe" comes out * Americana? I'm seeing mixed results on when this will be released.

Hey, is it just me or does this page not actually have any numbers on Smurfs or IKWYDLS??? What gives? https://boxofficetheory.com/box-office-forecasts-tracking-fantastic-four-first-steps-125-136-marvel-i-know-what-you-did-last-summer-smurfs/ I'm really curious which one is expected to have the higher opening weekend

Did I hear it right that karate kid is expected to open to only like 21M?

Im really happy that 2024 was the first year since 2019 where all 10 of the biggest movies of the year got a wide release in the US. I know that won't happen in 2025 tho lol

I'm interested to see if I can get more opinions since it's been a few months

I know it's not direct competition, but I'm a little upset lilo, mi8 and Karate Kid are all coming out in the same two weeks. No way I'll be able to catch them all, especially with Ballerina coming out the following week, and then another pile up between httyd and elio. Anyway, do you think Karate Kid's 1st weekend will outgrows MI8's second weekend?

I'm real interested in the 7 day race between Heretic and Pageant. They've had a ton of back and forth over the last week or so, including all the deadline traking. Looks like Heretic is 200K ahead according to the ERC tweets. With two days left to go. I definitely imagine that Heretic will be the winner in a photo finish.

Does anybody know where i can find heretic's Monday numbers? They're not on box office mojo

Looks like Venom is having a last minute uptick! People on the subreddit seem to think it will cross afterall. That would mean we only need 3 of the following 5 to get over $500M: Moana 2, Wicked, Gladiator, Mufasa, Sonic

Looks like Joker, Venom, Beetlejuice, Twisters etc all fell short despite all bring somewhat promising in their own way. Now we have: Moana: easiest one to depend on Mufasa: spin off of a 1.65B film, so should have a decent chance Wicked: great pre-sales, but could be presale and domestic heavy Gladiator: promising but it'll be a bit of a stretch and will need to have good overseas Sonic: outside chance 4 out of 5 of those would have to cross 500M in order for the us to own the top 10 this year

And now The Apprentice (realistic trump biopic) is going to be released on this day too!? What an interesting collection of films. How do you guys feel The Apprentice could open to? Could it beat out the previously listed films?

Does anybody know around when deadline typically posts their "PM update", "AM update" etc throughout the weekend? Also is there a faster and better source for the mid-weekend projections?

Looks like the folks at Reddit are making their official prediction of the week and disagreeing with most people here. Everybody there seems to have their money on Piece By Piece to be the biggest opener of October 11th https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1fecv8f/rboxoffice_long_range_forecast_saturday_night/ What do you guys have to say to that?