Hilts

5 "new" releases plus calendar config - recipe for disaster - challenge accepted 😬

Trolls EA $1.17m? Looking at Mojo and Numbers they didn't seem to roll it into the weekend as total gross is different from 3 day total. Date Rank Gross % Change Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Week Nov 17, 2023 2 $30,002,525 3,870 $7,753 $31,172,525 1

5-Day Weekend Box Office Forecast: NAPOLEON and WISH Aim to Bring Out Thanksgiving Moviegoers - Boxoffice (boxofficepro.com) Film Studio 3-Day Weekend Forecast Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, November 26 Fri Location Count Projection (as of Wed) 3-Day % Change from Last Wknd 5-Day Weekend Forecast Wish Disney $37,000,000 $56,300,000 ~3,700 NEW $56,300,000 Napoleon Sony Pictures & Apple $20,900,000 $32,500,000 ~3,300 NEW $32,500,000 The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes Lionsgate $20,500,000 $82,400,000 ~3,776 -54% $29,800,000 Trolls Band Together Universal Pictures $18,200,000 $64,200,000 ~3,870 -39% $26,500,000 Thanksgiving Sony Pictures & TriStar $7,000,000 $22,900,000 ~3,204 -32% $10,000,000 The Marvels Disney & Marvel Studios $6,800,000 $77,000,000 ~3,800 -33% $9,500,000 Saltburn Amazon Studios $3,600,000 $5,400,000 ~1,500 +1027% $5,000,000 The Holdovers Focus Features $2,200,000 $12,100,000 ~1,500 -18% $3,000,000 Five Nights at Freddy’s Universal Pictures & Blumhouse $1,900,000 $136,200,000 ~1,800 -47% $2,700,000 Next Goal Wins Disney & Searchlight Pictures $1,500,000 $5,200,000 ~2,240 -40% $2,100,000

Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom OK Thursday - showings starting 3pm ATP $16.11 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold T-30 20 106 102 102 22,623 0.45% MTC1 8 43 +71 71 8,429 0.84% MTC2 4 22 +25 25 4,062 0.62% MTC3 3 23 +6 6 6,008 0.10% Other 5 18 0 0 4,124 0.00% Day 1 Comps Blue Beetle 1.342x = $4.43m The Marvels 0.395x = $2.61m The Hunger Games: The Ballad of S&S 0.411x = $2.36m Matinee: 9.80% 3D: 7.84% PLF: 58.82% Similar tepid start to everyone else here. Migration only sold 6 tickets so far so can't tell too much from that yet.

Didn't even think about that... pretty sure most/all closed so might explain it!

Napoleon OK Tuesday - showings starting 3pm ATP $13.85* Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-4 19 65 61 345 11,677 2.95% 21.48% T-3 19 68 57 402 12,783 3.14% 16.52% T-2 19 68 101 503 12,783 3.93% 25.12% T-1 19 72 196 699 13,253 5.27% 38.97% T-0 24 85 795 1,494 14,494 10.31% 113.73% MTC1 8 26 +256 512 4,701 10.89% 100.00% MTC2 4 19 +128 187 3,123 5.99% 216.95% MTC3 3 16 +272 546 3,814 14.32% 99.27% Other 9 24 +139 249 2,856 8.72% 126.36% Comps Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.695x = $4.87m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.025x = $3.95m Oppenheimer 0.307x = $3.22m The Creator 2.511x = $4.02m *only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 21.35% PLF: 44.71% Err yeah same thing here, bumper final day. $4m is basically locked according to Tues comps lol. Going to presume its overperforming here and go for a discounted Oppy comp of $2.5m which is probably still too high.

Wish OK Tuesday - showings starting 3pm ATP $10.68** Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-4 24 108 20 186 15,688 1.19% 12.05% T-3 24 112 50 236 16,956 1.39% 26.88% T-2 24 112 92 328 16,956 1.93% 38.98% T-1 24 113 131 459 17,015 2.70% 39.94% T-0 24 124 686 1,145 17,597 6.51% 149.46% MTC1 7 33 +196 372 4,618 8.06% 111.36% MTC2 4 26 +122 207 4,244 4.88% 143.53% MTC3 3 15 +143 217 2,762 7.86% 193.24% Other 10 50 +225 349 5,973 5.84% 181.45% Comps Raw ATP adj* Haunted Mansion 1.188x = $3.68m $2.76m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: MM 0.785x = $3.02m Trolls Band Together 2.562x = $3.33m $2.50m *75% **only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 41.31% 3D: 13.80% WOAH yesterday I underestimated the appeal of matinee discount Tues big time! Hit that 150% final day growth rate matching TMNT exactly. So yeah I think my comp range is pretty spot on (hopefully) @ $2.5m-$3m and will go down the middle with a $2.75m prediction. Maybe I'm not taking enough off for the ATP difference but let's see. This is quite matinee heavy which Encanto and Strange World did not have for their Tuesday previews. We need the Wednesday number really before we can say whether this does $30/40/50m 5 day.

Saltburn OK Tuesday - showings starting 2pm ATP $9.67* Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-4 7 25 10 41 3,148 1.30% 32.26% T-3 7 25 4 45 3,148 1.43% 9.76% T-2 7 25 4 49 3,148 1.56% 8.89% T-1 7 25 14 63 3,148 2.00% 28.57% T-0 9 32 48 111 3,574 3.11% 76.19% MTC1 3 11 +19 53 973 5.45% 55.88% MTC2 2 7 +19 30 612 4.90% 172.73% MTC3 2 8 +6 19 1,272 1.49% 46.15% Other 2 6 +4 9 717 1.26% 80.00% Comps Asteroid City 0.326x = $0.36m Talk To Me 0.358x = $0.45m The Last Voyage of the Demeter 0.413x = $0.31m A Haunting In Venice 0.309x = $0.34m Priscilla 0.917x = $0.41m *only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 22.52% Comp average = $370k - less Discount Tues = ~$250k previews Hopefully can pick up throughout the holiday. $10m over the 5 day seems tough but hope I'm proven wrong.

I like to give 24+ hours before first posting numbers, I know other trackers can give earlier indications but just don't see the volume that early in my particular market to provide any kind of accuracy since it's not as presale heavy. Very early look though is that Migration is dead quiet, not surprising since Wish is out tomorrow, not sure who's bright idea it was to start now, probably won't see much action here for a bit. Aquaman should beat out Blue Beetle (closer than I expected though) but not expecting it to get close to FNAF, Marvels or Hunger Games for example. So something in between which seems to align with the rest of the thread. Full updates tomorrow.

I've seen Dolby but not IMAX yet, but I'm only looking at opening day

Napoleon OK Tuesday - showings starting 3pm ATP $14.34* Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-5 19 62 25 284 10,990 2.58% 9.65% T-4 19 65 61 345 11,677 2.95% 21.48% T-3 19 68 57 402 12,783 3.14% 16.52% T-2 19 68 101 503 12,783 3.93% 25.12% T-1 19 72 196 699 13,253 5.27% 38.97% MTC1 8 25 +80 256 4,621 5.54% 45.45% MTC2 3 16 +16 59 2,700 2.19% 37.21% MTC3 3 16 +67 274 3,814 7.18% 32.37% Other 5 15 +33 110 2,118 5.19% 42.86% Comps Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.613x = $4.29m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.203x = $4.63m Oppenheimer 0.205x = $2.16m The Creator 2.105x = $2.84m *only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 15.45% PLF: 40.77% Last few days have been on par with MI7, not sure what's going on here but that will definitely correct tomorrow. This has been selling enough tickets here to be in the $3m-$4m range but with Discount Tues I guess will converge to low to high 2s.

Wish OK Tuesday - showings starting 3pm ATP $11.16** Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-5 24 108 47 166 15,688 1.06% 39.50% T-4 24 108 20 186 15,688 1.19% 12.05% T-3 24 112 50 236 16,956 1.39% 26.88% T-2 24 112 92 328 16,956 1.93% 38.98% T-1 24 113 131 459 17,015 2.70% 39.94% MTC1 7 32 +44 176 4,535 3.88% 33.33% MTC2 4 25 +32 85 4,131 2.06% 60.38% MTC3 3 15 +35 74 2,762 2.68% 89.74% Other 10 41 +20 124 5,587 2.22% 19.23% Comps Raw ATP adj* Haunted Mansion 0.855x = $2.65m $1.99m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: MM 0.790x = $3.04m Trolls Band Together 1.485x = $1.93m $1.45m *75% **only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 33.77% 3D: 17.86% Tues comp points to $3m, Thurs comps point to under $2m... looking closer to the latter as TMNT final day growth was 150%! Haunted Mansion was 80% so should drop there too, probably will stay even with Trolls but then have to discount due to ATP. I am thinking similar to Encanto finish right now.

Saltburn OK Tuesday - showings starting 2pm ATP $10.03* Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-5 7 25 5 31 3,148 0.98% 19.23% T-4 7 25 10 41 3,148 1.30% 32.26% T-3 7 25 4 45 3,148 1.43% 9.76% T-2 7 25 4 49 3,148 1.56% 8.89% T-1 7 25 14 63 3,148 2.00% 28.57% MTC1 2 7 +7 34 667 5.10% 25.93% MTC2 2 7 +1 11 612 1.80% 10.00% MTC3 2 8 +6 13 1,272 1.02% 85.71% Other 1 3 0 5 597 0.84% 0.00% Comps Asteroid City 0.303x = $0.33m Talk To Me 0.496x = $0.62m The Last Voyage of the Demeter 0.618x = $0.46m A Haunting In Venice 0.313x = $0.34m Priscilla 0.851x = $0.38m *only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 14.29% Looking ~$250k-$300k with Discount Tues

Wonka OK Thursday - showings starting 3pm ATP $14.84 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-28 21 97 49 49 20,434 0.24% - T-27 21 97 29 78 20,434 0.38% 59.18% T-26 21 97 6 84 20,434 0.41% 7.69% T-25 21 97 3 87 20,434 0.43% 3.57% MTC1 8 32 +3 55 6,612 0.83% 5.77% MTC2 4 12 0 12 2,074 0.58% 0.00% MTC3 3 32 0 6 7,573 0.08% 0.00% Other 6 21 0 14 4,175 0.34% 0.00% Comps Haunted Mansion 1.208x = $3.75m Trolls Band Together 3.000x = $3.90m Matinee: 5.75% PLF: 43.68%

Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé OK Thursday - showings starting 7pm ATP $26.70 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-15 18 55 8 515 11,260 4.57% 1.58% T-14 18 55 4 519 11,260 4.61% 0.78% T-13 18 55 -1 518 11,260 4.60% -0.19% T-12 18 53 0 518 10,758 4.82% 0.00% T-11 18 53 12 530 10,758 4.93% 2.32% MTC1 7 19 +4 336 3,910 8.59% 1.20% MTC2 4 17 +2 51 3,070 1.66% 4.08% MTC3 3 12 -2 56 2,589 2.16% -3.45% Other 4 5 +8 87 1,189 7.32% 10.13% T-0 Comp Raw ATP adj* Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour (Thursday) 0.591x = $1.65m $1.99m T-11 Comp Raw ATP adj* Taylor Swift | The Eras Tour (Friday) 0.044x = $1.55m $1.85m *+20% PLF: 57.17%

Saltburn OK Tuesday - showings starting 2pm ATP $10.31* Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-6 6 20 10 26 2,536 1.03% 62.50% T-5 7 25 5 31 3,148 0.98% 19.23% T-4 7 25 10 41 3,148 1.30% 32.26% T-3 7 25 4 45 3,148 1.43% 9.76% T-2 7 25 4 49 3,148 1.56% 8.89% MTC1 2 7 +2 27 667 4.05% 8.00% MTC2 2 7 0 10 612 1.63% 0.00% MTC3 2 8 +2 7 1,272 0.55% 40.00% Other 1 3 0 5 597 0.84% 0.00% Comps Asteroid City 0.297x = $0.33m Talk To Me 0.544x = $0.68m The Last Voyage of the Demeter 0.681x = $0.51m A Haunting In Venice 0.265x = $0.32m Priscilla 0.700x = $0.32m *only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 18.37%

Napoleon OK Tuesday - showings starting 3pm ATP $14.30* Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-6 19 59 29 259 10,828 2.39% 12.61% T-5 19 62 25 284 10,990 2.58% 9.65% T-4 19 65 61 345 11,677 2.95% 21.48% T-3 19 68 57 402 12,783 3.14% 16.52% T-2 19 68 101 503 12,783 3.93% 25.12% MTC1 8 25 +30 176 4,621 3.81% 20.55% MTC2 3 14 +3 43 2,398 1.79% 7.50% MTC3 3 16 +49 207 3,814 5.43% 31.01% Other 5 13 +19 77 1,950 3.95% 32.76% Comps Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.561x = $3.93m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.248x = $4.81m Oppenheimer 0.174x = $1.82m The Creator 2.140x = $2.89m *only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 14.31% PLF: 43.14%

Wish OK Tuesday - showings starting 3pm ATP $11.64** Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-6 24 107 9 119 15,516 0.77% 8.18% T-5 24 108 47 166 15,688 1.06% 39.50% T-4 24 108 20 186 15,688 1.19% 12.05% T-3 24 112 50 236 16,956 1.39% 26.88% T-2 24 112 92 328 16,956 1.93% 38.98% MTC1 7 32 +31 132 4,535 2.91% 30.69% MTC2 4 25 +2 53 4,131 1.28% 3.92% MTC3 3 15 +18 39 2,762 1.41% 85.71% Other 10 40 +41 104 5,528 1.88% 65.08% Comps Raw ATP adj* Haunted Mansion 0.804x = $2.49m $1.87m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: MM 0.814x = $3.13m Trolls Band Together 1.408x = $1.83m *75% **only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 31.00% 3D: 23.10%

@sloo in a different derby this week Unexplainably butchered my Priscilla prediction but probably still wouldn't have been close, hats off

I'll leave the projecting to you, I think T-37 was only after 2 days of sales, but it has sold more than Wish at T-3 😉 But yeah potentially Greatest Showman / Hidden Figures / Little Women type run, who knows at this point! We need something of this ilk to do well and not another West Side Story situation (pandemic impact not withstanding).

Wish OK Saturday - 4pm - Early Access Screening ATP $10.23 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-4 6 6 13 77 813 9.47% 20.31% T-3 6 6 9 86 813 10.58% 11.69% T-2 6 6 26 112 813 13.78% 30.23% T-1 6 6 27 139 813 17.10% 24.11% T-0 6 7 126 265 996 26.61% 90.65% MTC1 2 3 +47 104 413 25.18% 82.46% MTC2 2 2 +27 51 224 22.77% 112.50% MTC3 2 2 +52 110 359 30.64% 89.66% Tuesday - showings starting 3pm ATP $11.51** Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-7 24 103 12 110 14,951 0.74% 12.24% T-6 24 107 9 119 15,516 0.77% 8.18% T-5 24 108 47 166 15,688 1.06% 39.50% T-4 24 108 20 186 15,688 1.19% 12.05% T-3 24 112 50 236 16,956 1.39% 26.88% MTC1 7 32 +15 101 4,535 2.23% 17.44% MTC2 4 25 +4 51 4,131 1.23% 8.51% MTC3 3 15 0 21 2,762 0.76% 0.00% Other 10 40 +31 63 5,528 1.14% 96.88% Comps Raw ATP adj* Haunted Mansion 0.817x = $2.53m $1.90m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: MM 0.698x = $2.69m Trolls Band Together 1.198x = $1.56m *75% **only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 26.69% 3D: 15.25% An extra EA showing added at the last minute which is positive. Trolls EA final day growth was 70% but was over 3 times the total sales in the end. Spot check of Wednesday was 417 tickets sold so 177% of Tues (previously 125 sold and 147%).

Napoleon OK Tuesday - showings starting 3pm ATP $14.10* Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-7 19 56 23 230 9,976 2.31% 11.11% T-6 19 59 29 259 10,828 2.39% 12.61% T-5 19 62 25 284 10,990 2.58% 9.65% T-4 19 65 61 345 11,677 2.95% 21.48% T-3 19 68 57 402 12,783 3.14% 16.52% MTC1 8 25 +18 146 4,621 3.16% 14.06% MTC2 3 14 +8 40 2,398 1.67% 25.00% MTC3 3 16 +29 158 3,814 4.14% 22.48% Other 5 13 +2 58 1,950 2.97% 3.57% Comps Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part One 0.507x = $3.55m Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem 1.189x = $4.58m Oppenheimer 0.159x = $1.67m The Creator 2.173x = $2.93m *only considers Discount Tue across some (not all) theatres and so is largely irrelevant and incalculable. Matinee: 15.42% PLF: 40.55%

The Color Purple OK Monday ATP $10.45 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-41 16 69 0 242 8,357 2.90% 0.00% T-40 16 69 0 242 8,357 2.90% 0.00% T-39 17 73 18 260 8,583 3.03% 7.44% T-38 17 73 16 276 8,583 3.22% 6.15% T-37 17 72 7 283 8,319 3.40% 2.54% MTC1 7 27 +4 81 2,354 3.44% 5.19% MTC2 4 19 0 129 2,808 4.59% 0.00% MTC3 3 13 +3 60 1,714 3.50% 5.26% Other 3 13 0 13 1,443 0.90% 0.00% Definitely picked up the last few days I assume when the reactions came out.

I believe @abracadabra1998 is and I am as well but don't have any comps this far out so haven't been sharing it yet. There are no previews but looking at OD over 50% of the sales are for matinee showings in my region which is bringing down the ATP. But at 30+ days out it's doing quite well, majority of sales are from MTC2 as well which is quite unusual and especially out of the gate. Without comps difficult to put any metrics on it and the calendar configuration and Monday release makes things even more tricky. I'll try and post my numbers later if the reactions have made any material impact.

Wonka OK Thursday - showings starting 3pm ATP $15.16 Day Theatres Showings Daily Sold Total Sold Total Seats % Sold Growth T-28 21 97 49 49 20,434 0.24% - T-27 21 97 29 78 20,434 0.38% 59.18% MTC1 8 32 +18 52 6,612 0.79% 52.94% MTC2 4 12 +4 10 2,074 0.48% 66.67% MTC3 3 32 +2 5 7,573 0.07% 66.67% Other 6 21 +5 11 4,175 0.26% 83.33% Comps Barbie 0.116x = $2.57m Haunted Mansion 1.114x = $3.45m Trolls Band Together 2.889x = $3.76m Matinee: 3.85% PLF: 47.44% Switched to T-X comps now. Decent day things looking alright. Reserving those PLF seats early...