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KeepItU25071906

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Posts posted by KeepItU25071906

  1. 6 hours ago, reddevil19 said:

    With a 45% chance for Actor (let's see SAG) and 30% for screenplay.

    Anything between 4 and 9 is possible. 6 seems the most likely to me atm (I'm seeing The Holdovers take Original Screenplay, Supp. Actress, Actor and Picture as I can't see it being out of the top 3 on the very vast majority of ballots and I don't think Oppie will have enough number 1's to win outright)

    Don't believe in Cillian's chances till Bafta + SAG.

     

    The Holdovers? Has to take PGA, right now Oppy is absolute frontrunner.

    • Like 1
  2. 1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

    Nope, VES doesn’t really go full match with Oscar.

    Yeah, i know. But from my point of view, VES is more competent and always was.

     

    1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

    In fact I find it VES award is a funnier one since they put Oppenheimer in a photoreal category instead of supporting. Must be one of the photoreal nominees with least % of special effect.

    I'm sure they have their own reasons. But yeah, Dunkirk, for example, was in support category.

  3. On 12/8/2023 at 3:55 PM, titanic2187 said:

    If Dunkirk didn’t get in, there shouldn’t be any expectation that Oppenheimer would get in. True that quantimania getting in is a disgrace but my point I don’t get why there is people expecting Oppenheimer to win this category to begin with. Trinity scene worked mostly thanks to sound design, score and editing. It is Nolan’s direction that make whole sequences work so great without exaggerated special effect. 

    Well, when Oppy got a nominations on VES Awards, Academy Award snub looks even more funnier.

  4. 17 minutes ago, filmlover said:

    Watch SAG give it to Cooper and throw the entire race into chaos.

    To be honest, don't believe in this at all. Have nothing against Cooper, but:

    1) his oscar-bait is too much oscar-bait

    2) i don't see any buzz around him. It's just a dead silence.

     

    17 minutes ago, filmlover said:

    Though I'm hoping for Giamatti cause 1) he's my favorite performance in this category

    Just love both perfomances from Paul and Cillian and admire them as actors in general. Will be happy for winner anyway.

  5. 1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

    Oppenheimer win eight CC but unlike the past three winners which took both directing and screenplay categories, Oppenheimer came with only director win. 

     

     

     

    Well it didn't help "The Power of Dog".

     

    Right now Oppy has in his hands pretty strong possible combo with editing - support - director. If Cillian will make a resurgence on Bafta+SAG (it's important to take both of them) ... i don't see who can stop Oppenheimer. 

  6. 1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

    Don’t underestimate KoTFM too, if KoTFM took best adapted screenplay and best actress, the movie is up for an upset against Oppenheimer.  
     

     

    if, indeed.

     

    I can believe in best actress, but adapted screenplay... that would be really tough, when you're against Poor Things, American Fiction and Oppy itself.

  7. It more and more looks like battle between Oppy and The Holdovers. 

    Ideally Oppy would take editing, director and supporting actor, Holdovers - supporting actress and screenplay.

     

    So, Giamatti vs Murphy is the key fight for this season.

  8. 20 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

    So Nolan, Cillian and Downey should win Oscars as well. Oppenheimer impact is too big across the board at this point to not win it all including Best Picture. Plus Ludwig and Hoyte should also win. Another year for Giamatti or Cooper. 

     

    Emma Stone is also sure to win Best Actress. 

    Agree with almost everything, but i think the battle between Cillian and Paul is not over at all.

    • Like 1
  9. 6 hours ago, Maggie said:

    Julianne Moore was so much better in May December. The Holdovers is being so overrated. There are way stronger movies and performances in supporting this year

    May be. After pure cold ignore from Academy to Lupita Nyong'o's performance in "US", I just took simple fact that awards, mostly, are not about who is better.

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