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Everything posted by Mr Impossible
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THURSDAY 12th October - BR2049 (2.2 Deadline)
Mr Impossible replied to a2k's topic in Numbers and Data
Looks like a 48-54% drop for Blade Runner 2nd weekend. -
They feel completely different from each other. 2 different audiences.
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I think it will. If it follows Kingsman 2 it would do $18.8M but I'm not holding my breath lol.
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That’s the world we live in. I did enjoy Dracula Untold as a guilty pleasure tbh.
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If it follows Dracula Untold: Thur - $2.26M Fri - $5.17M Sat - $7.62M Sun - $4.77M ($17.56M Weekend) Just an example.
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Kingsman 2 increased 150% in its 2nd Friday.
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I didn't know discount Tuesday has grown, I've been using it for years always seen the same amount of people. Interesting. Dracula Untold had a 67% drop in its Friday to Friday. Blade Runner has held better on Monday not just Tuesday than it and both were released on Columbus Day weekends.
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Could still do Valerian #s in China. Haven't Marvel movies been under performing there, Thor 2 only did $55M there.
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So you’re predicting it to have a worse Friday than its Monday? I don’t buy that even for Colombus Day... I think you’re doing math that’s irrelevant... Right now to me it’s looking like it’s heading towards 52-54% drop. Could be higher or lower depending on Friday increase or if it holds well or collapses on Wednesday and Thursday...
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It's been holding better in Monday and Tuesdy than Dracula Untold. Which had a 57.5% 2nd weekend drop...
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50-55% 2nd weekend drop seems likely.
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I don't think 55% drop is best scenario at all. Taken 2 dropped harder and it did have 56% drop. We likely won't know until Friday in my opinion.
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Should do well. Overseas audience eat these disaster movies up! Also it looks fun in a guilty pleasure way. $230M?
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I understand but aren’t fall movies in general more leggy than Summer films? Edge of Tomorrow had a lot of competition in June and still managed great legs. Blade Runner doesn’t really have until Thor Ragnarok, a month later.
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Why? It has the fantastic reviews and very little competition. It’s a frontloaded OW cause it is a fanboy movie. The legs will depend on WOM. A positive sign is it’s A- cinemascore. Arrival had a B and managed to do 4x.