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Everything posted by nomyth

  1. The fate of Henry Bowers was by far my biggest question mark leaving the film. If he doesn't come back, that will change a lot about part 2. I have faith in how they'll handle it but I am really really curious as to what they'll do. I suppose we'll know something if someone is cast as an adult Henry.
  2. I tell ya... one of the big MVP's of IT is cinematographer, Chung-Hoon Chung. After this, The Handmaiden and Oldboy, he is one DP who is definitely on my radar. I need to check out more of his work.
  3. I can't. This is gonna make as much in one weekend as the combined top twelve grosses of the past two weekends (4 day included).
  4. Gosh, I wish I could see this again in theaters but I probably won't have a chance to. While I had my critiques, I really did love the movie. The kids were so fantastic and the story itself is one of the best of all time, imo. The movie is ridiculously entertaining and charming and keeps you on the edge of your seat. The parts inside the house on Niebolt St were probably my favorite. The splitting up of Bill, Eddie and Richie was so fun and exciting and my audience was losing their shit (I just loved when Eddie was yelling at Richie not to touch him). Also thought Stan's visions of the woman in the picture were incredibly chilling. I thought that was the scariest form Pennywise took in the film. Waiting for the next film is going to be low key torturous.
  5. So, I really, really liked this film. My critiques are almost verbatim what @Stutterng baumer Denbrough and @75livesinDerry have already posted so I don't have too much else to add to that. However, my biggest concern is how these changes will trickle down into the second part. Will Ben's historian angle mean that him and Mike switch places in the second part? And what about Henry? I'm pretty open to casting ideas for part 1. I watched Grace Randolph's suggestions and while I don't agree with most of them, I love the idea of Jason Bateman as adult Bill. I think he would be so so perfect.
  6. I REALLY wanted to predict 100M but the hurricane and football scared me too much. Plus some early showings did seem to be pretty empty so it was definitely a tough call. From the beginning, I used Hannibal's 91M adjusted OW as a reference point. I usually don't like to use adjusted grosses as comps but this just seemed to fit. Now that's it's finally out, I can admit that I probably would have been shocked and crazy disappointed by anything less than 60M or so.
  7. You and me both. I was always bullish from the beginning but never quite had nerve enough to go full tilt with 100M. My final prediction was 87.5. It's hard to ignore that cautious side. But I have to echo the big congrats to everyone who went with their gut and went full in with the 100M predictions. What a great call! I'm so happy for this film's success. This and WW have truly made my year. As a long-time horror buff, it's so great to see an R-rated horror film reach this kind of audience.
  8. I didn't even know tickets were available for Thor yet! Not necessarily going nuts over it appearing amidst all the nothingness, but still a bit surprised to see it pop on the top 5 so soon when mother, AA or Kingsman haven't been able to do so yet.
  9. Whoa at Thor! MT 1. IT - 80.2% 2. HA - 2.2% 3. THB - 1.2% 4. Wind River - 0.9% 5. Thor - 0.9% Pulse 1. IT 2. IT IMAX 3. Thor 4. HA 5. Thor 3D
  10. I agree that I just can't see this below 70. Anyone following the tracking thread knows that presales have been akin to a CBM. And the most important factor imo is just how absolutely dead the market is right now. Even worse than I originally expected. My original prediction was 80-85M and now I'm thinking more 85-90. Still not completely sold on anything higher just yet but it'll be interesting to see how much it's presales rise next week.
  11. The last time I watched the miniseries, what stuck out to me most were the cheesey match cuts in the first half. Young Bill puts his hand on his face, fade to adult Bill with his hand on his face. Young Ben is shaking his head back and forth, fade to adult Ben shaking his head back and forth. It's just so silly! Personally, I do find the miniseries incredibly hokey and not very scary. But nostalgia, Tim Curry's performance and just the story itself elevate it a lot when looking back.
  12. Pulse 1. IT 2. HB 3. Arjun Reddy 4. AC 5. GT Obviously it's the middle of the night and competition is weak but it's still neat to see a movie top Pulse so far away from release.
  13. There's always a lot of factors to consider when looking at presales. I certainly agree that ticket sales most likely received a quick burst as soon as they were available. A similar thing happened with Dunkirk. And, when making a count on Pulse, you have to consider the demographics as well. Family films will pop up half as often but end up selling twice as much. And, naturally, you have to consider the competition. I expected IT to dominate as soon as tickets were available so everything so far is very expected to me. At the same time, none of us can deny that everything is still pointing towards breakout. Box office is as dead as expected and about to get deader, its lighting up presales and marketing has been on point. What I'm most curious about is how quickly will it show up on MT. And how long before it just takes the top spot of Pulse and stays there.
  14. IT is now on Pulse! First count has it at 154 occurrences over 10 minutes (which is almost 3x where AC was on the Mon before it's release). Surprised it's not in the top 5 already but I expect that to happen soon enough.
  15. Yeah, I can see that. Need to watch it again and see who sticks out this time but I was always a bit disappointed with Eddie in the miniseries. Like you, I especially love his arch in the 1958 arch. And they just didn't have the time to really go in much detail there in the 1990 version. I'm very optimistic about that being rectified in this version tho!
  16. I haven't read the book in years and I'm trying to make my way through it again before the movie comes out. It's such a brutal read (and even frustrating at times) but that's part of what makes it so great. The characters are so universal and timeless and the fact that King doesn't hold back (like at all ha ha) makes it so spellbinding. It's my favorite story of all time. And I know some people think it's random, but Eddie Kaspbrack is my absolute favorite character in anything ever and I don't know if anyone will ever replace him. One of those characters you feel was written just for you. From what I've seen, Jack Dylan Grazer seems like a perfect fit.
  17. Lol, I usually have my prediction pretty much set by this point and I still have it anywhere in that same range. Glad I had time this week to track it so closely on Pulse tho. I needed a solid comp for R-rated comedies that wasn't Girls Trip (just because that was so huge on Pulse prior to opening-which doesn't appear to be the norm for most R-rated comedies).
  18. Man... I'm really starting to think I was wrong about HB. It went from selling half of TDT and AB and like a quarter of GT. Now it's selling well over TDT and AB and not all that far behind GT on Pulse. At the beginning of the week I thought 20M was near impossible. Now, I really don't know what to think lol. Gotta see how it performs on MT tomorrow. But those 20+ predictions don't seem so far fetched to me anymore. Honestly, no film this summer has caused me so much back and forth. LL, on the other hand, I'm still pretty confident will do poorly. Don't be fooled by its #3 spot on Pulse. HB is literally selling almost 5 times more.
  19. This makes sense. I was wondering if that was the reason why it surged so much last night. I had it at just over half AB on Monday at the same point but then it was almost even with it last night. I'm curious for tonight's count on Pulse. I probably jumped the gun with my 12M prediction on Monday so I'm probably gonna stick with my original 15M predict in the derby, give or take a bit depending on tonight and tomorrow.
  20. It's certainly not an ideal comp but it's the best one I have hard #'s for from the past month. Everything else was too presales heavy to compare it to. Girls Trip, for example, was selling like 5 times as much at the same point. I do expect HB to have weaker presales and I'm trying to make an appropriate compensation for that in my predictions. Say, if it stays around 60% of AB through Thursday, a direct comparison would put its OD at around 4.2M. But I wouldn't think it would go quite that low, so I'm adding another 25% or so to that # for a Friday in the lower 5M range.
  21. I don't know... RR really hasn't proven he's a draw outside CBM's. His other two big hits were co-helmed by undeniably bigger stars imo (Denzel in Safe House and Bullock in The Proposal). I keep comparing HB to The Change-Up. R-rated comedy in August with a well-known co-star. It's been selling roughly 60% of what AB did for the past 24 hours. If that trend continues through Thursday, I would be surprised if it hit 18M this weekend. I will add, however, that R-rated comedies appear to have done the most poorly on presales (outside of GT) this summer. So, I'm definitely not ruling it out. I've been comparing this to AB simply because it's another R-rated flick that was selling basically nothing the week prior to release. But I didn't track #'s for The House or Baywatch, which would be better comparisons. It'll be interesting to see how not presales heavy this weekend's releases are.
  22. Over 10 minutes, HB made 15 appearances on Pulse while LL had a measly 2. Both are looking pretty bad but HB is at least veering away from complete disaster. With that said, it's still only selling a little over half what AB was at the same point. Still feel 15M is about best case scenario but I figure it's probably at least good for a double digit debut. Right now, I'd guess around 11-12M. LL, on the other hand, is looking like a disaster. Even Wish Upon was selling more at the same point. I don't want to get carried away just yet but I'm almost certain it will debut in the single digits. And, frankly, I wouldn't be surprised if it grossed like 5M. Depends on its screen count as well tho.
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