BobDole
-
Posts
205 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Posts posted by BobDole
-
-
1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? Yes
2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? Yes
3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? Yes
4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? Yes
5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? Yes (I thought the domestic was for top 15?)
6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%? No
7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars? Little Women
8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12? Yes
9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15? Yes
10. Will Parasite enter the top 10? Yes
11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%? No
12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12? No
13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? No
14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? No
15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Sonic's Weekend be? $55M
2. What will 1917's percentage drop be? 0%
3. What will Knives out's PTA be? $1,585
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Birds of Prey
4. Fantasy Island
6. 1917
8. Jumanji: The Next Level
10. The Gentlemen
12. Downhill
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Week 16: February 14th Weekend: - Will Sonic's 4 day (Including Monday) make more than Cats' OW? Yes
-
-
@chasmmi Unlock QOTW por favor?
QuoteWeek 15: February 7th Weekend: - Will Birds of Prey open to within $25M of Frozen 2?
I'm assuming that's comp'ing Birds of Prey OW vs Frozen II's OW? Not the Feb 7-9th gross of BoP vs F2?
-
1. Will Birds of Prey make more than $44M? Yes
2. Will Birds of Prey make more than $50M? Yes
3. Will Birds of Prey make more than $47M? Yes
4. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 22% on Saturday? No
5. Will Birds of Prey Sunday gross be enough for 1st place on its own? Yes
6. Will Bad Boys overtake Knives Out Dom Total On Saturday? No
7. How many films will make more than $5M? 3
8. Will Parasite stay above Jojo Rabbit? Yes
9. Will Star Wars have a bigger percentage drop than Doolittle? No
10. Will Gretel and Hansel stay above The Gentlemen? No
11. Will Little Women fall more than 30% on Sunday? No
12. Will The Turning stay in the top 12? No
13. Will Jumanji fall more than 20%? Yes
14. Will 1917 fall more than 25% percentage? Yes
15. Where shall we hold the afterparty to celebrate Endgame's Oscar Win? 5000
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Birds of Prey's's Weekend be? $45,000,000
2. What will Bad Boys' percentage drop be? -42.42%
3. What will Jumanji's PTA be? $1429
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. 1917
5. Jumanji: The Next Level
7. Gretel & Hansel
9. Knives Out
11. Just Mercy
13. The Turning
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
In case QOTW doesn't unlock before I go to bed:
Week 15: February 7th Weekend: - Will Birds of Prey open to within $25M of Frozen 2? No
-
Decent week overall
Four players got 13 questions correct with chasmmi getting the best mix of questions, good for 58k points total in part A
Solid part B with a total of 73k points earned by the players, 3rd best for the season (behind week 9's 79k & week 2's 76k). ZeeSoh scored the most (25k) by getting points from all 3 questions, coming in 2nd for two questions and tying for 1st in one.
Part C was a challenge with players averaging one correct answer, Bob Dole prevailed here getting 3 correct.
ZeeSoh's part B was enough to help them get the week's top score
There was a ranking change for the first time in over a month with chasmmi moving up to 7th place.
Link to scoring spreadsheet in the first post in this thread, feel free to double-check the work
-
1
-
1
-
-
1. Will The Rhythm Section make more than $7M? Yes
2. Will The Rhythm Section make more than $10M? No
3. Will The Rhythm Section make more than $8.5M? No
4. Will Gretal and Hansel make more than $4M? Yes
5. Will Gretal and Hansel make more than $6M? No
6. Will 1917 stay in the top 2? Yes
7. Will bad Boys make more than OW total of the two main new entries? Yes
8. Will Doolittle finish above The gentlemen? Yes
9. Will Star Wars have a bigger percentage drop than Spies in Disguise? Yes
10. Will The Turning stay above Little Women? No
11. Will Bad Boys overtake Knives Out's Domestic Total by the end of the weekend? No
12. Will Just Mercy have a higher percentage drop than Frozen? Yes
13. Will Parasite increase? No
14. Will The gentlemen Stay above Jumanji? Yes
15. Where is my medal? 5000
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will The Gretal and hansel's Weekend be? $4,500,000
2. What will Doolittles's percentage drop be? -40%
3. What will Frozen's PTA be? $1120
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. Dolittle
5. The Gentlemen
6. The Gentlemen
8. Little Women
9. Little Women
11. The Turning
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Week 14: January 31st Weekend: - Will Jumanji drop less than 25%? No
-
Week 13 updated:
Difficult week for Part A with an average of 9 questions right topped by Sheikh's 12 correct
Close calls:
#3 - GM inched past $10.5 making $10.6M for the weekend
#7 - (10,651,884 + 6,950,045) = 17,601,929*2 = $35,203,858 > $34,011,714
#9 - SW9 narrowly crossed $500M on Sat by $207,307
Decent week for part B with bcf26's 14k points being the most of any player for the week
Sheikh tops Part C with a perfect 6/6
-
2
-
1
-
-
1. Will The Gentlemen make more than $9M? Yes
2. Will The Gentlemen make more than $12M? No
3. Will The Gentlemen make more than $10.5M? No
4. Will The Turning make more than 10.5M? No
5. Will The Turning make more than Gentlemen? No
6. Will Bad Boys drop more than 57.5%? No
7. Will Bad Boys make more than double the OW total of the two main new entries? No
8. Will Dolittle finish above 1917? Yes
9. Will Star Wars cross $500M ON Saturday? Yes
10. Will Knives Out have the lowest percentage drop in the top 12? Yes
11. Will Jumanji drop more than 30%? Yes
12. Will 1917 cross $100M by the end of the weekend? Yes
13. Will Parasite stay above Jojo Rabbit? No
14. Will Little Women decrease more than 30% on Sunday? Yes
15. Will I live to see another sunrise? Yes
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will The Gentlemen's Weekend be? $10.1M
2. What will Just Mercy's percentage drop be? -49%
3. What will TROS's PTA be? $1479
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. 1917
4. The Gentlemen
6. Jumanji: The Next Level
8. Little Women
10. Knives Out
12. Frozen II
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Week 13: January 24th Weekend: - Will Bad Boys have a higher percentage drop than Dolittle? Yes
-
Fancyarcher & Wrath tie for best score in part A with 14 correct each
Season-low points scored in part B by the players at a total of 32k points. glassfairy did the best getting 10k of those points
All players got either 4 or 3 out of 6 in part C
Fancyarcher got the best score for the week, no movement in the rankings, distance between 1st & 2nd place increases to 124k points, largest gap thusfar in the season
-
2
-
1
-
-
Week 12: January 17th Weekend: - Will Dolittle and Bad Boys combine for more than $80M? No
-
1. Will Bad Boys make more than $24M? Yes
2. Will Bad Boys make more than $32M? Yes
3. Will Bad Boys make more than $28M? Yes
4. Will Doolittle make more than 17.5M? Yes
5. Will Doolittle make more than 22.5M? Yes
6. Will The Gentlemen make more than $12M? No wrong week mate
7. Will the three largest new entries combine to more than $65M? Yes
8. Will Doolittle's OW total be closer to Bad Boys or Gentlemen? Bad Boys
9. Will 1917 stay in the top 2? Yes
10. Will TROS stay above Jumanji? No
11. Will Frozen stay above Knives Out? Yes
12. Will Frozen have a bigger percentage drop than Spies in Disguise? No
13. Will Parasite Increase? Yes
14. Will Little Women stay above Underwater? Yes
15. Will the Academy decide to award Alita all the Oscars in order to stop the protest balloon flying over the Awards? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Bad Boys's Weekend be? $39,900,000
2. What will Star Wars' percentage drop be? -40%
3. What will Just Mercy's PTA be? $3175
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. 1917
3. Dolittle
5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
7. Little Women
9. Frozen II
11. Underwater
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Week 11 was a generally strong week for play though a mixed bag when breaking down the various parts of the game.
Very strong part A with another perfect 15/15 courtesy of Fancyarcher, five 14/15s, and two 13/15s being the worst anyone got in the first part.
A total of 60k points were won from part B, a bit better than the average 57k over the course of this season with Fancyarcher getting the only <1% guess thanks to their Grudge guess (-69% to the actual -69.2%) and getting a total of 16k points from the numerical prediction section, edged out by bcf26's 17k points for the section.
*Note on Scoring: Frozen II's PTA is $2,226, not the $1861 BoxOfficeMojo is showing. BoxOfficeMojo is showing Frozen II's theater count for the Jan 10-12 weekend as 3175 however TheNumbers had pegged it at 2655 last Thursday and the finals on Box Office Pro, BoxOfficeReport, and TheNumbers all reflect the same 2655 theater count. 3175 is the theater count for the previous weekend.
Part C was where the players tripped up, with four 1/6, two 2/6, and the best anyone faring were two 3/6.
Fancyarcher had the top score of the week though there were no rank changes in the running season scores
Oscar nominations were announced Monday morning, with 53 movies garnering a nomination, 17 released in the game's time frame, and 12 of those being a non-streaming release that have/will have reportable box office.
*rankings will differ when accounting for both gross & noms
For the most part the nominations didn't affect players badly in SOTM 2 with 3 players losing 40k points each for picking the non-nominated Cats.
Otherwise, at this early stage in awards season, it's looking like the higher one placed 1917 the better, but all players save The Panda placed 1917 at a lowly 5th or 6th. A likely leggy run to 9-figures and a strong contender for the technical categories (esp sound against FvF) bodes well for it placing highly in SOTM 2. With a solid box office right around $100M, Little Women and Ford v Ferrari are looking to make a play for the technical categories to run up their SOTM 2 score as Best Picture/Actress/S. Actress aren't looking likely for them (the latter two for Little Women).
-
1
-
1
-
-
Week 11: January 10th Weekend: - Will the highest new entry's OW finish within $5M of Star Wars' Weekend Total? No
-
Scoring for the holiday period has finished now that STX finally reported the Dec 20 weekend gross for Playmobil needed to score week 8's question #19
Week 8 (Dec 20-22)
With another jumbo-sized weekend of 20 questions, could the players continue the scoring momentum from the prior few weeks or would they fall back into the curse of low scores plaguing prior supersized weekends?
It was the latter. With the lowest high score of the game (78k), not one player was able to hit a 6-figure score in the week.
Chasmmi did the best in Part A with 54k points from 14 correct answers, beating out Sheikh's 52k from 14 correct.
For the first time in the game, everybody got points from part B. The bad news: It was the lowest total points from part B of the season with Wrath's 15k points making a good chunk of the 39k total.
Part C was equally terrible; of the 9 players, 4 got one correct and one got none with BobDole and Sheikh getting 4 correct each.
Sheikh gets the high score of the week and extends their lead to 119k over second-place, putting the distance between 1st & 2nd at six-figures for the first time in the game.
*A note on scoring: while none of the websites with full weekend charts are showing it, (Boxofficemojo, TheNumbers), per Deadline, Indian movie Dabangg 3 grossed $1.115M for the weekend which affects the scoring for both question #15 & part C as that would place it as the 12th highest-grossing movie for the weekend though, again, none of the main box office reporting websites show it as such
Week 9 (Dec 27-29)
This week proved to be much better with a new high score of 126k set by Fancyarcher narrowly overtaking the previous season-high of 125k set in week 5. In doing so Fancyarcher also overtook BobDole for 4th place in the game.
With only 7 players in the week, it was a generally high-scoring affair with almost all players getting 6-figure scores. Four players got 14/15 in part A while Inceptionzq received the third perfect 15/15 of the season in part A
Despite fewer players vying for the limited number of points from part B, they still couldn't capitalize on the decreased competition getting a total of 42k from part B, barely better than the season-low set the prior week. 2/3 of those points went to Inceptionzq & Fancyarcher.
Two weeks after the first 6/6, three(!) players got a perfect part C in week 9.
2nd-place Inceptionzq manages to cut the distance between them and 1st place down to 109k
Week 10 (Jan 3-5)
bcf26 & Sheikh tied for best score in Part A at 13 correct/58k points each while part B perked up from the doldrums of the prior 2 weeks with a season-best 79k total points with glassfairy accounting for 27k of those on their way to the week's high score. Multiple players got 4/6 correct in part C.
As always, take a glance at the scoring (link to spreadsheet in first post) for mistakes/typos
-
1
-
3
-
-
1. Will 1917 make more than $22M? Yes
2. Will 1917 make more than $28M? Yes
3. Will 1917 make more than $25M? Yes
4. Will 1917 finish in 1st place? Yes
5. Will 1917 increase more than 6000% on friday? Yes
6. Will Just Mercy make more than $12M? No
7. Will Like a Boss Open to more than $12M? No
8. Will Just Mercy make more than Like a Boss? No
9. Will Jumanji finish within $2.5M of Star Wars? Yes
10. Will TROS overtake Frozen Domestically by end of weekend? Yes
11. Will Little Women drop more than 40%? No
12. Will Frozen have a bigger percentage drop than Spies in Disguise? No
13. Will Grudge stay above Knives Out? No
14. Will Cats stay above Ford vs Ferrari? No
15. Will Cats ever stop giving me nightmares? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will 1917's Weekend be? $28,700,000
2. What will Grudge's percentage drop be? -65%
3. What will Frozen's PTA be? $2693
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. 1917
4. Little Women
6. Just Mercy
8. Knives Out
10. The Grudge
12. Bombshell
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Week 10: January 3rd Weekend: - Will the Grudge Open in 2nd place? No
-
Spoiler
Everything is 3 day unless stated
Spoiler1. Will Grudge make more than $7M? Yes
2. Will Grudge make more than $10M? Yes
3. Will Grudge make more than $8.5M? Yes
4. Will Grudge open in the top 5? Yes
5. Will Grudge make more than 40% of its OW total on Friday? No
6. Will Uncut Gems make more than $5M? Yes
7. Will Jumanji have a 3 day weekend above $20M? Yes
8. Will Little Women have a 3 day weekend above $12.5M? Yes
9. Will TROS drop more than 50%? No
10. Will TROS overtake Frozen Domestically by end of weekend? Yes
11. Will Cats stay in the top 10? Yes
12. Will Frozen finish in the top 3? Yes
13. Will Knives Out drop less than 25%? Yes
14. Will Uncut Gems drop more than 30%' Yes
15. Will we achieve hindsight in 2020? No
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
Spoiler1. What will Grudge's OW be? $12,930,000
2. What will Cats' percentage drop be? -47%
3. What will Star Wars's Domestic Total be? $456,000,000
Part C
SpoilerThere will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. Little Women
5. Frozen II
7. Knives Out
9. Bombshell
11. Cats
12. Ford v Ferrari
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Star Wars 9
Jumanji: The Next Level $90M
1917
Bad Boys For Life $70m
Dolittle
Little Women
Frozen II $50m
Like A Boss -
Week 9: December 27th Weekend: - Will Star Wars drop more than 40%? Yes
-
Everything is 3 day unless stated
1. Will Spies in Disguise make more than $7M? Yes
2. Will Spies in Disguise make more than $11M? Yes
3. Will Spies in Disguise make more than $19M? No
4. Will Little Women Make more than $17.5M? Yes
5. Will Little Women Make more than $22.5M? Yes
6. Will Uncut Gems make more than $5M? Yes
7. Will Jumanji have a 3 day weekend above $20M? Yes
8. Will Jumanji have a 3 day weekend above $25M? Yes
9. Will TROS have a 3 day weekend above $90M? No
10. Will TROS have a 3 day weekend above $100M? No
11. Will Frozen stay in the top 3? Yes
12. Will Uncut Gems enter the top 8? Yes
13. Will Cats drop less than 15%? Yes
14. Will Cats domestic total by the end of Sunday be higher than Spies in Disguises' No
15. Are you glad that we now leave the Star Wars Era and enter the ERA OF AVAT... wait there;s still more years til that? 5000
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Spies In Disguise's? $10,000,000
2. What will Cats' percentage drop be? -1%
3. What will Star Wars's PTA be? $18,951
Part C
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
3. Frozen II
5. Spies in Disguise
7. Uncut Gems
9. Queen & Slim
10. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
12. Black Christmas
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
-
Week 8: December 20th Weekend: - Will Star Wars open to more than $225M? No
The Final Winter SOTM... I finally made another. Go Me
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted · Edited by BobDole
1. Will Sonic make more than $25M? Yes
2. Will Sonic make more than $35M? Yes
3. Will Sonic make more than $30M? Yes
4. Will Sonic make more than the next three highest New Entries Combined? Yes
5. Will Sonic Make it into the Domestic top 20 for the Game by the end of the Game? Yes (I thought the domestic was top 15?)
6. Will Birds of Prey drop more than 55%?
7. Will Jumanji finish closer Domestically to Little Women or Star Wars?
8. Will Fantasy Island make more than $12?
9. Will Fantasy Island make more than $15?
10. Will Parasite enter the top 10?
11. Will Doolittle drop more than 25%?
12. Will Star Wars stay in the top 12? No
13. Will Jojo Rabbit Increase? No
14. Will Sonic turn out to be a beautiful butterfly? No
15. Should I put in a better 2nd free question here next year? No
Part C
2.
4.
6.
8.
10.
12.