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BobDole

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  1. damn this is getting hard to scrabble together even a list of 6 given streaming's increasing presence, Fox Searchlight being largely absent during the game's season, and October being a bigger month for initial platform releases... 1. Bombshell 2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 3. Little Women 4. Frozen II 5. 1917 6. Queen & Slim A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
  2. Part A: 1. Will Terminator Open to more than $30M? Yes 2. Will Terminator Open to more than $40M? No 3. Will Terminator Open to more than $35M? No 4. Will Terminator' drop more than 30% on Sunday? No 5. Will Terminator's Saturday be enough to take number 1 for the weekend on its own? No 6. Will Joker finish in 2nd place? Yes 7. Will Addam's Family stay in the top 5? Yes 8. Will Arctic Dogs open above Motherless Brooklyn? Yes 9. Will Inside Game have a higher PTA than The Portal? Yes 10. Will Countdown stay above Black and Blue? No 11. Will Zombieland drop more than 53%? No 12. Will Gemini Man increase more than Joker on Saturday? Yes 13. Will Parasite have a PTA above $7,500k? Yes 14. Will JoJo Rabbit enter the top 8? No 15. Will Current War stay above The Lighthouse? No 16. Will Maleficent's Domestic Total overtake Addam's Family's by the end of Sunday? Yes 17. Will Gemini Man have the worst PTA in the top 10? No 18. Will Abominable stay above Downton Abbey? No 19. How many films will make more than $7M this weekend? 6 20. How many of these questions will turn out to be a fecking nightmare because of all the changes and stuff? Yes Bonus: 12/20 3000 13/20 5000 14/20 8000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 20,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Terminator make for its 3 day OW? $33,400,000 2. What will Joker's Sunday gross be? $3,611,788 3. What will Zombieland's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $2097 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Terminator: Dark Fate 2. Joker 4. Harriet 6. Zombieland 2: Double Tap 8. The Lighthouse 10. Countdown 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  3. Usually I'm completely fine with leaving people to dig their own graves buuut I'm in a charitable mood @bcf26 Bombshell moved up a week in limited release before opening wide, no longer qualified for multiplier section @Mike Hunt you really think King's Man is gonna have an $87M opening weekend? It's opening the last Friday of the game also all of you with the 9-figure domestic predictions for Little Women?!!?!?! y'all crazy
  4. Very last question in the Winter Preseason questions, Section G, RF3E: Highest Grossing Best Picture Nominee (does not need to get released in the game release window)
  5. 20M: Birds of Prey - Australia 40M: Frozen II - Germany 60M: Frozen II - UK 80M: Frozen II - South Korea 100M: Terminator: Dark Fate - China
  6. Week 1: November 1st Weekend: - Will Terminator make more than $30M OW? Yes
  7. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 795M 2) Frozen II 400M 3) Jumanji: The Next Level 360M 4) Bad Boys for Life 180M 5) Doolittle 175M 6) Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) 165M 7) 1917 100M 8 ) A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 100M 9) Last Christmas 100M 10) Terminator: Dark Fate 91M 11) Knives Out 85M 12) Richard Jewell 80M 13) Cats 68M 14) Ford v Ferrari 65M 15) Charlie's Angels 65M Backup 16*) Like a Boss 60M *Only used if a film above exits the game B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 220M 2) Frozen II 110M 3) Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) 80M 4) Jumanji: The Next Level 79M 5) Bad Boys for Life 45.6M 6) Doolittle 40.1M 7) Terminator: Dark Fate 34.5M Backup 8*) 1917 33M *Only used if a film above exits the game C : Worldwide top 12: 1) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 1.45B 2) Frozen II 1.09B 3) Jumanji: The Next Level 901M 4) 1917 455M 5) Bad Boys for Life 430M 6) Terminator: Dark Fate 400m 7) Doolittle 399m 8 ) Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) 330m 9) Cats 330m 10) Last Christmas 310m 11) Knives Out 275m 12) Charlie's Angels 210m Backup 13*) Doctor Sleep 230m *Only used if a film above exits the game D : TOP 5 Weekends 1) Dec 20-22 300m 2) Dec 27-29 232m 3) Nov 22-24 200m 4) Dec 13-15 170m 5) Jan 17-19 150m backup 6*) Feb 7-9 150m *Only used if a film above exits the game again find it amusing there's a back-up for this section in case...what, a weekend gets cancelled? yeah yeah a major movie could hypothetically shift dates, alright, still E: Multipliers 1) The Good Liar 4.42x 2) Last Christmas 4.34x 3) Richard Jewell 4.33x 4) Knives Out 4x 5) A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood 4x backup 6*) Frozen II 4x *Only used if a film above exits the game F: Total Grosses Top 15 DOM) $2.809B Top7 OW) 609.2M Top 12 WW) $6.580B Top 5 W/E) $1.052B Average Multi) 3.56x ?????????????????????? G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 70M Cats B: 100M Terminator: Dark Fate C : 200M Bad Boys for Life D : 300M Jumanji: The Next Level E: 400M Frozen II RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.2B Frozen II B: $900M Jumanji: The Next Level C : 700M Jumanji: The Next Level D : 500M 1917 E: 300M Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) RFQ3: Predict the highest grossing film released in each month by the end of the game: A: November Frozen II B: December Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker C : January Bad Boys for Life D February Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) E: Best Picture Joker
  8. Updated. Spreadsheet is an eyesore but taking myself for example, my movie guesses are row 4, weekend 13 #1 movie is in cell B4 (Lion King), weekend 13 #2 movie is in cell C4 (Spider-Man: Far From Home). I got the 1st place film correct so I get 10 points (cell B5), likewise for 2nd place film so I get 8 points (cell C5) and since I got both right I get a 7 point bonus (cell D5). Sum of all the weekend scores are in column Z (and AA, it's the same scores I just pasted it in another column to align with player names). Anyone can feel free to check my work in the spreadsheet or manually score a few to spot check some of the sums but I'm fairly sure I maintain my streak for shitting the bed Totals: ZeeSoh 96 JJ-8 86 Sheikh 82 chasmmi 82 bcf20 73 Fancyarcher 68 Jakes Gittes 68 24Lost 64 MrPink 58 glassfairy 54 PanaMovie 45 Wrath 45 kayumanggi 45 BobDole 29
  9. Not that it'll save me but how did scoring work? I answered 3, got 2 right, abstained from 5: (2 correct*25) - (1 wrong*40) = 50 - 40 = 10 10 + (5 abstain *5) = 10 +25 = 35 35 - 15 (abstaining 5+ questions) = 20
  10. SOTM 7 partially scored pending scoring rubric for re-scheduled movies / ranked below 5th - https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1YcyYA0ncS9-m_MwLKikZ1gVxvW2KrqQtdaqLqRsSPQQ/edit?usp=sharing
  11. Week 20: September 6th Weekend: - Will It: Chapter 2 make the top 10 of the Domestic Table from its opening weekend? NO
  12. Part A: 2. NO Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $115M? 2000 4. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 70% of all cinematic grosses reported by BOM this weekend? 4000 5. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 35% of its weekend total on Friday? 5000 6. YES Will Spiderman stay above Angry Birds? 1000 7. NO Will Angry Birds Stay above Dora? 2000 8. YES Will 47 Metres drop more than 65% 3000 10. NO Will Lion King Have a PTA above $1,750? 5000 13. YES Will It chapter 2 drop more than 10% on Saturday? 3000 14. NO Will anything in the top 15 increase this weekend? 4000 15. YES Will Peanut Butter Falco's domestic total overtake Blinded by the Light's 5000 16. NO Will Spiderman have a larger percentage drop than Toy Story? 1000 17. YES Will Saaho drop more than 62%? 2000 19. NO Did you remember the final week always has two questions like this? 4000 20. MAYBE Who's coming back for Winter? 5000 1 correct answer = 5,000 points Answer at least 10 and all are correct = Double your score Answer at least 20 and all are correct = Triple your score 1 incorrect answer = minus 15,000 points Answer at least 10 and 4 or more are incorrect = Incorrect answers are worth minus 20,000 points Answer at least 20 and 4 or more are incorrect = Incorrect answers are worth minus 25,000 points
  13. Part A: 1. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $95M? 1000 2. NO Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $115M? 2000 3. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than $105M? 3000 4. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 70% of all cinematic grosses reported by BOM this weekend? 4000 5. YES Will It Chapter 2 Open to more than 35% of its weekend total on Friday? 5000 6. YES Will Spiderman stay above Angry Birds? 1000 7. NO Will Angry Birds Stay above Dora? 2000 8. YES Will 47 Metres drop more than 65% 3000 9. YES Will anything reported by BOM except It Chapter 2 have a PTA above $12,000? 4000 10. NO Will Lion King Have a PTA above $1,750? 5000 11. NO Will Overcomer increase 100% on Friday? 1000 12. YES Will Good Boys drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 13. YES Will It chapter 2 drop more than 10% on Saturday? 3000 14. NO Will anything in the top 15 increase this weekend? 4000 15. YES Will Peanut Butter Falco's domestic total overtake Blinded by the Light's 5000 16. NO Will Spiderman have a larger percentage drop than Toy Story? 1000 17. YES Will Saaho drop more than 62%? 2000 18. YES Will Overcomer drop less than 255 on sunday? 3000 19. NO Did you remember the final week always has two questions like this? 4000 20. MAYBE Who's coming back for Winter? 5000 Bonus: 12/20 3000 13/20 5000 14/20 8000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 20,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will It chapter 2 make for its 3 day OW? $105,000,006 2. What will Lion King's Sunday gross be? $1,295,424 3. What will Angel has Fallen's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $1829 4. What will 47 Metre's Percentage drop be? -67.8% 5. What will Ms. Purple's PTA be? $12,500 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. IT: Chapter 2 2. Good Boys 4. The Lion King 6. Overcomer 8. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood 10. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  14. Week 19: August 30th Weekend: - Will top 3 from last week remain in that order? No
  15. All 3 day 1. NO Will Don't Let Go make more than $3.5M? 1000 2. NO Will Don't Let Go make more than $6.5M? 2000 3. NO Will Don't Let Go make more than $5M? 3000 4. NO Will Saaho finish in the top 8? 4000 5. NO Will Saaho have a higher domestic total than Don't let Go by End of Sunday? 5000 6. NO Will Tod@Caen have a PTA above $3,000? 1000 7. YES Will Ne Zha have a higher PTA than Don't Let Go? 2000 8. YES Will Angel has Fallen drop less than 50%? 3000 9. NO Will Lion King have a larger percentage drop than Angry Birds? 4000 10. YES Will Hobbs and Shaw stay in the top 7? 5000  11. YES Will Once Upon a Time's PTA stay above $1,750? 1000 12. NO Will 47 Scary stories stay above Dora? 2000 13. NO Will anything in the upcoming top 12 have dropped more than 60%? 3000 14. NO Will Britney Runs a Marathon enter the top 15? 4000 15. YES Will anybody notice I have no clue what is happening this weekend? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Don't Let Go's OW be? $2,754,000 2. What will Good Boys' percentage drop be? -17% 3. What will be the PTA of Overcomer be? $3,558 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Good Boys 3. The Lion King 5. Hobbs & Shaw 7. Spider-Man: Far From Home 9. Spider-Man: Far From Home 12. The Peanut Butter Falcon Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  16. Week 18: August 23rd Weekend: - Will Angel has fallen open in first place? Cash out
  17. All 3 day 1. YES Will Angel has Fallen make more than $12M? 1000 2. NO Will Angel has Fallen make more than $18M? 2000 3. NO Will Angel has Fallen make more than $15M? 3000 4. Angel has Fallen Will Will Good Boys' Weekend total be closer to Angel has Fallen's or Hobbs and Shaw's? 4000 5. YES Will Ready or Not make more than Overcomer? 5000 6. YES Will Overcomer make more than 4M? 1000 7. YES Will Overcomer make more than 6M? 2000 8. Hobbs & Shaw Which film will have a weekend total closest to $9M? 3000 9. YES Will Bernadette have a larger percentage drop than blinded by the light? 4000 10.NO? Will Good Boys Domestic total overtake Dora's by end of Saturday? 5000  11. NO Will Lion King increase 100% on Saturday? 1000 12. YES Will 47 Metres Down stay in the top 10? 2000 13. NO Will Once Upon a Time drop more than 43%? 3000 14. NO Will Bring the Soul register a weekend gross amount in Mojo's Weekend Actuals list? 4000 15. NO Will the Angry Birds movie crossover into Star Wars? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Angel has Fallen's OW be? $14,395,000 2. What will Scary Stories's percentage drop be? -49.3% 3. What will be the PTA of Bernadette be? $525 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Good Boys 4. The Lion King 6. The Angry Birds Movie 2 9. 47 Meters Down: Uncaged 11. The Peanut Butter Falcon 13. Spider-Man: Far From Home The Peanut Butter Falcon Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  18. Been scoring SOTM7 to see how badly I get fucked over by picking Hobbs & Shaw as the #1 movie for 5 straight weekends. Everyone's pretty cramped together in scoring but things are about to go haywire. How should scoring go for those who picked the Playmobil movie which was moved to December? -150,000 pts each right? Right. Glad that's settled. Also how to score for movies that don't make the Top 5 (see: me, this weekend with 47 Meters Down and likely Angry Birds 2 in the coming weeks)
  19. All 3 day 1. NO Will Angry Birds make more than $14M? 1000 2. NO Will Angry Birds make more than $20M? 2000 3. NO Will Angry Birds make more than $17M? 3000 4. NO Will Angry birds have the highest PTA of the 5 biggest new releases? 4000 5. NO Will Angry Birds' Sunday total be more than double the next highest new entries'? 5000 6. NO Will 47 Metres make more than $12M? 1000 7. NO Will Good Boys make more than $12M? 2000 8. NO Will 47 Metres make more than Good Boys? 3000 9. YES Will Bernadette make more than blinded by the light? 4000 10. YES Will Hobbs and Shaw stay in the top 3? 5000  11. BY SUNDAY? NO Will Lion King cross $500M domestic? 1000 12. YES Will toy Story drop more than 40%? 2000 13. YES Will Once Upon a Time stay in the top 8? 3000 14. YES Will Bring the Soul drop more than 70% 4000 15. NO Will the Angry Birds movie crossover into Star Wars? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Angry Bird's OW be? $11,400,00 2. What will Dora's percentage drop be? -48% 3. What will be the difference in dollars between 47 metres and Good Boy's OW totals? $1,234,567 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Angry Birds Movie 2 3. Angry Birds Movie 2 5. The Lion King 7. Dora and the Lost City of Gold 9. Where'd You Go, Bernadette 12. Spider-Man: Far From Home Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  20. Week 17: August 16th Weekend: - Will dora drop more than 36.5%? Yes
  21. Week 16: August 9th Weekend: - Will Kitchen open above Scary Stories? No
  22. 1. NO Will Dora make more than $25M? 1000 2. NO Will Dora make more than $35M? 2000 3. NO Will Dora make more than $30M? 3000 4. NO Will Will Dora make more than the 3n next highest new releases combined? 4000 5. Lion King Will Will Hobbs and Shaw finish closer in dollars to Lion King or Dora? 5000 6. NO Will Kitchen make more than $10M? 1000 7. YES Will Scary stories make more than $10M? 2000 8. NO Will Racing in the rain make more than $10M? 3000 9. NO Will Brian Banks make more than $4.5M? 4000 10. SCARY STORIES TO TELL IN THE DARK Which New release not named Dora will have the highest PTA whilst also making more than $2M? 5000 11. NO Will Ode to Joy have a PTA above $15,000? 1000 12. YES Spider-man stay above Toy Story? 2000 13. NO Will Annabelle have a larger percentage drop than Crawl? 3000 14. HOBBS & SHAW Which film in the upcoming top 12 will have the highest percentage drop? 4000 15. YES Will Dora tell a scary story to tell in the dark? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Dora's OW be? $18,900,000 2. What will Endgame's percentage drop be? -34.9% 3. What will Yesterday's PTA be? $1574 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. The Lion King 4. Scary Stories to Tell in the Dark 6. The Kitchen 8. Spider-Man: Far From Home 10. Brian Banks 12. Yesterday Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
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