BobDole

One of us messed up their math (I'm 1k short of Sheikh in your scoring despite having the same picks...granted given how often I've come up short at the last minute lately that would be par for the course)

Part A: 1. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $45M? Yes 2. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $55M? No 3. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $50M? No 4. Will Dragon 3 increased more than 55% on Saturday? Yes 5. Will Dragon 3 make more than 50% of the combined total of the top 5 movies? Yes 6. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $6M? Yes 7. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $10M? No 8. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $8M? No 9. Will Fighting With My Family open in 4th? Yes 10. Will Cold Pursuit stay above The Upside? No 11. Will Green Book have a smaller percentage drop than Bohemian Rhapsody? Yes 12. Will Spiderverse have a bigger decrease than Lego? No 13. Will Total Dhamaal Open to more than $550k? Yes 14. Will Total Dhamaal Open to more than $650k? No 15. Will The Prodigy stay in the top 12? No 16. Will Happy Death Day drop more than 55%? Yes 17. Will Happy Death Day drop more than 33% on Sunday? Yes 18. Will What Men Want increase more than 60% on Saturday? Yes 19. Will Alita overtake Green Book Domestic total by the end of the game (so including the Monday) No 20. What will be the highest placed film to win an Oscar? Green Book 21. Will The Upside cross $100M by end of Sunday? Yes 22. Will Miss Bala stay above the Oscar Short Films? No 23. Will Will the top 10 make more than $115M combined? No 24. Will Mortal Engines make a mystical 55 Million this weekend and save my top 15?? No 25. Will you be back for Summer? Yes Bonus: 13/25 3000 14/25 5000 15/25 7000 16/25 9000 17/25 12000 18/25 15000 19/25 18000 20/25 21000 21/25 25000 22/25 30000 23/25 36000 24/25 42000 25/25 50000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Dragon 3 make for its 3 day? $46,000,000 2. What will Alita's Percentage drop be? -47.9% 3. What will Lego Movie's percentage change be?-48.9% 4. What will Green Book's PTA Be? $2100 5. Will Will Ralph Breaks the Internet's Domestic Total Be at end of Sunday? $199,806,849 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Alita: Battle Angel 4. Isn't it Romantic? 6. What Men Want 7. The Upside 9. Cold Pursuit 11. Glass 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

Open to 18.5/16 (opening weekend) or make 18.5/16 (second weekend). I'm assuming the latter but don't want to throw away a potential gimme

I think I should've gotten 3000 points for week 16, no?

On the one hand I'm thankful for more point opportunities. On the other hand, what's the next SOTM gonna be, ranking the movies by the diameter of the letter O in the teaser poster to the power of π divided by the square root of number of actors in the movie? 1. Double the OW of Alita, plus Lego Movie 2's Second weekend total (only Alita is doubled) ~ $68M 2. Lego Movie's 2nd weekend gross multiplied by 3 ~ $61M 3. Aquaman's weekend gross for the weekend of February 15th-17th multiplied by 30 ~ $54M 4. The combined 3 day OW of Alita, Happy Death Day 2, and Isn't It Romantic ~ $42.5M 5. How To Train Your Dragon 3's final Gross at the end of the game ~ $43-49M 6. Isn't It Romantic's Opening Saturday gross multiplied by 9 ~ $43.5M 7. What Men Want's final gross at the end of Game ~ $41M 8. Double Happy Death Day's domestic Total by the end of its opening Monday ~ $21.5M

Week 16: February 15th Weekend: - Will Alita have at least the 3rd highest OW of any film that was originally scheduled to release on December 19th or 21st? (Aquaman, Bumblebee, Mortal Engines, Mary Poppins, Holmes Watson, Deadpool PG, Welcome to Marwen) Yes

Part A (Everything is the 3 day unless stated) 1. Will Alita Open to more than $15M? Yes 2. Will Alita Open to more than $21M? Yes 3. Will Alita Open to more than $18M? Yes 4. Will Isn't It Romantic Open to more than Alita? No 5. How many new releases will have a bigger 3 day weekend than Lego Movie 2? 1 6. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $18M? No 7. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $24M? No 8. Will Happy Death Day open to more than $21M? No 9. Will the top four films combine to more than $80M? No 10. Will Glass stay above the Prodigy? Yes 11. Will Miss Bala's PTA stay above $1,000? No 12. Will Spiderverse have a bigger percentage drop than Aquaman? No???????? 13. Will The Upside increase more than 175% on Friday? No 14. Will What Men Want drop more than 47% this weekend? No 15. Will Alita cross $1B WW by Saturday? No Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Alita make for its 3 day? $24,300,000 2. What will be the percentage change for Lego 2? -38% 3. What will Happy Death Day's PTA be? $1971 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Alita: Battle Angel 3. Isn't it Romantic 5. Happy Death Day 2U 6. The Upside 8. Glass 11. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

Part A 1. Will Lego 2 Open to more than $50M? Yes 2. Will Lego 2 Open to more than $60M? No 3. Will Lego 2 Open to more than $55M? No 4. Will Cold Pursuit Open to more than $9M? Yes 5. Will Cold Pursuit Open to more than $12M? No 6. Will The Prodigy open to more than $5M? Yes 7. Will What Men Want Open to more than $22.5M? Yes 8. Will Lego make more on Saturday and Sunday than the other 3 major new releases make all weekend combined? No 9. Will Glass Stay above the Upside? No, predicted this the last 3 weeks maybe I'll finafuckinglly get some pts for it 10. Spiderverse stay above Green Book? No 11. Will Aquaman's PTA stay above $1,150? Yes 12. Will Escape Room have a bigger percentage drop than DOg's Way Home? Yes 13. Will Mary Poppins increase more than 105% on Saturday? No 14. Will Miss Bala increase more than 120% on Friday? No 15. Will Lego Superman have a weird invisible moustache? Yes Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Lego 2 make for its 3 day? $51,300,000 2. What will be the percentage change for SPiderverse? -39.25% 3. What will Glass's PTA be? $1401 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Cold Pursuit 5. The Prodigy 7. Green Book 9. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 10. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 12. They Shall Not Grow Old 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

Week 15: February 8th Weekend: - Will Lego Movie 2 already become February's highest domestic grosser by the end of Friday? Yes I am just all-around shitting the bed so hard in the final stretch. Tried to get an edge based on historical precedent favoring January horrors making 30%+ on Super Bowl Friday but dagnabbit Escape Room keeps bucking the trend

If it makes you feel any better, check out the latest scoring update... (also I must've typo'd/copy&paste error'd for at least 2 of this week's questions, I am getting gd sick of my unforced errors)

Was throwing together some comps for SV to figure out where the rest of its trajectory would go and one of the closest comps I found was....*drum roll* 2000's What Women Want (warning messy, visually-unfriendly Excel screengrabs) weekend-over-weekend drops and their crazily in-sync running totals. $183M final incoming!

Week 14: February 1st Weekend: - Will Escape Room make more than 30% of its Weekend total on Friday? Yes

How to Train You Dragon: The Hidden World Aquaman Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse The Wife The Favourite Free Solo Bohemian Rhapsody At Eternity's Gate Vice I like this. This is fun.

Part A: 1. Will Miss Bala Open to more than $6M? Yes 2. Will Miss Bala Open to more than $10M? No 3. Will Miss Bala Open to more than $8M? Yes 4. Will Miss Bala open in first place? No 5. Will any film finish 1st for all three weekend days? No 6. Will Glass make more than $9M? No 7. Will Serenity stay above Escape Room? No 8. Will Aquaman have a larger percentage drop than Dog's Way Home? No 9. Will One Boy's Search for... I give up, Ek Ladka ko dekha toh Aisa Laga make more than $1.25M? Yes 10. Will the BTS monstrosity drop more than 63%? Yes 11. Will The Upside increase more than 75% on Saturday? Yes 12. Will Green Book have a bigger percentage drop than Mary Poppins? Yes 13. Will A Dogs Way home have a PTA above $1,200? No 14. Will Dragon Ball drop out of the top 20? No 15. So, is this question better than last week's? M  Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Miss Bala make for its 3 day? $9,150,000 2. What will be the percentage change for Serenity? -72% 3. What will Aquaman's PTA be? $1560 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. The Upside 4. Aquaman 6. Green Book 7. The Kid Who Would be King 9. They Shall Not Grow Old 12. Bohemian Rhapsody Bumblebee Bohemian Rhapsody 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

Week 13: January 25th Weekend: - Will Serenity have a higher PTA this weekend than Spiderverse? Fuck it, YES

Been contemplating drowning myself every waking & sleeping moment since realizing I copy&pasted the template instead of my answers for last week's question. I even had 31% for MPR & $240 for Replicas Part A: 1. Will The Kid Open to more than $9M? No 2. Will The Kid Open to more than $13M? No 3. Will Serenity Open to more than $4M? Yes 4. Will Serenity Open to more than $6M? Yes 5. Will The Kid make more than double Serenity? No 6. Will Glass make more than $18.5M? N...no 7. Will Dragonball stay above Spiderverse? No 8. Will Dog's Way Home have a larger percentage drop than Bumblebee? No 9. Will Escape Room stay above Mary Poppins'? Yes 10. Will The Upside have a weekend gross within $2M of The Kid? No 11. Will The Mule cross $100M on Sunday? Yes 12. Will Aquaman have a PTA above $2,150? No 13. Will Basis of Sex make increase more than 50% on Saturday? Yes 14. Will Spiderverse increase more than 150% on Friday? Yes 15. Will I come up with a better question 15 next weekend? M Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will The Kid who would be King make for its 3 day? $7,200,000 2. What will be the percentage change for Bumblebee? -33.05% 3. What will Escape Room's PTA be? $1414 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. GLASS 3. THE KID WHO WOULD BE KING 4. THE KID WHO WOULD BE KING 6. GREEN BOOK 8. A DOG'S WAY HOME 11. BUMBLEBEE 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

Bohemian Rhapsody $200M Spiderverse $175M The Upside $60M Glass $150M

Part A: 1. Will Glass Open to more than $45M? 1000 2. Will Glass Open to more than $52.5M? 2000 3. Will Glass Open to more than $60M? 3000 4. Will Glass make more than 36% of its weekend total on Friday? 4000 5. Will Upside stay above Aquaman? 5000 6. Will Dog's Way Home drop more than 46%? 1000 7. Will Replicas drop more than 55%? 2000 8. Will On the Basis of Sex stay above The Mule? 3000 9. Will Spiderverse's Domestic total overtake Mary Poppins'? 4000 10. Will Vice stay in the top 12? 5000 11. Will Bumblebee have a bigger percentage drop than Aquaman? 1000 12. Will Bohemian Rhapsody Increase more than 50% on Saturday? 2000 13. Will Escape Room have a PTA above $2,350? 3000 14. Will An Acceptable Loss have a PTA above $11,000? 4000 15. Will Glass have a Post Credits Scene that connects everything together so that this is all a prequel for After Earth? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Glass make for its 3 day? 2. What will be the percentage change for Mary Poppins? 3. What will Replicas' PTA be? Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. 4. 5. 7. 9. 11. 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

Week 12: January 18th Weekend: - Will Glass open to more than Mortal Instruments' OW? Yes

At the risk of being annoyingly persnickety, for week 11 part B question 2 about Spider-Man's % drop, using a rounded 31.1% that some websites are reporting vs the exact 31.053079234% (or, y'know, just to 4-5 decimal places) DOES have an appreciable effect on scoring given the tight range of guesses for that questionfightingforeverygotdangpoint

1. Glass Previews - $4M 2. Friday # - $18.9M 3. 3 day weekend number - $54M 4. 4 day weekend number $63.18M

Week 11 1) Aquaman 2) The Upside Week 12 1) Glass 2) Aquaman Week 13 1) Glass 2) The Kid Who Would be King Week 14 1) Glass 2) Miss Bala Week 15 1) The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part 2) What Men Want Week 16 1) The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part 2) Happy Death Day 2U Week 17 1) How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World 2) The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part

v happy scores haven't been updated in a few weeks, pretty sure I've lost my lead but until points get tabulated, Schrödinger's first place! Part A: 1. Will Dog's Way Home Open to more than $12M? Yes 2. Will Dog's Way Home Open to more than $15M? No 3. Will The Upside Open to more than $12M? Yes 4. Will The Upside Open to more than $15M Yes 5. Will Aquaman stay at number 1? Yes 6. Will Replicas make more than $2.5M? Yes 7. Will Replicas make more than $4M? No 8. Will On the Basis of Sex make more than Replicas? Yes 9. Will Escape Room stay above Mary Poppins? No 10. Will Second Act stay in the top 12? No 11. Will The Mule have a bigger percentage drop than Vice? No 12. Will Bumblebee drop more than 44%? No 13. Will The Ralph 2 have a PTA above $1750? No 14. Will Holmes and Watson stay above Bohemian Rhapsody? No 15. How many times is the dog gonna die in Dog's Way Home? 5000 Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Upside make for its 3 day? $17,500,000 2. What will be the percentage change for Spiderverse? -30.0% 3. What will Welcome to Marwen's PTA be? $560 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Aquaman 3. A Dog's Way Home 6. Escape Room 8. On the Basis of Sex 10. Vice 12. Bohemian Rhapsody 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

Week 11: January 11th Weekend: - Will Aquaman have a smaller Sunday drop than Poppins? I should cash out buuuuttt yes

Part A: 1. Will Escape Room Open to more than $9M? Yes 2. Will Escape Room Open to more than $15M? No 3. Will Escape Room Open to more than $12M? Yes 4. Will The top three change from last weekend? Yes 5. Will Poppins drop more than 18%? Yes 6. Will Aquaman make more than 27.5M? Yes 7. Will Aquaman make more than 32.5M? No 8. Will Bumblebee make more than 13.5M? No 9. Will Bumblebee finish above Spiderverse? Yes 10. Will Holmes and Watson stay in the top 9? No 11. Will Bohemian Rhapsody have a bigger percentage drop than Mary Queen of Scots? Yes 12. Will Welcome to Marwen drop more than 60%? No 13. Will The Mule have a PTA above $2250? Yes 14. Will The Grinch have the biggest decrease in the top 25? No 15. On what day will Second Act cross $350M domestic? It already did Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Escape Room make for its 3 day? $13,390,000 2. What will be the percentage change for Grinch? -59.8% 3. What will Poppins make on Saturday? $7,714,000 Part C There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Aquaman 3. Escape Room 5. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse 8. Second Act 11. The Favourite 13. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch