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Sheikh

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  1. Week 11: 1st.... Aquaman 2nd..... The Upside Week 12: 1st.... Glass 2nd..... Aquaman Week 13: 1st.... Glass 2nd..... The Kid Who Would Be King Week 14: 1st.... Glass 2nd..... Miss Bala Week 15: 1st.... The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part 2nd..... What Men Want Week 16: 1st.... The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part 2nd..... Happy Death Day 2U Week 17: 1st.... How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World 2nd..... The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part
  2. Edit: I edited my answers after Escape Room Thursday Preview was released. Don't know if that's allowed, sheet wasn't locked. Part A: 1. Will Escape Room Open to more than $9M? 1000 YES 2. Will Escape Room Open to more than $15M? 2000 YES 3. Will Escape Room Open to more than $12M? 3000 YES 4. Will The top three change from last weekend? 4000 YES 5. Will Poppins drop more than 18%? 5000 YES 6. Will Aquaman make more than 27.5M? 1000 YES 7. Will Aquaman make more than 32.5M? 2000 YES 8. Will Bumblebee make more than 13.5M? 3000 YES 9. Will Bumblebee finish above Spiderverse? 4000 NO 10. Will Holmes and Watson stay in the top 9? 5000 NO 11. Will Bohemian Rhapsody have a bigger percentage drop than Mary Queen of Scots? 1000 NO 12. Will Welcome to Marwen drop more than 60%? 2000 NO 13. Will The Mule have a PTA above $2250? 3000 YES 14. Will The Grinch have the biggest decrease in the top 25? 4000 NO 15. On what day will Second Act cross $350M domestic? 5000 ... Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Escape Room make for its 3 day? $21.15m 2. What will be the percentage change for Grinch? -52.94% 3. What will Poppins make on Saturday? $8,372,195 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Aquaman 3. Mary Poppins Returns 5. Bumblebee 8. Second Act 11. Bohemian Rhapsody 13. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  3. Part A: 1. Will Aquaman Open to more than $64M? 1000 YES 2. Will Aquaman Open to more than $80M? 2000 NO 3. Will Aquaman Open to more than $72M? 3000 NO 4. Will Aquaman's Friday and Saturday be higher than Mary Poppins' 5 day? 4000 YES 5. Will Aquaman increase on Saturday from its Friday gross without previews? 5000 YES 6. Will Bumblebee open to more than $19M? 1000 YES 7. Will Bumblebee open to more than $24M? 2000 NO 8. Will Will Second Act have a higher PTA than Welcome to Marwan? 3000 YES 9. Will The Favourite make more than Mary Queen of Scots? 4000 YES 10. Will Mortal Instruments stay above Creed? 5000 YES 11. Will The Mule have a smaller percentage drop than Ralph? 1000 YES 12. Will Robin hood have a bigger decrease than Hannah Grace? 2000 YES 13. Will Bohemian Rhapsody have a PTA above $1500 3000 YES 14. Will the top 4 combine to more than $150M? 4000 NO 15. Will Bumblebee drink a refreshingly cool Bud Light? 5000 YES THIS SECTION IS ABOUT CHRISTMAS DAY OF CLOSE TO IT 16. Will Aquaman increase more than 110% on Christmas Day? 1000 NO 17. Will Mary Poppins increase more than 160% on Christmas Day? 2000 NO 18. Will Bumblebee increase more than 125% on Christmas Day? 3000 NO 19. Will at least two films in the top 10 have a bigger Christmas Day gross than every day from the 21st-24th? 4000 YES 20. Will Holmes and Watson Decrease more than 32.5% on Boxing Day? 5000 YES THIS SECTION IS ABOUT THE WEEKEND STARTING DECEMBER 28th 21. Will Aquaman drop more than 20%? 1000 YES 22. Will Mary Poppins increase more than 40%? 2000 NO 23. Will Mary Poppins win the weekend? 3000 NO 24. Will Bumblebee increase? 4000 NO 25. Will The Grinch increase? 5000 NO 26. Will Holmes and Watson enter in the top 5? 1000 YES 27. Will Green Book increase more than 55%? 2000 NO 28. Will Ralph finish above the Grinch? 3000 NO 29. Will Second Act have one of the two worst percentage changes in the top 12? 4000 NO 30. Will this be the moment that Mortal Engines kicks into gear and saves my preseasons with a monster $20M weekend out of nowhere? 5000 YES Bonus: 18/30 3000 19/30 5000 20/30 7000 21/30 9000 22/30 12000 23/30 15000 24/30 18000 25/30 21000 26/30 25000 27/30 30000 28/30 36000 29/30 42000 30/30 50000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Aquaman make for its 3 day? $68.9m 2. What will Spiderman's Percentage drop be? -49.3% 3. What will Mary Queen of Scots percentage increase be? 262.99% 4. What will Mary Poppins make on Christmas Day? $12.75m 5. What will Bumblebee's percentage change be on Christmas Day? 100% 6. What will Holmes and Watson's Domestic total be by the end of its opening weekend? $28.75m 7. What will be the difference between Grinch and Ralph's Weekend grosses on the 28th weekend? $1.355m 8. What will be the difference between The Mule and Instant family's total domestic gross by the end of the weekend of the 28th? $10.5m Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 21st weekend 2. Mary Poppins Returns 4. Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse 7. Second Act 9. Welcome to Marwen Christmas Day 1. Aquaman 3. Bumblebee 6. Vice 8. Second Act 28th weekend 1. Aquaman 4. Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse 7. Vice 11. Welcome to Marwen Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/12 1,000 2/12 3,000 3/12 7,000 4/12 12,000 5/12 18,000 6/12 25,000 7/12 32,000 8/12 40,000 9/12 50,000 10/12 62,000 11/12 75,000 12/12 90,000
  4. ‘Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse’ Catching $35M, ‘The Mule’ Carrying $18M, ‘Mortal Engines’ Out Of Gas With $8M-$9M 3rd Update: Right now the box office is pacing as tracking predicted: Sony’s Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse with a $35M-$40M after a $12M Friday, Warner Bros./Bron Studio’s The Mule is 2nd with $18M after $6M today and Universal/Media Rights Capital’s Mortal Engines dying with $8M-$9M over the next three days in 5th place with $3M tonight. Universal will do better this weekend with its tried-and-true The Grinch from Illumination which is poised for a 6th weekend of $12.7M, -16%, at 3,759 for a running total of $240.4M. Disney’s Ralph Breaks the Internet is eyeing $9M in weekend 4, -44% for a running total near $154M. MGM/New Line’s Creed II is looking at $5.5M-$6M fourth weekend which will put it at $102.1M, 16% ahead of Creed at the same point in time back in 2015. The sequel will soon surpass its previous chapter’s $109.7M stateside haul. 20th Century Fox’s Once Upon a Deadpool is looking at a weekend between $1.7M-$1.8M bringing its first five days to a total of $3.1M. https://deadline.com/2018/12/spider-man-into-the-spider-verse-mortal-engines-clint-eastwood-the-mule-weekend-box-office-1202520137/
  5. Part A: 1. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $25M? 1000 YES 2. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $35M? 2000 YES 3. Will Spiderverse Open to more than $30M? 3000 YES 4. Will Mortal Engines open to more than $12M? 4000 NO 5. Will Mortal Engines open to more than $16M? 5000 NO  6. Will The Mule more than $13M? 1000 YES 7. Will The Mule more than $18M? 2000 YES 8. Will Spiderverse make more than the two best new entries combined? 3000 YES 9. Will Deadpool make more for its 3 day than the Favorite? 4000 YES 10. Will Vox Lux enter the top 10? 5000 NO  11. Will the top three films all be new entries? 1000 NO 12. Will Fantastic Beasts stay above Bohemian Rhapsody? 2000 NO 13. Will Creed have a PTA above $2000 3000 NO 14. Will Grinch have a better percentage drop than Green Book? 4000 NO 15. Will this be the moment Sony finally releases the superspy Aunt May character into their Spiderverse? 5000 YES Bonus:  9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000  13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000  Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:  Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points  2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points  1. What will Spiderverse make for its 3 day? $42m 2. What will be the difference in gross between Mule and Mortal Engines? $7.866m 3. What will Deadpool make on Saturday? $1,652,625   Part 😄  There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:  2. The Mule 4. Mortal Engines 6. Creed II 8. Once Upon a Deadpool 10. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald 12. The Favourite  Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  6. Once Upon a Deadpool did $953K in early morning industry estimates in its opening Wednesday at 1,566 theaters (including Tuesday previews). https://deadline.com/2018/12/once-upon-a-deadpool-jingles-900k-on-wednesday-1202519393/
  7. 12 Days of Deadpool Total box office - LOWEST Aquaman OW total Glass's domestic total after 7 days How to Train Your Dragon's OW doubled Into the Spiderverse domestic total - HIGHEST
  8. Part A:  1. Will Schindler's List Open to more than $2M? 1000 NO 2. Will Schindler's List Open to more than $4M? 2000 NO 3. Will Schindler's List Open to more than $3M? 3000 NO 4. Will Ralph make more than $15M? 4000 YES 5. Will Swimming with Men open to more than 225k? 5000 NO 6. Will Creed 2 make more than $10M? 1000 YES 7. Will any of the top 5 finish in a different position to last weekend? 2000 NO 8. Will Robin Hood stay above Green Book? 3000 NO 9. Will any film in the top 10 drop more than 62%? 4000 NO 10. Will Bohemian Rhapsody stay above $2000 PTA? 5000 YES 11. Will Bohemian Rhapsody overtake Crazy Rich Asians' Domestic total? 1000 NO 12. Will Instant Family increase more than 140% on Friday? 2000 YES 13. Will Hannah Grace increase more than 45% on Saturday? 3000 NO 14. How many films in the top 10 will not drop a place from their position last weekend? 4000 EIGHT 15. Will anything ever be released in cinemas ever again? 5000 YES Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000  15/15 30,000  Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:  Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Schindler's List make for its 3 day? $1.435m 2. What will Robin Hood's percentage change be? -39.3% 3. What will Green Book's PTA be for the Weekend? $2,795 Part 😄  There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:  3. Creed II 5. Bohemian Rhapsody 7. Green Book 9. Widows 11. A Star is Born (2018) 13. Schindler's List (2018 re-release)  Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  9. Christmas themed movies perform very well on this weekend, especially kids films. The Star dropped -9.1% https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2017&wknd=49&p=.htm Arthur Christmas dropped -12.0% https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2011&wknd=49&p=.htm A Christmas Carol dropped -12.0% https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/?view=&yr=2009&wknd=50&p=.htm
  10. Part A: 1. Will Hannah Grace Open to more than $2.5M? 1000 YES 2. Will Hannah Grace Open to more than $5.25M? 2000 NO 3. Will Hannah Grace Open to more than $3.75M? 3000 YES 4. Will Ralph make more than $30M? 4000 NO 5. Will Will Hannah Grace make more than 40% of its OW on Friday? 5000 NO 6. Will Creed 2 make more than $20M? 1000 NO 7. Will Will Creed and Ralph combine for more than $47.5M? 2000 NO 8. Will Robin Hood stay above Green Book? 3000 YES 9. Will Fantastic Beasts and Grinch combined make more than Creed? 4000 YES 10. On what day will Instant Family pass Nutcracker's total (Fri, Sat, Sun, or None - If it does it early everyone wins)? 5000 NONE 11. Will Head full of Honey make more than 50k PTA? 1000 NO 12. Will Robin Hood have a bigger percentage drop than Overlord? 2000 NO 13. Will A star is born increase more than 200% on Friday? 3000 NO 14. Will Widows drop more than 37% on Sunday? 4000 YES 15. How about this weekend? Will Robin Hood finally have its moment? 5000 NO Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Hannah Grace make for its 3 day? $5.05m 2. What will Grinch's percentage change be? -40.77% 3. What will Head full of Honey's PTA be for the Weekend? $12,500 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch 4. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald 6. Instant Family 8. Widows 10. Green Book 12. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  11. Full 10,000 / Partial 6,000 - Glass Full 8,000 / Partial 5,000 - Bumblebee Full 6,000 / Partial 4,000 - Into the Spiderverse Full 3,000 / Partial 2,000 - Happy Death Day 2U Full 2,000 / Partial 1,000 - A Dog's Way Home Full 1,000 / Partial 500 - Serenity
  12. PART A: Below are 10 films due for release between this weekend and January 11th, along with their predicted total grosses according to https://pro.boxoffice.com/long-range-tracking-dogs-way-home-upside/   1. Creed 2 - $113M - TOO LOW 2. Robin Hood - $28M - TOO LOW 3. Possession of Hannah Grace - $5M - DOUBLE 4. Mortal Engines - $55M - TOO HIGH 5. The Mule - $80M - TOO HIGH 6. Bumblebee - $100M - TOO LOW 7. Second Act - $40M - TOO HIGH 8. Vice - $65M - TOO HIGH 9. Escape Room - $32M - TOO LOW 10. The Upside - $39M - TOO LOW PART B: Here are 10 questions: 1. Which film will be the lowest grossing except Hannah Grace? SECOND ACT 2. Which film will be the highest grossing without making more than $100M? THE MULE 3. Will exactly four films make the Domestic top 15? NO 4. Will any film double its predicted gross? YES 5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? NO 6. Will the actual combined total gross for the films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? HIGHER 7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? MORTAL ENGINES 8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? POSSESSION OF HANNAH GRACE 9. How many of these films will open in the number 1 position? NONE 10. Will 4 or more of these films open in 5th or lower? YES
  13. Part A: (Everything is 3 day) 1. Will Ralph Open to more than $45M? 1000 YES 2. Will Ralph Open to more than $55M? 2000 YES 3. Will Ralph Open to more than $50M? 3000 YES 4. Will Ralph make more than 2.4x its Wednesday and Thursday for its 3 Day weekend? 4000 NO 5. Will Ralph Increase on Saturday? 5000 NO 6. Will Creed Open to more than $30M? 1000 YES 7. Will Robin Hood Open to more than $10M? 2000 YES 8. Will Creed open in the top 2? 3000 YES 9. Will Creed and Robin Hoods combined 5 day totals be higher than Ralph's 3 Day total? 4000 YES 10. Will Robin Hood make more on Wednesday or Sunday? 5000 WEDNESDAY 11. Will Green Book make more than $5M? 1000 YES 12. Will Dragon Tattoo drop more than 60%? 2000 YES 13. Will Overlord stay in the top 12? 3000 YES 14. Will Instant Family stay above Widows? 4000 YES 15. Will Grinch drop less than 15%? 5000 NO 16. Will fantastic beasts drop more than 45% on Sunday? 1000 NO 17. Will Nutcracker have a PTA above $1000? 2000 YES 18. Will A Star is Born be closer to Grinch or Venom's domestic total by the end of Sunday? 3000 GRINCH 19. Will any non new opener or major expander increase on Saturday? 4000 YES 20. Will Robin Hood? Or won't it? 5000 IT WON'T Bonus: 12/20 3000 13/20 5000 14/20 8000 15/20 12000 16/20 16,000 17/20 20,000 18/20 26,000 19/20 32,000 20/20 40,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Ralph make for its 3 day OW? $64.3m 2. What will Robin Hood's Wed + Thurs be as a percentage of its 3 day? 48.36% 3. What will Overlord's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? $1,099 Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Creed 2 3. Dr. Seuss' The Grinch (2018) 5. Bohemian Rhapsody 7. Robin Hood (2018) 10. A Star is Born (2018) 12. Overlord Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  14. Part A: 1. Will Fatastic Beasts Open to more than $65M? 1000 YES 2. Will Fantastic Beasts Open to more than $80M? 2000 NO 3. Will Fantastic Beasts Open to more than $72.5M? 3000 NO 4. Will Widows Open to more than $14M? 4000 YES 5. Will Widows Open to more than $17.5M? 5000 NO  6. Will Instant Family open to more than $14.5M? 1000 YES 7. Will Green Book have a PTA above $17,500? 2000 YES 8. Will Bohemian Rhapsody stay in the top 4? 3000 YES 9. Will Grinch make more than half of Fantastic Beasts' weekend total? 4000 YES 10. Will Nutcracker stay above Star is Born? 5000 NO 11. Will Halloween's PTA stay above $1,500? 1000 NO 12. Will Overlord have a bigger percentage drop than Spider's Web? 2000 NO 13. Will A Private War enter the top 10? 3000 NO 14. Will Smallfoot drop below the top 16? 4000 YES 15. Will Johnny Depp transform into somebody more GA friendly by the end of the film? I dunno maybe Mel Gibson? 5000 YES Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points  2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Fantastic Beasts make for its 3 day? $64m 2. What will Nutcracker's percentage change be? -52.81% 3. What will Venom's PTA be for the Weekend? $1,701  Part 😄 There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. Bohemian Rhapsody 4. Instant Family 6. A Star is Born (2018) 8. The Nutcracker and the Four Realms 10. Nobody's Fool 12. Boy Erased Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
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