Sheikh
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@chasmmi received my Winter Game Prizes in the mail. Haven't seen any of them before, but I'm sure I'll enjoy them. Thanks again!
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PART A:
1. Long Shot $50M TOO HIGH
2. Uglydolls $48M TOO HIGH
3. The Hustle $41M TOO HIGH
4. A Dog's Journey $41.3M TOO HIGH
5. John Wick 3 $106M TOO LOW
6. Sun is also a Star $36M TOO HIGH
7. Ma $63M TOO HIGH
8. MIB International $107M TOO LOW
9. Shaft $100M TOO HIGH
10. Child's Play 42.5M TOO HIGH
PART B:
Here are 10 questions:
1. Which film will be the lowest grossing? The Sun Is Also a Star
2. Which film will be the highest grossing without making more than $100M? Shaft (2019)
3. Will exactly two films make the Domestic top 15? YES
4. Will any film double its predicted gross? NO
5. Will any film fail to reach half of its predicted gross? NO
6. Will the actual combined total gross for the films be higher or lower than the predicted total gross? LOWER
7. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's best prediction? A Dog's Journey
8. Percentage wise, what will be boxoffice.com's worst prediction? Shaft (2019)
9. Will any of the films open in the number 1 position? YES
10. Will 3 or more of these films open in 4th or lower? YES
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Part A:
1. Will Endgame Make more than $160M? 1000 YES
2. Will Endgame make more than $200M? 2000 NO
3. Will Endgame make more than $180M? 3000 NO
4. Will The Intruder Open in 2nd Place? 4000 NO
5. Will the top 4 new entries' combined 3 day OWs total more than Endgame's 2nd Friday? 5000 NO
6. Will UglyDolls make more than Long Shot? 1000 NO
7. Will Captain Marvel drop more than 40%? 2000 NO
8. Will La Llorona stay above Breakthrough? 3000 NO
9. Will Little stay above Dumbo? 4000 NO
10. Will Penguins stay in the top 12? 5000 YES
11. Will Pet Semetary's PTA stay above $450? 1000 YES
12. Will Shazam drop less than 55%? 2000 YES
13. Will Missing Link increase more than 90% on Saturday? 3000 YES
14. Will Endgame cross $2B WW by the end of the weekend? 4000 YES
15. Will Disney pull the rest of its summer slate from the release schedules now because really... what's the point, there's no money left in the world? 5000 YES
Bonus:
9/15 5000
10/15 8000
11/15 12,000
12/15 16,000
13/15 20,000
14/15 24,000
15/15 30,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. Long Shot? 11.875m
2. What will be the percentage change for Us? -66.88%
3. What will Endgame's PTA be? 33,987
Part 😄
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Long Shot
4. Uglydolls
6. Breakthrough
9. Dumbo (2019)
11. El Chicano
13. Us
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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1. Avengers, Lion King, and Pikachu's combined OW will be:
A. Less than $550M
B. Between $550M and $650M
C. Over $650M
2. Godzilla 2's China Box office will be:
A. Less than $100M
B. Between $100M and $150M
C. Over $150M
ABSTAIN
3. Avengers' Total admissions in South Korea will be:
A. Less than 8.5M
B. Between 8.5M and 10M
C. Over 10M
4. Secret Life of Pets 2's UK gross will be:
A. Less than $40M
B. Between $40M and $55M
C. Over $55M
ABSTAIN
5. The film with the best mulitplier will be:
A. Lion King
B. Aladdin
C. Toy Story 4
6. Avengers' number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Lion King's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 + Toy Story's number of weekends in the domestics top 5 will be:
A. Less than 14
B. 14-16
C. Over 16
ABSTAIN
7. Toy Story 4's Domestic Gross divided by Child's Play and Annabelle's combined Domestic Gross will be:
A. Less than 2.75
B. Between 2.,75 and 3.5
C. Over 3.5
8. Hobbs and Shaw's Overseas (excluding Domestic) Box office will be:
A. Less than $700M
B. Between $700M and $900M
C. Over $900M
ABSTAIN
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Full 10,000 / Partial 6,000 - Secret Life of Pets 2
Full 8,000 / Partial 5,000 - Hobbs and Shaw
Full 6,000 / Partial 4,000 - MIB International
Full 5,000 / Partial 3,000 - It: Chapter 2
Full 4,000 / Partial 2,500 - John Wick 3
Full 4,000 / Partial 2,500 - Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Full 3,000 / Partial 2,000 - Annabell comes Home
Full 3,000 / Partial 2,000 - Rocketman
Full 2,000 / Partial 1,000 - Shaft
Full 1,000 / Partial 500 - Ugly Dolls
Full 1,000 / Partial 500 - Brightburn
Full 500 / Partial 250 - Ma
Full 500 / Partial 250 - The Sun is Also a Star
Full 500 / Partial 250 - Stuber
Full 500 / Partial 250 - Overcomer
Full 500 / Partial 250 - The Kitchen
Full 500 / Partial 250 - Brian Banks
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20M: Annabelle Comes Home - MEXICO
40M: Spider-Man: Far from Home - UNITED KINGDOM AND IRELAND AND MALTA
60M: Avengers: Endgame - MEXICO
80M: Avengers: Endgame - SOUTH KOREA
100M: Avengers: Endgame - UNITED KINGDOM AND IRELAND AND MALTA
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Part A:
1. Will Avengers Open to more than $260M? 1000 YES
2. Will Avengers Open to more than $300M? 2000 NO
3. Will Avengers Open to more than $280M? 3000 YES
4. Will Avengers Saturday increase from its true Friday (excluding Thursday previews)? 4000 YES
5. Will Will Avengers' make more than 82.5% of all the box office of every film reported by BOM when actuals are released? 5000 YES
6. Will La Larona drop less than 56%? 1000 NO
7. Will Pet Semetary stay above Us? 2000 NO
8. Will Avengers Endgame overtake Dumbo's Domestic total on its opening day? 3000 YES
9. Will any film in the top 15 drop more than 65%? 4000 YES
10. Will Hellboy's PTA stay above $750? 5000 YES
11. Will Little increase more than 40% on Saturday? 1000 YES
12. Will Shazam drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 YES
13. Will the White Crow have a PTA above $12k? 3000 NO
14. Will After stay above Penguins? 4000 NO
15. Will Captain Marvel decrease less than 20%? 5000 YES
16. Will Shazam's domestic total on Saturday be closer to the domestic total of Dumbo or How to Train Your Dragon? 1000 Dumbo (2019)
17. Will Pet Semetary have the worst PTA in the top 10? 2000 YES
18. Will Breakthrough overtake Hellboy Domestically by the end of the weekend? 3000 YES
19. How many films will make more than $2.5M this weekend? 4000 SEVEN
20. Will Thanos ultimately be defeated by the power of friendship? 5000 YES
Bonus:
12/20 3000
13/20 5000
14/20 8000
15/20 12000
16/20 16,000
17/20 20,000
18/20 26,000
19/20 32,000
20/20 40,000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Avengers make for its 3 day OW? 296.82m
2. What will Dumbo's Sunday gross be? 1,185,735
3. What will Missing Link's PTA be for the 3 day weekend? 1,045
Part 😄
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
1. Avengers: Endgame
3. Captain Marvel
6. Dumbo (2019)
8. Missing Link
9. Us
11. Penguins (Disneynature)
Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE
Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game.
A: Domestic top 15:
1) Avengers: Endgame - 731.94614m
2) The Lion King (2019) - 540.574326m
3) Toy Story 4 - 400.953233m
4) Spider-Man: Far from Home - 332.129796m
5) The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 300.678549m
6) Detective Pikachu - 285.0495m
7) Aladdin (2019) - 214.9884m
😎 Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw - 208.923613m
9) Godzilla: King of the Monsters - 182.995049m
10) Rocketman - 150.112601m
11) Men in Black International - 135.662710m
12) Once Upon a Time in Hollywood - 131.394909m
13) John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum - 125m
14) It: Chapter 2 - 121.011452m
15) Dark Phoenix - 114.784955m
Backup 16*) Annabelle Comes Home - 108.737256m
*Only used if a film above exits the game
B: Top 7 Domestic OW:
1) Avengers: Endgame - 296.82m
2) The Lion King (2019) - 180.6m
3) Toy Story 4 - 119.522990m
4) It: Chapter 2 - 112.369504m
5) Detective Pikachu - 92.85m
6) Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw - 90.5m
7) The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 85.3125m
Backup 8*) Spider-Man: Far from Home - 77.063685m
*Only used if a film above exits the game
😄 Worldwide top 12:
1) Avengers: Endgame - 2.512353694b
2) The Lion King (2019) - 1.482795377b
3) Toy Story 4 - 968.909275m
4) Detective Pikachu - 940.66335m
5) Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw - 901.714317m
6) Spider-Man: Far from Home - 876.822661m
7) The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 758.521776m
😎 Aladdin (2019) - 611.797537m
9) Godzilla: King of the Monsters - 557.147660m
10) Rocketman - 528.230324m
11) Dark Phoenix - 344.354865m
12) Once Upon a Time in Hollywood - 340.445836m
Backup 13*) Annabelle Comes Home - 334.039157m
*Only used if a film above exits the game
😧 TOP 5 Weekends
1) April 26th - 337.166666m
2) July 19th - 268.892857m
3) June 21st - 228.833333m
4) May 10th - 220.053333m
5) June 7th - 217.75m
backup 6*)
*Only used if a film above exits the game
E: Multipliers
1) Spider-Man: Far from Home - 4.30980939
2) Rocketman - 3.787
3) The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 3.52443721
4) Men in Black International - 3.36070303
5) Toy Story 4 - 3.354611783
backup 6*) Once Upon a Time in Hollywood - 3.114072391
*Only used if a film above exits the game
F: Total Grosses
Top 15 DOM) 3.976205237b
Top7 OW) 977.974995m
Top 12 WW) 10.75527946b
Top 5 W/E) 1.27269619b
Average Multi) 3.667312283
G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS
RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game:
A: 100M Annabelle Comes Home
B: 200M Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw
😄 300M The Secret Life of Pets 2
😧 400M Toy Story 4
E: 500M The Lion King (2019)
RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game:
A: $1.5B The Lion King (2019)
B: $1B Toy Story 4
😄 800M The Secret Life of Pets 2
😧 600M Aladdin (2019)
E: 400M Dark Phoenix
RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month:
A: April Avengers: Endgame
B: May Detective Pikachu
😄 June Toy Story 4
😧 July The Lion King (2019)
E: August Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw
DO NOT ALTER THE TEMPLATE! JUST ADD IN YOUR ANSWERS AS REQUIRED. FOLLOWING THIS ONE SIMPLE INSTRUCTION WILL LAND YOU 20,000 BONUS POINTS
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1 hour ago, AndyLL said:
| 1 Tower 88.292% 85.369% 89.546% 9.494% 27 10 2 TalismanRing 87.622% 83.112% 89.554% 8.823% 26 10 3 8wombi7 86.305% 85.894% 86.481% 7.506% 25 10 4 Jake Gittes 86.256% 83.475% 87.448% 7.457% 24 10 5 Bates 85.402% 74.295% 90.162% 6.603% 23 20 6 Bates 85.402% 74.295% 90.162% 6.603% 22 20 7 Sheikh 84.680% 78.886% 87.164% 5.882% 21 10 8 Exxdee 83.604% 68.485% 90.083% 4.805% 20 10 9 Keanu 83.243% 70.163% 88.849% 4.444% 19 10 10 Wildbill 81.743% 75.224% 84.537% 2.945% 18 10 11 Simionski 79.263% 55.276% 89.542% 0.464% 17 10 12 boxofficeth 79.131% 62.153% 86.408% 0.333% 16 10 13 JMorphin 79.064% 64.693% 85.223% 0.265% 15 10 14 The Fast and the Furiosa 79.009% 68.659% 83.445% 0.211% 14 10 15 TheXper 78.811% 59.687% 87.007% 0.012% 13 10 16 Rolling Thunder 78.438% 65.830% 83.841% -0.361% 12 10 17 kayumanggi 78.227% 54.204% 88.523% -0.571% 11 10 18 datpepper 77.099% 55.621% 86.304% -1.700% 10 10 @AndyLL You have Bates listed here twice, and the Standings page it has him down as 17 games played. Seems to an error somewhere here.
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UA’s Missing Link, another stop-motion pic from the Oscar-nominated toon house of Laika, follows Mr. Link, an ape (voiced by Zack Galifianakis) who after living a solitary life in the Pacific Northwest, recruits fearless explorer Sir Lionel Frost (Hugh Jackman) to guide him on a journey to find his long-lost relatives in the fabled valley of Shangri-La. The pic is expected to open between $10M-11M at 3,413 theaters. Last night Missing Link made $230K, which is just under the $375K that Sony’s Smurfs: Lost Village did in April 2017; that pic opened to $13.2M after a $4.1M Friday.
We’re hearing that After made $550K in previews last night, which isn’t too shabby for an indie teen movie, especially on a night when only 2% K-12 schools are off. Compare this to a big studio spend teen movie like WArner Bros.’ If I Stay which made $1.1M. Is it front-loaded? We’ll see. After will play in 2,100 theaters and is set to make in the low single digits, akin to such indie teen pics like Midnight Sun ($4M) and Before I Fall ($4.6M) which did not hold previews.
https://deadline.com/2019/04/hellboy-shazam-weekend-box-office-1202594516/
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1 hour ago, chasmmi said:
Remember My name did also receive a solitary vote and thus ended up in 377th place.
Is this another song? I'm confused.
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1 hour ago, Poseidon said:
Could somebody please explain, how i get from these docs to TalismanRings daily presales?
Do I need to calculate it all by myself, taking data from the "Purchase History" Doc?
So if I want to know, what "Us" sold on Monday, do I need to take all they single day sales Thursday-Wednesday that were purchased on Monday or is there an easier way?
Thaks in advance for any help with this issue.
This is how I do it. You want Us, go to the week of release on the Fandango Purchase History document, go to sheet 20190318. Now scroll down to Us, and then add up all the sales made on the Monday, 2019-03-18, and don't forget to add all formats, 3D, IMAX, etc.
You can do this for Tues, Wed, Thurs, and then use them as comparisons to other movies.
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Aladdin
Opening Weekend Range: $70 – 95 million (3-day) / $85 – $115 million (4-day)https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-aladdin/
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I'm here every week. Hope no one joins just to quit after a couple of weeks this time.
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8 minutes ago, dakus said:
Just to confirm, having a Wednesday fan event would potentially skew FFA to have larger Mon-Wed numbers right?
Yes, with there being shows on Wednesday, there should be more sales Mon-Wed, with there being a big jump on Wednesday. We've seen this before with other movies that have had Wednesday shows.
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39 minutes ago, CoolEric258 said:
I don't have numbers for Love, Simon.
Love, Simon was 863 Monday, 1256 Tuesday, 2907 Wednesday.
Also of note, Five Feet Apart seems to have a fan event on Wednesday 13th March at select locations, which could skew things.
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Yeah, I knew I lost when I saw that score from @Simionski. That was just too good, deserves the win.
I'm only good at weekly predictions
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22 minutes ago, JJ-8 said:
No. I didn't see SOTM 11 OR SOTM make up as yet
Isn't it this?
SOTM11
SOTM Make Up
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For Your Consideration
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Part A:
1. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $45M? 1000 YES
2. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $55M? 2000 NO
3. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $50M? 3000 YES
4. Will Dragon 3 increased more than 55% on Saturday? 4000 NO
5. Will Dragon 3 make more than 50% of the combined total of the top 5 movies? 5000 YES
6. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $6M? 1000 YES
7. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $10M? 2000 NO
8. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $8M? 3000 NO
9. Will Fighting With My Family open in 4th? 4000 NO
10. Will Cold Pursuit stay above The Upside? 5000 NO
11. Will Green Book have a smaller percentage drop than Bohemian Rhapsody? 1000 YES
12. Will Spiderverse have a bigger decrease than Lego? 2000 NO
13. Will Total Dhamaal Open to more than $550k? 3000 YES
14. Will Total Dhamaal Open to more than $650k? 4000 YES
15. Will The Prodigy stay in the top 12? 5000 NO
16. Will Happy Death Day drop more than 55%? 1000 NO
17. Will Happy Death Day drop more than 33% on Sunday? 2000 YES
18. Will What Men Want increase more than 60% on Saturday? 3000 YES
19. Will Alita overtake Green Book Domestic total by the end of the game (so including the Monday) 4000 NO
20. What will be the highest placed film to win an Oscar? 5000 Green Book
21. Will The Upside cross $100M by end of Sunday? 1000 YES
22. Will Miss Bala stay above the Oscar Short Films? 2000 NO
23. Will Will the top 10 make more than $115M combined? 3000 NO
24. Will Mortal Engines make a mystical 55 Million this weekend and save my top 15?? 4000 NO
25. Will you be back for Summer? 5000 YES
Bonus:
13/25 3000
14/25 5000
15/25 7000
16/25 9000
17/25 12000
18/25 15000
19/25 18000
20/25 21000
21/25 25000
22/25 30000
23/25 36000
24/25 42000
25/25 50000
Part B:
The top 3 predictions will score points as follows:
Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points
2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points
3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points
1. What will Dragon 3 make for its 3 day? $52.5m
2. What will Alita's Percentage drop be? -48.01%
3. What will Lego Movie's percentage change be? -44.72%
4. What will Green Book's PTA Be? $2,165
5. Will Will Ralph Breaks the Internet's Domestic Total Be at end of Sunday? $199,787,681
Part 😄
There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here:
2. Alita: Battle Angel
4. Isn't It Romantic
6. What Men Want
7. Happy Death Day 2U
9. Cold Pursuit
11. Green Book
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Because I realised bonuses are stupid...
1/6 4,000
2/6 10,000
3/6 18,000
4/6 25,000
5/6 36,000
6/6 - 50,000
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1. Will Dragon 3 Open to more than $45M? YES
5. Will Dragon 3 make more than 50% of the combined total of the top 5 movies? YES
6. Will Fighting With My Family open to more than $6M? YES
10. Will Cold Pursuit stay above The Upside? NO
15. Will The Prodigy stay in the top 12? NO
17. Will Happy Death Day drop more than 33% on Sunday? YES
19. Will Alita overtake Green Book Domestic total by the end of the game (so including the Monday) NO
20. What will be the highest placed film to win an Oscar? GREEN BOOK
22. Will Miss Bala stay above the Oscar Short Films? NO
24. Will Mortal Engines make a mystical 55 Million this weekend and save my top 15? NO
25. Will you be back for Summer? YES
The Summer Game QOTW thread is go!! Answer this every week.
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
Posted
Week 3 - NO