Litio

Previews were $2.75m. It should open closer to $30m

Not true.

Warner seemed pretty confident about this movie. That's why they started marketing early and it was released in SXSW expecting good reviews from critics.

Escape Room previews started at 4pm. Llorona started at 6pm. This number is amazing!

Why? Did NM's crew hurt you?

Yes. Holiday can help it to go over $20m. Let's see.

MOVIE DATE SHOWING DAY FANDANGO SALES PREVIEWS LLORONA PREVIEWS ESTIMATE The Nun (2018) + IMAX 06/09/2018 THU 28.191k $5.4M $1.49M Escape Room (2019) 03/01/2019 THU 6.730k $2.35M $2.72M Glass (2019) + IMAX 17/01/2019 THU 15.782k $3.7M $1.83M Blumhouses Truth or Dare (2018) 12/04/2018 THU 2.826k $0.7M $1.93M Llorona + IMAX 18/04/2019 THU ~7.800k ??? ~$1.88M (median)

Mods, @DeeCee @grim22 why do not you create a unique topic for the tracking of Endgame and post the link here until the week of release? An event needs to be treated uniquely.

Yeah... film was repetitive, with some problems in the script, but overall, I thought it was okay. If this was a comic book movie with the same problems, I'm sure it would have better approval in the rotten tomatoes. PS: Child actors are incredible. Warner never disappoints in this matter.

Some comparisons indicate it will open worse than 55m. Maybe we aren't choosing the right ones.

Shazam feels like a non-event. I don't think it will be as upfront as these sequels. Also, Aquaman was in Justice League movie and even Captain Marvel got a teaser in Infinity War. Shazam didn't have something like that to increase the hype. With these presales, $55m+ should be a good target if I'm right. As for Pet Sematary, Predator should be a good comparison, but Pet don't have 3D, neither IMAX and theaters count won't help it if it doesn't go up. I would say $34m.

Rooting for good news about New Mutants

Based on presales of 13 first hours of monday in week of release and comparing to Ant-Man 2, Shazam would do about $49m OW. Well, Shazam isn't a sequel...

Today until now, it is 90% over The Nun's presales, but Stephen King has a big fanbase. It will be way more upfront, but for now, its OW looks to be closer to $40m than low $20m.

Dumb move. Funnier will be its bo under Divergent WW.

Queen of Katwee was a limited release, The Finest Hours had shit marketing (after of Star Wars 7 success, they not even cared about TFH anymore. I tried watch it but it was a limited release here) and the others are meh/awful. Why don't Disney try to focus on script and not on special effects?

https://deadline.com/2016/03/cinderella-movie-profit-2015-box-office-disney-1201724740/ https://deadline.com/2015/03/maleficent-profit-box-office-2014-1201391209/ See release costs. Yes, $140m is a guess, but release costs aren't cheap for big budgeted movies like this.

Should I compare the budget of Dumbo ($170m) to Cinderella ($95m) and Maleficent ($180m)?

Cinderella marketing and p&a cost was $130m and Maleficent $150m according Deadline. 140m looks reasonable to Dumbo.

Really? Overseas it is looking poor.

Dumb will give loss to Disney. $170m of budget + $140m on marketing and p&a = $310m and it is looking for a WW box office under $330m. Next weekend, Pet Sematary will has a new entry, Dumbo. RIP 💀.

Should have released it straight to Disney+

Shazam is at least $70m cheaper than Dumbo. You should be worried about the performance of $170m movie. Dumbo under or over Divergent (OW, DOM, OS and WW)?

First BO OW tracking: $20m+ ‘New Mutants’: Why Disney Has 5 Options Regarding the ‘X-Men’ Spinoff’s Fate

Shazam has burned up some of urgent demands with early access last Saturday, so presales will slow down until the week of release.