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Perfundle

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  1. $5-7 million was my range (the only part of my Deadline parody in the DP thread that wasn't a joke), so looks like we're all in agreement with an average of $6 million. I based mine on Shazam's, which is still my best comparison, and that did $5.9 million. Ooh, that's probably it. Of the 32 showings in my theaters, only two of them are IMAX right now.
  2. Since Detective Pikachu is winding down, I thought I'd look at John Wick 3 as well. 30 days too late, sure, but it's the final week that's most important. I don't know why it has so few showings though, considering it's at higher capacity than Detective Pikachu at T-8 days. Detective Pikachu San Gabriel Valley (10 theaters), 1 day to opening night Sellouts Showings Seats sold Seats Left Total Seats Percent Sold TOTALS 0 83 4989 8839 13828 36.08% 2 showings added 396 seats added 867 seats sold Date 4/10 4/11 4/12 4/13 Tickets Sold 534 198 110 58 Date 4/14 4/15 4/16 4/17 4/18 4/19 4/20 Tickets Sold 28 45 59 63 36 33 28 Date 4/21 4/22 4/23 4/24 4/25 4/26 4/27 Tickets Sold 35 72 57 44 92 64 79 Date 4/28 4/29 4/30 5/1 5/2 5/3 5/4 Tickets Sold 91 126 85 139 255 232 241 Date 5/5 5/6 5/7 5/8 Tickets Sold 248 472 598 867 Aladdin San Gabriel Valley (10 theaters), 15 days to opening night Sellouts Showings Seats sold Seats Left Total Seats Percent Sold TOTALS 0 62 1636 11360 12996 12.59% 85 seats sold Date 4/30 4/31 5/1 5/2 5/3 5/4 Tickets Sold 677 208 149 131 87 56 Date 5/5 5/6 5/7 5/8 Tickets Sold 65 107 71 85 1.17x Detective Pikachu at T-15 days of presales [Detective Pikachu has 29 days of presales compared to Aladdin's 24] John Wick 3 San Gabriel Valley (8 theaters), 8 days to opening night Sellouts Showings Seats sold Seats Left Total Seats Percent Sold TOTALS 0 32 1608 4995 6603 24.35% Date 5/5 5/6 5/7 5/8 Tickets Sold 1608 (up to here)
  3. As far as live-action Hollywood movies go, they're into Jurassic World, Star Wars, Wizarding World, Pirates of the Caribbean and Tom Cruise movies. Also, the Fast and Furious movies are slowly building up a fanbase, with every single movie outgrossing the previous one. So really, it's not that much different, with the massive exception of superhero movies.
  4. Nah, they're going to keep it up through the weekend. Friday morning: Warner Bros./Legendary's Pokemon: Detective Pikachu is said to have possibly earned $5-7 million in its Thursday box office previews, although some sources claim $8 million is possible. Friday midday: Warner Bros./Legendary's Pokemon: Detective Pikachu is currently at this point in time looking at a $10-40M Friday and a 3-day of $20-100M. Sunday AM update: Warner Bros./Legendary's Pokemon: Detective Pikachu posted a solid hold on Saturday of $0-70M, putting its opening weekend at $-30 to 200M.
  5. What makes you think this is actually possible to the degree that you would like? The reception to the first movie and the massive drops that happened to subsequent movies showed that the things about the franchise that fans love are the things that the general audience hate. Pretty much every single Pokemon property involves humans interacting with (mostly) small creatures that can only make animal noises and say variations of their name. This is a very childish concept at its core, and I think you overestimate how much the average person is willing to embrace it. Speaking as a complete non-fan of Pokemon, I think they did the best they could with their marketing to get as many non-fans interested as they could without alienating the core fanbase, and I'd like to hear what you think they specifically could have done better.
  6. Looking at all those 0's, how many of those 4 actually sold out showings on opening night? Right now none of my showings are coming close to doing that, with the two closest at 82%. And on that subject, how do you count seats on Thursday? Do you check the seats right before the first showing?
  7. Well this one's completely out of whack. How in the world did Ant Man 2 drop on Tuesday?
  8. Detective Pikachu San Gabriel Valley (10 theaters), 2 days to opening night Sellouts Showings Seats sold Seats Left Total Seats Percent Sold TOTALS 0 81 4122 9310 13432 30.69% 3 showings added 413 seats added 598 seats sold Date 4/10 4/11 4/12 4/13 Tickets Sold 534 198 110 58 Date 4/14 4/15 4/16 4/17 4/18 4/19 4/20 Tickets Sold 28 45 59 63 36 33 28 Date 4/21 4/22 4/23 4/24 4/25 4/26 4/27 Tickets Sold 35 72 57 44 92 64 79 Date 4/28 4/29 4/30 5/1 5/2 5/3 5/4 Tickets Sold 91 126 85 139 255 232 241 Date 5/5 5/6 5/7 Tickets Sold 248 472 598 Aladdin San Gabriel Valley (10 theaters), 9th day of presales, 16 days to opening night Sellouts Showings Seats sold Seats Left Total Seats Percent Sold TOTALS 0 62 1551 11445 12996 11.93% 71 seats sold Date 4/30 4/31 5/1 5/2 5/3 5/4 Tickets Sold 677 208 149 131 87 56 Date 5/5 5/6 5/7 Tickets Sold 65 107 71 1.14x Detective Pikachu at T-16 days of presales [Detective Pikachu has 29 days of presales compared to Aladdin's 24]
  9. Does it? I'm looking through the archives, and Dumbo, The Grinch and Hotel Transylvania all had similar or lower percentage increases, and they certainly weren't near capacity or frontloaded. I think there's simply a lot of variability.
  10. Yeah, they do weekend forecasts every Wednesday, so tomorrow.
  11. Sure, the revenue would be higher, but $150 million in 2005 isn't the same as $150 million in 2019 either. I meant 400 with China in 2005 if China was as big as it was now. But yeah, the WOM and home video sales are certainly key factors that I didn't know about.
  12. Is Batman Begins a good comparison? It had the same budget, and $374 million without China is probably equivalent to $400 million with China.
  13. Geez that took a while to count, but I'm certainly not complaining. Also, several people have expressed concern about low presales for Aladdin at their theaters, but I'm certainly not seeing that at mine; it's been pretty healthy the last couple of days. Detective Pikachu San Gabriel Valley (10 theaters), 3 days to opening night Sellouts Showings Seats sold Seats Left Total Seats Percent Sold TOTALS 0 78 3524 9495 13019 27.07% 13 showings added 2158 seats added 472 seats sold Date 4/10 4/11 4/12 4/13 Tickets Sold 534 198 110 58 Date 4/14 4/15 4/16 4/17 4/18 4/19 4/20 Tickets Sold 28 45 59 63 36 33 28 Date 4/21 4/22 4/23 4/24 4/25 4/26 4/27 Tickets Sold 35 72 57 44 92 64 79 Date 4/28 4/29 4/30 5/1 5/2 5/3 5/4 Tickets Sold 91 126 85 139 255 232 241 Date 5/5 5/6 Tickets Sold 248 472 Aladdin San Gabriel Valley (10 theaters), 8th day of presales, 17 days to opening night Sellouts Showings Seats sold Seats Left Total Seats Percent Sold TOTALS 0 62 1480 11516 12996 11.39% 107 seats sold Date 4/30 4/31 5/1 5/2 5/3 5/4 Tickets Sold 677 208 149 131 87 56 Date 5/5 5/6 Tickets Sold 65 107 1.35x Detective Pikachu's first 8 days of presales [Detective Pikachu has 29 days of presales compared to Aladdin's 24] 1.14x Detective Pikachu at T-17 days of presales (cumulative total)
  14. I think it's just small sample size. If you took Aquaman's first 11 top critic reviews you'd get 3/11 fresh as well. Right now the non-top critics are giving it an absurd 86.2% fresh, which I don't think is sustainable, especially since there's so many 6/10's in there. On the other hand, top critics currently make up 27.5% of all reviews, when they normally made up only half of that. So even if the non-top critics' RT score drops a bit, their sheer number should be able to balance out the remaining top critics (and even there I expect the top critic RT score to go up a bit).
  15. What are you talking about, this is what we're doing all day:
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