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Legion Again

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Everything posted by Legion Again

  1. It’s morning in America, bodes well for Nov 😎
  2. One claim I’m relatively confident making already is that the midpoint will be closer than either of our doms. Another W for wisdom of the crowd aggregation 😛
  3. I’m inclined to agree for now but I did put the dividing value right there for reference 😛 I def was worse on prev and OW so if dom does work out it’ll be thanks to IM and legs
  4. Legion Day 1 M37 Day 1 Halfway Th 3.674234614 4.472135955 4.053600464 IM 5.477225575 6.123724357 5.791460926 OW 20.1246118 27.38612788 23.4762687 Legs 4.472135955 5.215361924 4.829472806 DOM 90 142.8285686 113.3780013 👍
  5. I said 3-4.5*5-6*4-5, jury is still out Those geomean to 90 which I still think may be within 15% or so which would be pretty good for a day 1 forecast 😛
  6. This calendar didn’t put that much of a squeeze on things today I would wait until wed to see how holdovers were able to hold up
  7. There’s a chance it could be under 15! I don’t think that will happen, we’d have to crash to like, 3.2*4.7 or something? But it’s not totally off the table if reception is horrible. Anemic previews + a calendar configuration with weak Sat and dead Sun is quite a cocktail.
  8. And a quick check in from me on AQM Sacto after porthole noted it as an overperformingnmarket: Size Adjusted: 4.7M Geomean: 4.25M Down from: Size adjusted: 5.3M Geomean: 4.85M Suggests a likely finish of ~3.5M from Sacto as well imo (split the difference and about 4.5M now, down .6 in 3 updates with 5 to go (obviously change in comps isn’t linear with number of updates but often these perform surprisingly close to that)).
  9. I just saw 79k on a spreadsheet but double checking that was a projection rather than actual, good catch. But looking at BB’s pace on T-1 I do agree with hst spreadsheet entry that it very ended up 70k+. Still more likely then not in my mind, on balance, that AQM will be a hair below at mtc1 final bell but by maybe like 2% instead of 10%. Narrowing from 3-4.5 from a few weeks ago to like 3.2-3.8
  10. That would be about normal I’d think. Maybe 4.5-6.5 if you want to bake in some more uncertainty
  11. 3.5 10 … 15, 12? I would expect more like 35 unless Fri goes higher
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