Legion Again

Pitch Perfect 3 turned a 20M 3daybinto 26.5 4day, a good bar for AQM the way things stand imo

My main takeaway is that a Napoleon movie in the near future which actually is what audiences want might have a lot of potential. My takeaway from the Hunger Games (relative) success is that we’re past due for a Gregor the Overlander adaptation 🔥

Disney doing great was good for the industry — the part of situation that was bad was everyone else being weak!

I mean, if people won’t watch bad movies in theaters anymore, and Hollywood can’t make enough good movies, same end result 😛

Seems destined to be the largest of the final 9 DDEU movies!

Woah, this is a wild stat

Wild how with 10s of B on the line they simply could not manage to write decent scripts 🤣 Not even like, great, just… not awful

Incredible gap between quorum metrics and sales for this one

The reception seems exceptionally bad too so I dunno if I’d expect much from 3day/wed. Kind of mind boggling that this nov will probably lose to all since 1997 unadjusted — the average ticket price is like 250% of what it was then

Najor Theater Chain

FWiW since I had someone on Reddit ask me several time to put my AQM2 thoughts in this thread, my read of this start (mostly going off Porthos Lannister jat keyser) is ~3-4.5 previews, 5-6 IM (this may seem very pessimistic but the Fri Dec 22 release is really bad for IM — you make it up on total/ow), 4-5 legs unless reception overperforms. Midpoint say 3.5->20 -> 85, could get very close with Marvels Absolutely dead genre which is awkward since it’s been propping the industry up for some half dozen years. A lot will hinge on whether Gunnverse and the at this point inevitable hard course correction of saga 2 can return to solid nums or not.

Not a joke, folks — real meltdown energy is first days of PS, by the time ow rolls around megaflops are old news

We’re in our JP3/PT era. Problem is, can’t really take a 10 yr break and wait for nostalgia cycle to kick, so… more like JL era

another win for the buzz thread 😎😎🔥

Depending in part on something that could fail and depending in part on something that is failing are just very qualitatively different situations, I’m not sure what more to say 🤷‍♂️

Well, now we’ll get to see — but I don’t see much in the past 20 years of declining moviegoing to suggest that this is/will necessarily be the case

You might think that it was previously in a bleak place qualitywise or whatever but I hope you can see the difference between that and literally a bunch of further closures job losses etc. If MCU was performing well it’s worth like 1.5B+ DOM per year, current level looks more like 500M or something. That’s a pretty appreciable chunk of the whole post-pandemic market!

The collapse of the MCU is going to put the industry in a very bleak place unless we can keep having random surprise hits like TGM Mario and Barbenheimer, which is a model I’m a little skeptical of. Interesting to see how the next few years shake out

Doing probably less than 2/3 of AM1 OW admissions, the prior record holder. Guess it’s only fitting for the most impressive project in Hollywood history (saga 1) to be followed by the most impressive collapse (saga 2) 🤔 🥴

6.6 th expected ~21M full OD for 45-50ish

It’s time to dig 10000 wells

It’s all about quality — the quality of MoM, L&T, QM and to a lesser degree even Secret Invasion. The Marvels quality itself being meh doesn’t help but I guess it will do like 50->125 and if it was great maybe that could be like 60->200 or whatever which is still very floppish. Not exactly the sort of weekend that’s going to rekindle my interest in BO but it is objectively very notable/interesting so I hope some people have fun this weekend

Don't worry Porthos, I'll save you: FNAF $39M OW. Source? My guess

Post pandemic donut hole narrowed to 225-295.

Nah. Would be good with secret invasion but bad(+they aren’t) with eternals