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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Jatinder’s OS est is China included, about 15M lower than that tweet and looks more reasonable to me. Will hope to split the difference I guess.
  2. Yeah, Endgame is such a beast that almost no movies could match its 2nd weekend drop even if they fell all the way to a $0 2nd weekend! Might set a record high 3rd weekend drop as well.
  3. Pretty sure @Olive or @Gavin Feng reported a likely June release for FFH earlier, not sure if that’s still the plan.
  4. Yeah, hard to see 100 without at least 15 this weekend. Oh well, 90+ would still be excellent.
  5. Competition is no big deal. The + will work its magic from here.
  6. This will *barely* have a top 12 Saturday, talk about a letdown
  7. I agree. The conditional value of the raw data from Twitter once we already have an Asgard number seems very, very, low to me. I just knew somebody was going to want to multiply through, so I took care of it straight away.
  8. Not enough reminders that CM won’t pass WW, Endgame won’t pass Avatar, and Spider-Man Homecoming won’t reach 300.
  9. There’s an interesting point to be made somewhere along those same lines imo, but that article didn’t make it remotely well. It was hyperbolic, overagendized drivel.
  10. Location count is a bit more favorable for tonight, Time a bit less. If you assume those cancel out the linear extrapolation is 64M. I’d stick with Rth, they have way more data and experience interpreting it, but maybe a mild sign that it will be more toward the 62 end than the 58 end.
  11. Just need those 9x legs baby. If only they got Cameron to direct JL
  12. That doesn’t have to be a case of underestimating Disney, pretty sure some people would have gone in on that even if they were provided with actuals for Ragnarok and Coco.
  13. Man, I wish 😍 One of my my greatest fears this year is Frozen 2 being markedly worse than the first.
  14. 17 PT 5/4/19 (EO 2nd Sat) 1 79.4% Avengers: Endgame 2 4.4% UglyDolls 3 4.3% Long Shot 4 3.3% The Intruder 5 1.8% Captain Marvel Nothing interesting today. Curious what day Pikachu shows up. Only need to nudge out CM, which will be doing sub .5M business daily.
  15. Hmm, this seemed like a joke, but it’s actually within the realm of possibility O.O
  16. Yup, a natural comparison. There’s also TASM with that Tues open, but the 4th is one day different between them.
  17. Yeah, FFH’s run suddenly got very unusual, which has some pros and cons. On the one hand, it’s very difficult to comp “true midnights+6 day” to any of the “3.5 day” modern openings, so for almost the entire first 10 days or so I’m going to feel pretty uncertain about where it’s headed. On the other hand, it’s kind of neat to have some novelty. I don’t really have a clue how the MCU will do with good old fashioned midnights in the heart of summer, or what the ratio will be for OD, and that lack of knowledge is kind of exciting.
  18. Most don’t have any displayed right now, but some of the huge theaters do. E.g. 8 midnight showings at the Empire 25: https://www.fandango.com/amc-empire-25-AAORE/theater-page?date=2019-07-01 Guessing some will show up in Sactown eventually, but 🤷‍♂️ for now.
  19. Oh yeah, if they don’t have Monday previews then you might actually have lucked out, since there wouldn’t be any meaningful comparisons to make anyway. I think they might do true midnights only, not sure if that would seem worth tracking or not.
  20. Just realized that Endgame’s 2nd weekend $ drop might be on the magnitude of a top 5 OW. That’s how huge the opening was. O.O
  21. Thought I might get that react out of ya, @Porthos. On the the bright side, at least we’ll building up a bank of high 50s day PS runs. Might be what we see for Black Widow, Eternals, etc moving forward.
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