The BOM change destroyed the site.
The-numbers change is a little disorienting at first but basically neutral.
Bat wed even closer to what I though, uncharted NWH exactly what I expected.
Toku basic nailed it, though I would also say that the weekdays look good for it assuming wed and th ~flat from mon. I know some smart people who think it could go higher than 4.6 👀
BOP is at just 4M, so 🤞
Though fwiw over 12 weeks, NWH actuals have been 10% higher than BOP’s forecast on avg, which would give 4.4
Nope. Presales tracking for 2nd weekends is very rare, I think we had a little bit for NWH and Endgame but that’s pretty much it. Generally all weekends after OW people make forecasts based on past days and historical comps, including info like demos, calendar, etc
Glad I got the forecast in before the wed. My forecast was from 8.5.
FWIW, 1st Th’s:
Joker -14% (vs 2.85M in previews)
Logan -13% (vs 3.7M in previews)
Deadpool -7% (vs 1.25M in previews)
SC -15% (vs no previews)
CM +8% (???? (must have been a moviepass Th after nonmoviepass wed I guess))
Not quite sure where to put this. I guess here is as good a place as any since the weekend thread doesn’t exist, maybe I’ll cross post there when it does.
Legion Weekend Forecast
Batman 55-63M (59M)
Uncharted 8.15M
Dog 5.25M
NWH 4.6M
Nile 2.3M
Sing 1.5M
Jackass 1.15M
Cyrano 510k
Scream 500k
Marry Me 330k
Couple of these are higher than I had last week, LOL
Man I loved rl1628142187, but the franchise really started to run out of steam by the time they did rl1628144892. And with the disastrous performance of rl1628145152, I just don’t see much potential here.
Easy top 10 I think
IV and V opened limited and expanded gradually. Usually we bounce around the list for Nth weekend of wide openers because it can be unclear which weekend should be counted otherwise. VI did open wide so it’s eligible, just hasn’t had any weekend big enough yet. It’s a 1983 movie and the lists are nominal, so pretty understandable.
Considering the presales it racked up in dec and that the 3rd biggest other movie that will will be like 4M, there’s every reason to give it a pretty wide release.