Cooper Legion

Thurs:weekend should be 2.7-2.9 or so, would take low end personally. But the best Thurs estimate is still 30.5, national level data is much better than just scraping 2 big chains. 30.5*2.75=84. If there’s already been a late night purple post you should pretty much ignore keyser data, useful as it is for PS and when purples aren’t around.

Midday update: final CGV will be 23 or 24k. Hard to say how much CGV ratio comes back to normal after yday. For now I’ll just say 42k. Cats headed to sub 40k probably, so F2 back to 4th place.

I compiled the bigger/funnier ones:

Last time on Han vs Eric! The Ultimate* Showdown of Ultimate Destiny (of 2019): CM narrowly resolved in Eric's favor, but Endgame was a clear success for Han, leaving our first installment tied up 5-5. How will things turn out for our intrepid forecasters when the dust settles? Find out... right now, on the thrilling conclusion of Han vs Eric! The Ultimate* Showdown of Ultimate Destiny (of 2019): Selected highlights and commentary: *Disclaimers apply.

Gems seems good to me. How’s RJ looking?

I’ll take: 405 +19 FSS= 424 16 Mon-Thu + 12 FSS= 452 452+12*4=500

Me: *visible confusion* Me+Google: *confusion intensifies* Me+using Google better:

I feel like the daily PS projections for TROS have been absolute 🔥. IIRC all 7 days+ previews have a pretty great % error.

J3 is back on track. Frozen late shows, time to Show Yourself.

Yeah, I mean it’s been very unlikely since OW. Like 610+610 would be pretty great legs for TROS from here, and is a miss. Of course something like 70% of the WW top 10 this year are missing Endgame's opening weekend. It’s a pretty high bar.

Yeah, so that’s like 26M OS Mon-Wed, which includes Christmas but not Boxing Day. Fine numbers.

Movieman won

I am on the case. Watch this spot.

Expecting 936M DOM would be crazy, but expecting 2B WW would have been about right imo. Episode 1 became #2 WW after all.

Christmas actuals? What sorcery is this?

600??? That is asking a lot. I think 560+540 for now, considering the 3 markets left will be goof for less than 10M probably.

depends how much it crosses by. 1148 end of Wed and things look rather better

Yes, they’ve both got a display error on Tuesday at the moment (though the “error” is counting money made on Tuesday toward Tuesday...). It should end up as just a couple dozen thousand dollars. 56k is my guess.

From the depths of the archives I summon thee. Riiiiiise, Riiiiiise my minion. Anyway, this is very small sample and a bit of an obviously skewed population, but seem good nonetheless:

If Jat gave a number 20% off so late, that would actually be a big discrepancy that I would want to know what happened. There is no discrepancy here. There is a spectacular Jat number and you being an utter fool about preview grosses.

You’re just making a clown of yourself. L2subtract

30 Thurs leads somewhat optimistically to 84 Wknd, 196M mon-sun week. Give it a medium 2x weekly multi, and it’s a nice 569M Pessimistic 81 wknd, 1.9x weekly multi for 543M. Optimistic 86 wknd, 2.15 mult for 600.

Wow, huge hike in CGV ratio today, north of 57%. I guess we’re getting into numbers similar to Aladdin’s late run now, I should start looking at that as a guide. Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 ASHFALL South Korea Dec 19, 2019 $1,904,925 ($32,667,130) 360,398 (4,538,531) 1,394 43.41% 2 Forbidden Dream South Korea Dec 26, 2019 $749,362 ($823,184) 145,695 (160,119) 1,176 17.07% 3 START-UP South Korea Dec 18, 2019 $642,318 ($13,082,701) 119,152 (1,826,830) 887 14.63% 4 Cats U.S.,U.K. Dec 24, 2019 $434,835 ($4,189,290) 83,994 (585,750) 873 9.9% 5 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $287,277 ($93,894,853) 47,961 (13,073,791) 528 6.54% 6 The Haunted House: The Sky Ghost VS Jormungandr South Korea Dec 19, 2019 $95,831 ($3,418,033) 16,746 (501,592) 432 2.18% Clearly this was a Culture Day after all, as it looks like most movies will drop a large % Friday and be way way way down from Christmas. Hoping that the 25th+26th are deflating today and we see some nice Sat bumps. CGV PS of just 7906 means a day around 32k or so probably.

Last 2013, live-action movies in the Thursday top 8 had Thurs:wknd multiples of 2.67-2.94. American Hustle 2.94, Saving Mr. Banks 2.88, other 5 2.67-2.76x No discernible correlation to Thursday daily change. Using 28 for TROS and x2.75, I get about 77. That’s why people would probably like to see a much larger Thursday. Using Smaug’s ratio from Wed+Thurs would be more like 88M with a 28 Thurs. So gun to my head I’d probably go 84ish right now.