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Legion Again

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Everything posted by Legion Again

  1. 5x Th? Always a possibility before day 8 that it would just play extremely weekday heavy, but will be unfortunate if that comes to pass.
  2. Th essentially locks the true fss increase. Personally I think it may increase without needing the true crutch.
  3. This is very funny. I wonder if you have some people answering like “yes I’m aware of the wonka movie” but they’re thinking of one of the other ones 😂
  4. I think that should about be a wash with the expansion so I’m basically taking the “normal” fss/wed
  5. Number 2 nominal would certainly be a result far surpassing expectations though as always I am a Debbie downer who can’t help wondering about admits. Legs will be equally good in $$ and tix though
  6. I would be surprised if it dropped from opening true fss to be honest. Thinking 50+ finish though if it comes in under still great
  7. FWIW I think a small increase on true fss is possible. Always hard to call such things with only the current amount of data available though
  8. What’s artificial about it? Actual customers have decided to pay the studio the cost of a ticket in order to purchase a ticket,
  9. Aquaman's weekend will be hurt by the calendar but I meant a movie with smaller pre-sales for th. BB and SZH2 are the natural choices though they'll require some care handling differences in length until we hit final week.
  10. Just to add to this, would be useful to have at least one comp that is smaller than it instead of bigger. I'd feel more comfortable whipping out the Ole size adjusted comp at that point I would do a few days of first N vs first N instead of the straight T-N though
  11. Pitch Perfect 3 turned a 20M 3daybinto 26.5 4day, a good bar for AQM the way things stand imo
  12. My main takeaway is that a Napoleon movie in the near future which actually is what audiences want might have a lot of potential. My takeaway from the Hunger Games (relative) success is that we’re past due for a Gregor the Overlander adaptation 🔥
  13. Disney doing great was good for the industry — the part of situation that was bad was everyone else being weak!
  14. I mean, if people won’t watch bad movies in theaters anymore, and Hollywood can’t make enough good movies, same end result 😛
  15. Wild how with 10s of B on the line they simply could not manage to write decent scripts 🤣 Not even like, great, just… not awful
  16. The reception seems exceptionally bad too so I dunno if I’d expect much from 3day/wed. Kind of mind boggling that this nov will probably lose to all since 1997 unadjusted — the average ticket price is like 250% of what it was then
  17. FWiW since I had someone on Reddit ask me several time to put my AQM2 thoughts in this thread, my read of this start (mostly going off Porthos Lannister jat keyser) is ~3-4.5 previews, 5-6 IM (this may seem very pessimistic but the Fri Dec 22 release is really bad for IM — you make it up on total/ow), 4-5 legs unless reception overperforms. Midpoint say 3.5->20 -> 85, could get very close with Marvels Absolutely dead genre which is awkward since it’s been propping the industry up for some half dozen years. A lot will hinge on whether Gunnverse and the at this point inevitable hard course correction of saga 2 can return to solid nums or not.
  18. Not a joke, folks — real meltdown energy is first days of PS, by the time ow rolls around megaflops are old news
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