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Legion Again

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Everything posted by Legion Again

  1. I’m inclined to agree for now but I did put the dividing value right there for reference 😛 I def was worse on prev and OW so if dom does work out it’ll be thanks to IM and legs
  2. Legion Day 1 M37 Day 1 Halfway Th 3.674234614 4.472135955 4.053600464 IM 5.477225575 6.123724357 5.791460926 OW 20.1246118 27.38612788 23.4762687 Legs 4.472135955 5.215361924 4.829472806 DOM 90 142.8285686 113.3780013 👍
  3. I said 3-4.5*5-6*4-5, jury is still out Those geomean to 90 which I still think may be within 15% or so which would be pretty good for a day 1 forecast 😛
  4. This calendar didn’t put that much of a squeeze on things today I would wait until wed to see how holdovers were able to hold up
  5. There’s a chance it could be under 15! I don’t think that will happen, we’d have to crash to like, 3.2*4.7 or something? But it’s not totally off the table if reception is horrible. Anemic previews + a calendar configuration with weak Sat and dead Sun is quite a cocktail.
  6. And a quick check in from me on AQM Sacto after porthole noted it as an overperformingnmarket: Size Adjusted: 4.7M Geomean: 4.25M Down from: Size adjusted: 5.3M Geomean: 4.85M Suggests a likely finish of ~3.5M from Sacto as well imo (split the difference and about 4.5M now, down .6 in 3 updates with 5 to go (obviously change in comps isn’t linear with number of updates but often these perform surprisingly close to that)).
  7. I just saw 79k on a spreadsheet but double checking that was a projection rather than actual, good catch. But looking at BB’s pace on T-1 I do agree with hst spreadsheet entry that it very ended up 70k+. Still more likely then not in my mind, on balance, that AQM will be a hair below at mtc1 final bell but by maybe like 2% instead of 10%. Narrowing from 3-4.5 from a few weeks ago to like 3.2-3.8
  8. That would be about normal I’d think. Maybe 4.5-6.5 if you want to bake in some more uncertainty
  9. 3.5 10 … 15, 12? I would expect more like 35 unless Fri goes higher
  10. 5x Th? Always a possibility before day 8 that it would just play extremely weekday heavy, but will be unfortunate if that comes to pass.
  11. Th essentially locks the true fss increase. Personally I think it may increase without needing the true crutch.
  12. This is very funny. I wonder if you have some people answering like “yes I’m aware of the wonka movie” but they’re thinking of one of the other ones 😂
  13. I think that should about be a wash with the expansion so I’m basically taking the “normal” fss/wed
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