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Marathon

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About Marathon

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  1. Very impressive hold in my market as well: only a 4.4% drop despite a big opening (55 672 admissions). In fact, if you compare the "pure" weekends - no previews included - it actually increased by 6.2%! All bets are off for this movie.
  2. Underwhelming. The final four markets need to some extra heavy lifting... China on 18 October, then Japan, Poland, and Taiwan on 25 October.
  3. Should have known something was up / the holds were going to be (no pun intended) absolutely batcrap insane when I went to see the movie on Tuesday in my small town cinema. Weekdays are usually pin-drop quiet, with basically a handful of people at most attending, but this time the line stretched outside, and only the very first neck-breaker row of seats was vacant.
  4. @Tag 2 The Lion King did 72 728 admissions over a 5-day frame. I'm too busy right now to start scouring for comps, but it should be able to match Beauty and the Beast live action remake's total admissions (259 558) at the end of its run. Over 300k could be a bit tougher, unless the word of mouth is really great. Matching the original animated Lion King's first run admissions (462 058) here seems extremely unlikely. More info in this article (via Google Translate): https://translate.google.fi/translate?sl=fi&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.elokuvauutiset.fi%2Fsite%2Fuutiset2%2F8979-leijonakuningas-sai-viidessae-paeivaessae-yli-70-000-katsojaa
  5. IM3 was inflated by very favorable exchange rates, a luxury FFH doesn't have. $805m overseas for IM3, a crazy amount of money for a solo superhero movie. Will be tough to match that...
  6. Finally some good news! Spider-Man: Far From Home opened over a 5-day frame and posted 53 644 admissions. That's a huge leap over the last Spidey (Homecoming) which opened (over a similar 5-day frame) with 29 196 admissions back in 2017. A +83.7% improvement!! Homecoming finished its run with 88 557 admissions, a 3.03x multiplier from its opening. Since the word of mouth should be (much) better for FFH, it should be able to at least match that multi despite a bigger opening. Holdovers: The Secret Life of Pets 2 dropped 55.1% from the 5-day, but only 10% from the FSS! That's fantastically well. It has already crossed 100k admissions (107 418), so the pet owners, restless kids, and desperate parents haven't yet given up on this franchise. 😜 Annabelle Comes Home dropped 67.3% from the 5-day, but 41.5% from the FSS. Not overly frontloaded so far. 37 670 admissions in the bag. Yesterday dropped 38.6% from its opening weekend. Hard to say how this bodes for the rest of the run, but at least it's not falling off the face of the earth. Still, the subsequent holds would need to be pretty insane for this movie to have any relevance whatsoever at the year-end box office. Milestone: Aladdin crossed 150k admissions (158 418), and is not showing any signs of slowing down - in fact, in weekend-to-weekend admissions it had a slight increase, +1.1%! - so even 200k admissions are still very much on the table! Fantastic run.
  7. I'm expecting a strong OW from my market. I live in a small town and 5-day openings are usually pretty frontloaded here, but I went to see the movie today and it was well packed. Chatter amongst the patrons also confirmed very positive word of mouth.
  8. The Secret Life of Pets 2 opened over 5 days and posted 53 847 admissions. That's slightly less than what the original opened with (54 705) back in 2016, but the caveat here is that the original was a 3-day opening. Thus, it's hard to say yet how much worse this opening is. Always extremely annoying when franchise movies have different opening frames (3 vs 5 days)... anyway, it should still be able to do over over/under 200k admissions, unless it falls off a cliff in the subsequent weeks. The original SLOP finished with 297 257 admissions. Annabelle Comes Home likewise opened over a 5-day frame, and posted 21 181 admissions. Again, comparison to the previous movie (Creation) is difficult because that one opened over a 3-day frame (I just hate these discrepancies!), with 12 640 admissions. We'll see how it goes. Creation finished with 56 508 admissions. Yesterday landed with a resounding thud, gathering only 7 865 admissions over a 3-day frame. Maybe it can recover later, but a thoroughly uninspiring opening. No update on holdovers for now, as they plod along in workmanlike fashion. If they happen to cross a significant milestone, I'll notify then of course.
  9. Under $200m overseas...
  10. Even with bad exchange rates, I don't see it falling under 1.1 billies. It should open massively pretty much everywhere, so even with only modest legs from the true global opening weekend it should cross $1.1b easily. So... out.
  11. A very quick and short update. I didn't update last time because the overall results were so lackluster, and Men In Black: International opened very weakly, so I pretty much said, f**k it, lmao. While this might be an odd time to do an update - the Midsummer weekend, the deadest of the dead box office weekends - it is pretty much only due to Aladdin, the one movie currently at the box office offering at least some sort of respite/anodyne. It crossed 130k admissions (131 378). It should do over 150k admissions further down the line, maybe even 175-180k. 200k might be a bridge too far, who knows, but still, this is a very good performance. Almost everything else...
  12. I wish Child's Play did better... but at least the budget was low. And maybe it can do OK business overseas, so as long as it goes over $60m worldwide it should be alright, but the prospects for a sequel might be iffy, who knows...
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