It's fun to describe movies without reference to IP:
'A giant lizard with pink energy powers teams up with a giant gorilla wearing a power gauntlet in order to take down a giant orangutan.'
Sure would love to have a crystal ball right now and look into the opening weekends of Cap 4 and Thunderbolts. Perhaps the landscape for live action cape stuff recovered or became even more passé. Interesting times ahead.
(FWIW, I don't think Deadpool 3 will tell much about the state of live action superhero stuff because the movie pretty much sells itself. Even Superman: Legacy might "sell itself" if it looks impressive. The newer / lesser known characters are the question mark...)
Three markets and in all of them the WOM is really poor. I think we can already extrapolate that the WOM is unlikely to be recommendation level "good" anywhere...
Usually I get a localized snippet/short clip about every upcoming (would-be)blockbuster on my social media feed but this time I can't remember seeing anything related to this movie. Unless they are saving it for next week. Nevertheless, the marketing efforts seem muted.
If it loses over two thirds of CM1's OW, that's absolutely crazy. Usually that only happens to sequels coming off of novelty/fad predecessors. Things have really changed for live action superhero stuff on the big screen in quite dramatically short frame of time.