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ViewerAnon

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Everything posted by ViewerAnon

  1. Shhh don't tell anyone I'm breaking the embargo but Scream VI is good
  2. I don’t have enough data, sorry. I’ll say the people who’ve reached out to me all really liked M:I7, there hasn’t been a negative or even mixed reaction in the bunch.
  3. Yep, a hundred times this. I've been ascribed so many things I didn't actually say because one comment gradually turned into another as it was passed from person to person. And let's also remember, test screenings are test screenings. Just because an audience loves or hates an early version of a movie doesn't mean the mainstream will agree come the final product. Remember when I said DEADPOOL 2 had troubling scores? It did! And they fixed it. Remember when I said HALLOWEEN KILLS scored way higher than HALLOWEEN 2018? It did! But then mainstream audiences disagreed. To me, test screenings are a fun peek into the process. I only commented on AQUAMAN 2 because there had been quite a few previews and the reactions I was hearing were consistent. But it's still ten months away from release, there's plenty of time to work on the film if it needs surgery.
  4. Feel free to check my math but if that $7.8M number holds for ANT-MAN and it matches UNCHARTED's 2nd weekend multiplier last year it comes in at $30.1M.
  5. I don't like doing comparisons like that for a couple reasons: outside of rare cases we don't have access to the actual scores, just the opinions of people who've seen the cut; and how in the world can someone compare THE FLASH to THE DARK KNIGHT when they're so tonally different? THE FLASH tested very well, I'm confident in saying that. But how that compares to every other DC movie that's tested in the last decade, I'm not sure. I wish I had all that data.
  6. Agreed. fwiw I didn't hear SHAZAM 2 test screenings were bad, just that it was over-long and not as good as the first. But everyone I know who saw it still thought it was at least kind of fun. I know it's a good 20-30 minutes shorter than it was during early test screenings so I hope that smooths over most of the issues.
  7. I said MALIGNANT had awful test screenings and it really, really did. I don't know how you watch that film and think an audience of 200 people who don't know what they're seeing come out of it with positive impressions. I did report hearing WELCOME TO RACCOON CITY was in pretty good shape, though. Which just goes to emphasize that test screenings aren't math. There are no concrete rules or absolute values. It's one of the reasons I've moved away from tweeting about test screenings unless impressions are really positive or interesting. It's always possible but I think there's a difference in the complaints: with MALIGNANT it was usually "It's so stupid" or "It's SILLY!" or "It's really bizarre," whereas with AQUAMAN 2 it's much more "It's dull," "The villain sucks," etc.
  8. I replied on Reddit in the hopes it wouldn't spread across the internet. Oh well, what can ya do. I don't want to torpedo movies with bad press if I can help it. I've consistently heard it's worse than Aquaman, but whether it's close or a big gulf depends on the person I talked to. The version that tested last week is the first to include the intended reshoot changes, so there were a lot of scenes with temp voiceover dialogue and storyboards indicating what they'll be shooting in pickups. Reaction to this version of the film was not better than any previous version, at least in regards to people who talked to me. The movie is still ten months away so there's a lot of time. The bigger problem is that I've heard Wan's had a nightmare experience on this one, even worse than Furious 7.
  9. So you’re giving it a 6/10 and can no longer trust Rotten Tomatoes reviews that give it an average of 5.7/10?
  10. We'll see if people agree post-embargo but I've consistently heard the second half is rough and it's doing more setting up for later stuff than being its own movie.
  11. It would need to be an epic bomb as FAST X is a DEATHLY HALLOWS/MOCKINGJAY/BREAKING DAWN-esque "Part 1 of 2." It doesn't have an ending, just a series of cliffhangers and credits.
  12. It's been a busy workday and maybe I'm reading these wrong but I don't understand all the "I think Ends is gonna drop BIG!" posts. Yeah, of course it is. It's a franchise slasher movie (that's also available "for free" at home) - they were posting huge drops before it was cool. Friday the 13th (2009): -80.4% A Nightmare On Elm Street (2010): -72.3% Texas Chainsaw 3D: -75.7% Halloween (2018): -58.8% Scream (2022): -59.3% Even H20 fell 47.6% a quarter century ago and that was off a Wednesday opening. Take H2018's drop, factor in added rush due to losing some casuals along the way plus a "final chapter" bump, and of course Ends is going to drop 70%. The question is whether it's closer to 80%.
  13. It's Halloween Part 13. The last four movies had multipliers of 2.2, 2.04, 2.09, and 1.86. I think it's safe to say your wish will come true.
  14. I suspect Nolan's anger wasn't that WB movies were hitting streaming day and date, it's that they were being forced to. Last year Universal paid a huge amount of money to the creatives on HALLOWEEN KILLS (essentially giving them a back-end like if the film had performed as well as HALLOWEEN 2018) to get them to agree to a simultaneous Peacock launch. I wouldn't be surprised if the same thing happened this time. Look, I won't lie - the insider buzz on HALLOWEEN ENDS is... not spectacular. But I think this has more to do with Universal trying to spruce up Peacock's subscriber numbers than lack of faith in how the movie will perform.
  15. Everything I've heard is either "It's... OK" or "It's bad". Hoping I've just heard from a pissy sample group because I love Peele 😬
  16. Something’s felt off about THOR for a few weeks, though I can’t put my finger on what. I wonder if there’d be more momentum if this flipped release dates with DS2? That had the whole “mythology episode” hook whereas L&T looks decidedly more standalone. The theaters in LA I’ve sampled have looked fine in terms of sales but not especially great. The Chinese IMAX still has hundreds of seats open for the 6 p.m. show tomorrow, which feels light for a big MCU movie. Hoping Charlie and company are right and I’m just being a pessimist. I want the box office winning streak to continue.
  17. I don’t expect LOVE AND THUNDER to be as frontloaded as DS2 - and I’ve had enough holiday weekend BBQ at this point that my brain might be melted - but is it possible L&T opens under RAGNAROK’s $122.7M OW? Most comps I’m seeing seem to point around 65% of DS2, which would equate to $121.8M by my math.
  18. This looks like a really solid prediction to me. I think the absolute floor is something like $950 million, which considering the deflation of Chinese box office, the situation in Russia, and lingering COVID concerns... would be more than enough to make Universal happy. It's their biggest franchise - certainly their biggest live-action franchise - by a Giganto amount.
  19. How? Estimated $14M in the U.S. this weekend for a $67M total. Let's be charitable and say it crawls to $100M. That's $313M worldwide with the $38M it made internationally this weekend. Where's the 4.6x multiplier coming from to get it to $450M?
  20. There are variables with DUNE that don’t make it a perfect comparison, particularly the day-and-date streaming release and Legendary being a production partner. (And as has been said, DUNE’s more positive reaction has to make the parties involved more confident than the Wizarding World folks that the next movie won’t slide)
  21. I'm home alone and bored and none of this matters but I just can't help myself: MCU: 5 of the last 10 MCU movies didn't hit $100M OW (and 3 of the 10 most recent pre-Covid movies missed the mark) AVATAR: 0 Avatar movies have made $100M OW (BATMAN: Technicality but the second to last Batman-fronted movie opened to $93M) MINIONS: 3/4 Minions movies opened lower than $100M
  22. I’m a little thrown by the disappointment at SONIC 2. The first was already a really high profile video game movie - the room to grow was always limited. Before this month the highest-grossing video game sequel was TOMB RAIDER: THE CRADLE OF LIFE which made half as much as its predecessor.
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