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ViewerAnon

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Everything posted by ViewerAnon

  1. GB2016 didn’t fall less than 50% in a weekend until week 7. Even removing the toxic “No damn girls!!!” Ghostbros, that movie was not terribly well-liked. Certainly far less so than Bridesmaids, The Heat, and Spy.
  2. In the event it performs well on the West Coast due to MTC2 indicators... $4.5M Previews $11.5M True Friday $15.5M Saturday (+35%) $10.3M Sunday (-33%) So around $40-42M weekend, that sound reasonable?
  3. I've been so busy with other things that I haven't been able to properly eat crow - DUNE's post-PLF loss legs have been much better than I expected and I deserve any shame that comes my way!
  4. I like the original GHOSTBUSTERS but it isn't exactly an important movie to me and I don't watch it more than once every 5-6 years. I thought AFTERLIFE was delightful and people complaining that it's overburdened with nostalgia are taking their own baggage in with them. My girlfriend barely even remembers the original film and she loved this.
  5. Yeah, I edited it when I realized my math was wrong but your quote-tweet caught the original version. Curses!
  6. Do we have any idea what DUNE made last Thursday? By my math, a 65% drop would be $5.4M. With the same 3.14 multiplier as last weekend, that would be a $1.7M Friday, which is only a 25% Friday increase. So barring absolute disaster, DUNE should fall less than 65%.
  7. I'm pretty mixed on the film but Stewart is indeed excellent. The "playing soldier" scene with her kids is one of my favorite actor moments of the year.
  8. This seems okay to me. It's gonna be a heavy drop but it doesn't look to be disastrous. -40%+ is what I was really eyeing to think a 65-70% drop was likely.
  9. With most theaters still only opening in the afternoon, we should get a really good idea of how DUNE is going to hold based on today's number. Late-opening theaters will only be able to show ETERNALS previews. If DUNE has a decent Thursday hold that should extend into the weekend, even if it's technically losing more PLF screens on Friday.
  10. My dislike of the movie has nothing to do with it. We can happily talk about LAST NIGHT IN SOHO being a bomb if you'd like and that's one of my favorite movies of the year. You, however... ...are arguing that it's going to be one of WB's biggest of the year, which doesn't mean much if they had a terrible year. See also: Paramount in 2016, where STAR TREK BEYOND was their #1 earner. ...is getting a lot of social media buzz, which means absolutely nothing and is that bubble I was just talking about. ...is getting highly rated on every possible site, which is that same exact bubble. Here's some fun math for you. CinemaScore - PACIFIC RIM: A- DUNE: A- Opening Weekend - PACIFIC RIM: $37.2M DUNE: $41.0M Second Weekend - PACIFIC RIM: -57.1% (Running Total: $68.2M) DUNE: -62% (Running Total: $69.4M) Third Weekend - PACIFIC RIM: -51.9% DUNE: ??? PACIFIC RIM is currently $1.2M behind DUNE's pace. It finished with $101.8M domestically. How confident are you that DUNE keeps up this weekend? After all, people are talking about it on social media, I'm sure it will make a difference. I bring up PR because their numbers are fascinatingly close, Legendary has to be having mild potential franchise PTSD, and I was frequently told on message boards that audiences loved it, that everyone loved it, and I was just blinded by the fact I didn't like it much myself.
  11. PACIFIC RIM: UPRISING, a flop sequel that nobody liked, made $290M. INDEPENDENCE DAY: RESURGENCE, a colossal flop people were laughing at months before release, grossed $389M worldwide. Would you label these big General Audience hits, @Last Man Standing?
  12. I abhor that we live in a time that it's not enough for a movie to exist or to complete its story - each big budget movie must spawn six other movies or it's labeled a failure. It's stupid studio math and it drives fans to be defensive because they're wrapped up in the thing they love not being perceived as a disappointment.
  13. So for the record, lorddemaxus, you would say DUNE certainly won't drop 65% in its second weekend because word-of-mouth is too good? This thread is full of people seeing what they want to see. There will be an Oscar push because of course the movie will be showered with major awards attention. A 62% drop is actually quite good, even when they were saying all week it would drop less than that. People are being defensive because they are fans of a movie that is doing okay. It is not doing particularly better than okay by any measure other than "DUNE is important to me and I really really need DUNE to do well." It is also not doing particularly worse than okay due to circumstances outside of its control. DUNE is 2021's PACIFIC RIM. People like it fine. There is not a massive ground-swell of general audience love for it despite what an insulated bubble of overly-invested fans want to believe.
  14. -62% its second weekend without competition, almost certainly -65%+ its third weekend. Yes yes, amazing legs, a real general audience favorite, I am very shocked.
  15. Ah yes, the popular “nominated for Best Cinematography” box office bump. Consistent as gravity.
  16. Some people are in for a really nasty shock when DUNE doesn’t even sniff a Best Picture nod.
  17. I mean they opened to nearly identical 3-days and BATMAN BEGINS is going to more than double DUNE domestically but, um, sure
  18. DUNE’s drop next weekend is going to be so nasty that I don’t think - with HBO Max already hobbling legs - it’ll have the juice to get to $100M.
  19. I've seen this a couple of times and love it. There was a point in the third act where I worried it was about to go off the deep end but I thought it recovered spectacularly. It's weird to "feel good" walking out of a movie that's dealing with as much dark material as Soho is, but it's one of those films that gives me a real charge from just how good it is in so many facets.
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