RealLyre
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Everything posted by RealLyre
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possible if the 8.8 rating sticks, but it'll be closer to 150M imo. -
I know you're joking but Detective Pikachu won't even be the number 1 movie on its opening weekend, it'll fall under EG's 3rd weekend.
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89M
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200M domestic and 450M worldwide would be a huge breakout for Detective Pikachu imo
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also helps that China's population 4x times that of the US, yet the US still hold the record for highest grossing movie in a single market
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Captain Marvel 2nd weekend drop will be 61%-65% imo so expect a 54M-58M weekend from a 150M OW. if it's as front-loaded as I think it will be.
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chance it could finish under AoU's opening of $155M (I know it wasn't a 3-Day opening but still).
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that wouldn't be a good Sunday hold.. legs might be as bad as BP, so 140M-150M total from an 87M OW is the target.
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it came out on Wednesday in a lot of countries
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‘Captain Marvel’ Zooms To $127M Through Friday, Eyes $280M-$300M+ Offshore Bow – https://deadline.com/2019/03/captain-marvel-opening-weekend-china-global-international-box-office-1202571318/ deadline is using your numbers aren't they
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good Saturday hold 61.3M Fri 52M Sat -15.6% 36.4M Sun -30% total 150M~ aprox
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125M for CM on Sat/Sun Overseas including China? or without
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for comparison BP made 81.5M overseas through Friday (though without China)
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ah so even if it drops say -30% on Sun it'll still manage 613M/91M OW
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so Captain Marvel will only increase +3.5%-4.6% on Sat over True Friday, is that normal for movies in China? I think it should be higher..
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is there a website or somewhere to check daily grosses for all movies in China Box Office? box office mojo only has weekends gross..
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TOMATOMETER 100% All Critics | Top Critics Average Rating: 8.33/10 Reviews Count: 5 Fresh: 5 Rotten: 0 starting with 100% on RT from 5 reviews, I know it's still early but looks like Peele has another Get Out hit critically
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everytime I check the spreadsheet here the projection is a few millions less
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I thought Jim has a huge fanbase as well yet Alita only got A-, so the real score should be B+?
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the A cinemascore and the reactions from most people who saw it (myself included) seem to disagree
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if Captain Marvel opens bigger than 148M (JW2, which it will, probably) it'll be the biggest opening weekend for a live action movie since Avengers Infinity War! Marvel Studios and Kevin Feige are on a roll
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Guardians 2 flashbacks CM can still do a billion since OS is way stronger
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not saying it's awful, it's a fantastic opening for a new character. I just hope it opens higher than 150M, cus if it dips below 150M that would confirm that it is indeed more frontloaded than usual MCU solos and would 100% kill 400M DOM.
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Thursday previews share of OD is 33.9%. more than CW 33.1% and BP 33.2%
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So even with optimistic Sat and Sun drops I don't see how CM would get 160M OW using Charlie's and deadline's Friday. 61.75 Fri 55.575 Sat -10% 40.57 Sun -27% 157.8M total but I think it'll be a bit more frontloaded than that and do 61.75 Fri 51.8 Sat -16% 37.3 Sun -28% 150.8M total. really hope it doesn't go below 150M
