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Belle

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About Belle

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  1. I want to give my two cents. It looks generic. Main Character with military background, LA setting action scenes with lots of cgi, alien invasion, fish out of water/forgotten memory (well looks like she has amnesia) tropes, all been done to death. I'm still gonna watch but its gonna need more then just "omg she's a female" to get to 400M plus domestically, because Thor Ragnarok, Guardians 2, Spiderman Homecoming, Winter Soldier, etc all couldn't do it. I also don't understand the Women's Day/feminism arguments. I don't see how Captain Marvel will a GIANT movement like BP was because I don't think Captain Marvel will be this celebration of womanhood and women empowerment and working together like how Black Panther celebrated African people and African culture and showed the cultural divide between African Americans and Africans. Sure Black Panther's Shakespeare inspired family drama story didn't feel very original, but you know the reasons I just stated. You can't just suddenly make Black Panther and all his supporting cast European and set it in Europe and it would still feel the same, While Carol from everything we've seen just looks like any other superhero movie but just with a female lead. Personally I think 300-400M is possible with a chance at going higher maybe even Shrek 2 numbers but any higher then that? It will need to REALLY stand out. I personally am predicting a Ragnarok/Deadpool 1 level opening (120-135).
  2. Oh please, people like "wokeness" and "feminism" when its done right and in your face. As someone whose both a girl and not entirely of European descent, I and I bet many others do not like for people saying "Death to all Europeans and Men" and "Yes all women should be above men" and rubbing it in every chance you get on screen, which is the "wokeness" and "feminism" that I assume you're thinking. That said, WIT failed because it just wasn't good and the marketing didn't help. Captain Marvel will do fine because it has the MCU brand backing it and it should be at least a decent popcorn flick.
  3. Well for starters I2 made around 9M more on its first Monday then JW2. 14.5% is insane itself when many other films drop after making that much on their first Monday.
  4. I don't know why some were so sure it would be sub 100M when this movie isn't the type that is presale heavy. I'm still out lol.
  5. That 15M in previews means its 2-3M above initial estimates iirc and just a little below its predecessor. I still don't know why some were so sure in saying it would have a sub 100M opening weekend, But we'll see I guess. This movie will likely have a lot more walk-ups though.
  6. I agree. Even if dom takes a big hit, Overseas numbers are pretty good, considering the different release dates due to WC and it will surely make up for the domestic drop. In order to fail to reach 1B, it would need to drop 40-41%. If my math is correct, Force Awakens -Last Jedi dropped 35-36%, but unlike Star Wars, JW is likely to see an increase in China so the drop off shouldn't be too extreme.
  7. I'm betting on a sub 85-95M second weekend for I2, and 100M+ for JW2 so out.
  8. I guess I was quick to judge. But we'll see.
  9. Those numbers were very outlandish. It would need a multiplier greater then 3.5x. And only one film that opened past 150M has ever gotten that. Force Awakens but that's only because of the way Holidays work. Even Black Panther with all the love and cultural zeitgeist it has going for it and 5 weeks of no competition and an Infinity War boost didn't receive a 3.5x multi nor Dark Knight despite all the praise it got.
  10. Tickets these days cost so much more these days, iirc they said last year ticket sales were down but in terms of money it was as much or bigger iirc, You have 3D, imax, Imax 3D, special seats, whatever other gimmick there is. And the overseas markets have grown so much in recent years. The numbers will always get bigger and these box office records have as much weight as any other record. 2B also isn't the new billion yet because unless you're Avatar you still need a big performance both domestically and overseas. That said, as already mentioned in an age of internet, expensive tickets and franchises, this trend of big numbers makes sense as large groups of people are probably only gonna go see one or two big movies per year and then pirate or not give two craps about everything else. Nostalgia helps too. Many movie that have made near or past 500M domestic since 2015 have been based on IPs that many people want to see due to nostalgia and cross-generational appeal (Jurassic World, Finding Dory, Rogue One, Beauty and the Beast, Force Awakens, and Incredibles 2 once it gets past that mark).
  11. I agree. In the 2000s I know we had Batman/Spiderman but Harry Potter, Twilight, Shrek, Pirates were doing pretty well. If superhero movies in theory were to be a fad like vampires around the time of Twilight, we'll just move on to the next genre. Yes Superheroes movies are successful but there are thousands of movies released every year and many smaller-mid size successes every year. Last year the top 5 movies worldwide weren't superhero movies for example. Anyways, I wouldn't be surprised if I2 drops over 50% this weekend. Not because of Jurassic World 2, but because these numbers are HUGE. A 24M Monday (if it follows say Jurassic World's projections it should make around 83M from weekdays) and 183M ow for 7 day total of around 265M? That's a lot to burn through in one week.
  12. This run is the movie I'm looking forward to the most this year. An animated, Family-Rated movie opening this high but also had an A+ Cinemascore and very good reviews? I think it has a shot of finishing at around 600M but I'll be cautious of betting it to go higher then that.
  13. So Incredibles is likely getting 600M domestic right? It needs a 3.28x and given the reviews and word of mouth plus summer weekdays chances seem very high.
  14. If they nail the special effects for the underwater scenes the Little Mermaid could do bonkers worldwide. Though Avatar 2 I believe is rumored to be doing underwater scenes (?) Idk don't quote me on that. Not so sure about Mulan though. Appears that many of the elements of the original are being shifted around and the lead actress well I've seen some of her films and eh. But hey I could be wrong.
  15. Holy shit. Now I'm now much more confident that Lion King will likely beat 200M+ opening but I'm still iffy on if it can beat say Force Awakens opening weekend record. That said, I'm ready for this run. A family animated flick opening this high? We haven't had that since last years Beauty and the Beast remake but that didn't summer weekdays or as strong a reception.
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