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Everything posted by jedijake

  1. What are countries doing that is more than flatting the curve? What do you suggest that the 3rd most populated country in the world do if not to flatten the curve? We can't shut down businesses forever (or even a few months) before millions will be on the streets due to a lack of funds to buy housing or food.
  2. Texas high schools are going to move their graduations back to the original dates due to "new data". That is the last week of May/first few days of June. Their excuse is that they are able to have them take place outside, as if that is some sort of consolation. Good God!
  3. Well said. Ironically, TROS has played more like Age of Ultron, Iron Man 3, and Civil War. However, none of those 3 had a damaging effect on the franchise. They were, however, holdovers until the "big event" which was the Thanos war. TROS doesn't have that and there's nothing that the SW franchise is leading up to.
  4. I do, very much. Marvel is of course a wild card because of new properties and BP2. But I cannot fathom an Avatar or especially a SW movie making $600 million. SW likely won't touch $500 million domestic and $400 million is a long shot. We're talking domestic, not WW.
  5. JJ was also an executive producer for TLJ and said he wished he had been able to direct the script that RJ came up with. He takes some or much of the blame for TLJ as well.
  6. If they target $200-$300 million box office hits with a lower budget, then they may be okay. The ONLY scheduled Marvel film with the chance of hitting $1 billion WW and/or $500 million domestic is Black Panther 2. Strange and Thor won't do it. GOTG3 won't do it (that ship has sailed). Eternals and Shang-Chi are complete wildcards but there's no reason to project them coming close. And Black Widow? Can anyone say "Solo"? I'd go out on a limb and say that absolutely NO film has a chance of $600 million domestic in the next 10 years perhaps. That includes any Avatar movie. TROS was the last chance and they blew it.
  7. I've had a really hard time sitting through a single episode of Manalorian, to be honest. And that's from someone who actually really liked TROS. Btw, remember when everyone thought Aladdin was destined to absolutely bomb on all fronts? And now it will end up higher than TROS WW. smh
  8. The key is for LFL/Disney to actually make a movie that fans and audiences WANT to see. So they need to decide which of those 40,000,000 different ideas they should go with.
  9. TROS will have very similar legs to TLJ in the long run. That $23-$24 million is absolutely dreadful (again). Concern trolling? Are we going to continue to accuse people of this any more? With these drops, a 3.0X is unlikely. 2.80-2.90X seems more likely. So between between $505-$515 million domestic. Could TROS actually make less than BatB'17 domestic?
  10. This. Video games are NOT the way to go. Use something people already like.
  11. I think the indication is that instead of trying to bank on merchandise, Disney seemed to scale back production in order to avoid loss. Maybe they were seeing how things would pan out and then increase production if need be (like they did for the first Frozen movie). Instead-they are rushing to make baby yoda dolls lol. Truth is that no matter how TROS ends up doing, it's more in lines with POTC and Hunger Games than Potter, LOTR, or Marvel with respect to where it's ending up. And unlike certain franchises (POTC and Transformers for example) the overseas numbers aren't there to support it if it indeed does sink too far down. Btw, any updates on today's numbers? I still find it almost impossible to believe in $25 million.
  12. Pretty bad. The lack of SW merch at most major retailers this year has been alarming compared to the past 3 years. Marvel, WWE, DC, Jurassic Park, and others have decent sized sections whereas SW sections have been shrinking to almost nothing. The new movie caused absolutely no spike in sections at stores. That was the first thing that told me "hmmm....Disney must know something we don't but aren't willing to say". I thought maybe it was just near me but that is what I have been hearing from people all over. When Frozen 2 had separate sections at stores for the movie back in October and in early December you could hardly find TROS things, something was going on.
  13. What other sources of revenue have the Disney movies generated besides box office? Blu Ray sales? Because it certainly isn't merchandising.
  14. I can't see TROS having a similar second weekend as TLJ. I'm still counting on at least $30 million today and between $30-$35 million tomorrow.
  15. Walk ups should be pretty good all around today. Further away from Christmas, people don't have the need to pre-buy tickets days before. I hope that TROS can get to at least $30 million again today. After dropping slightly yesterday, I don't see that as much of a problem. And maybe flat or increased tomorrow.
  16. That would be a very small weekend number if true. I think they have their numbers mixed up.
  17. That's pre-walk ups yah? I can't see TROS dropping 14.5% when both Hobbit 2 and TFA saw 13-14% gains. From all the big movies I've seen, none have dropped close to 14% the day after christmas.
  18. Hoping it would have been closer to $34 million for TROS. Oh well, we'll see what today brings.
  19. So if it sinks a little tomorrow, should we expect a spike again for Friday and Saturday?
  20. December 26 is an iffy day. Most big blockbusters increased from Christmas to the 26th with a few exceptions of smaller hits. Notable increases include Two Towers (+24%), Hobbit2 (+13%), Hobbit3 (+18.9%), Force Awakens (+14%), Rogue One (+24%), Night at Museum (+14%), Sherlock: Game of Shadows (+12.6%), Avatar (22%), King Kong (+35%), ROTK (+37%). Hobbit 1 and TLJ only increased about 1-1.5% (still flat). Last year's movies all seemed to fall a bit on the 26th. For whatever reason, Jumanji WTTJ fell around 11% on the 26th in 2017. So if we were going with the vase majority, TROS has a good chance of at least staying nearly flat or increasing a little bit. The later in the week, the better movies seemed to increase on the 26th. I'd expect a sizable increase for Frozen 2 tomorrow if it indeed stayed flat today.
  21. $35 million Christmas and $100 million 2nd weekend would put $600 million barely in play. It would be absolute minimum $580 million. Those are massive numbers. By January 5, based on the other 3 December SW films, TROS will have made between 84-86% of its total.
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