jedijake

I would add one bit of essential advice to this to make it applicable to today. RUN, actually SPRING to streaming and FAR away from theaters as possible. Don't look back. Keep focused on streaming and pretend that theaters do not exist. Do that and there's a remote shot rather than 0% shot. It becomes reality and not satire, but one with a slight chance of being made.

One could insert a different movie between TFA and TROS and could actually make TROS MUCH better than it was.

TLJ would have been a great sequel to a completely different movie than TFA. Likewise, TROS was a sequel to something completely different from TLJ. So, TLJ and TROS were both sequels of movies we never saw. And TFA was a prequel to movies we never GOT to see. That's how I summarize the trilogy.

The Flash less than Lightyear domestically???

Anything close to $200 million domestic feels like a win for this one.

Just curious (because I have no idea), what changes are on the horizon?

With regards to TLM's domestic run, it feels like it will have lost a weekend. Going from $23 million to $10 million feels like it skipped a weekend worth about $14 million nestled in there. That could end up costing it about $25-$30 million, thus possibly keeping it from $300 million (although I think they'll keep it around long enough to just make that number). It was a REALLY weird weekend for all movies last weekend.

The Japanese woman said she loved the movie but did so by filling her review with racist comments? I'm confused.

Well, the latter is the case with all movies. That doesn't explain it.

Probably an unpopular opinion here, but I am going to say Harry Potter Deathly Hallows Part 2. The movie had the biggest opening weekend at the time and had $43 million MIDNIGHT previews (forget about the 3pm ones we have today). The film got a 96% on RT and had great WOM. It was THE event a generation had been waiting for. But it seems like everyone who ever wanted to see it did so in the first weekend only. The movie was tailor made for repeat viewings but dropped an inexcusable 72% in its second weekend. And it ended up with a 2.25x multiplier, far below the others. Still, to this day, the movie is loved and is seen as one of the best finales of a major series. It should easily have crossed $400 million domestic, probably closer to $450 million.

So.....was keeping Ezra Miller the reason for this debacle????

Wow! The Flash! Wow! What the HELL happened???

Well they need to friggin' get going with a Pac Man movie ASAP!!! Live action preferably!!!

What is "PTA"?

Which is interesting because if TLM drops by the same amount today, it will actually be less than Monday's number. But we can't determine what the overall box office will be just from one "bad" Tuesday bump.

Ouch that is a far cry from Aladdin. It increased half as much as Aladdin did for the same day. That seems troublesome.

I'm not so sure, actually, about The Marvels hitting $250 million. I'd say Aquaman has a much better shot because of the holiday release. But as we've seen, early November releases don't get spectacular multipliers.

Super Mario was a sort of fun movie but DANG the plot was rather juvenile and overly simplistic and formulaic. But it goes to show that people are more likely to cling to simpler plots in movies that are fun I guess.

IF we really want to be technical: Aladdin dropped 65.78% TLM dropped 65.56% So TLM had a better hold😋

Since there's no way to say that based on anything we saw. Monday's number was identical to Aladdin's second Monday. So there's no indication that TLM won't match Aladdin's Tuesday, Wednesday, and any other day.

TLM is pretty much identical to Aladdin's drop. How does that at all warrant all the doom and gloom? Suddenly because the drop is off by about 0.1-0.2% it is going to miss $300 million? LOL-that's funny stuff!

What specifically does TLM need to break even? I read that production was $250m and global marketing was $140 m. So wouldn't $400 million do the trick? Or is there another cost I am not factoring?

TLM doesn't have to match Aladdin's domestic in order to qualify for "good legs". Aladdin's legs were exceptional. TLM's predictions have been a yo-yo. Pre-release, the previews were looking golden. Then they were only ok. Then the total Friday looked great. But then Saturday was meh. The mid week numbers were looking like amazing legs. Then this past weekend was seen by some as being only "ok". Then, when taking into consideration that ATSV made $120 m, the weekend looked good. Up, down, round, and round. Btw @Bob TrainRise of Gru is looking like a pretty great comparison! However, something that seems to be affecting any Disney release is the now-ingrained mindset that it will be out on D+ in 3 months. With movies not attached to a studio that has a streaming service, the home availability is less certain and unknown.

I think that Beyond the Spiderverse could do Mario numbers next year. The hype seems to be there and BTSV could be the Engame to ATSV's Infinity War. Of course, there's a HIGH probability that it won't be the #1 movie next year due to a little project known as Avatar 3.

Incredibles 2 opened SO high that its multiplier was slightly muted from what it would otherwise have been. It had a 3.35 multiplier (which is outstanding for a movie that opened over $180 m). I remember the same question came up for that one since it seemed to open like an Avengers movie at the time.