jedijake

Wow, some critics are devious little $h!++s. They've pulled down the ratings from 73% to 67% which tells me that some of them wanted to wait until just as the movie is released to dump on it. One critic who gave it a rotten score stated that the movie was made for little girls who liked mermaids and not for him. Well, dude, maybe you should have critiqued it based on what the movie IS and not what YOU want it to be. That's my take anyway. They have their opinions. I have my opinions about their opinions.

I would say that TLM is the crux and apex of the live action remakes. Sure, Zegler may be a draw for Snow White, but SW doesn't scream NOSTALGIA since it was made in 1939. Nobody wants to see a shot by shot remake of it. Lilo and Stitch will be fun and games. I'd say that all the griping and moaning about remakes lives and dies with TLM and most others, especially after SW, will just float away in the wind. It always seemed to be about some of legendary movies (which are better left for D+) and the renaissance films, of which there were really 4 or 5 that truly lasted in people's minds as classics. One of those was remade without being a musical and never got its shot in the theaters (Mulan). The others will always be the focal point of the "controversy" because their animated counterparts were all legendary and their live action remakes will all have been super successful (BatB, TLK, Aladdin, and TLM). Disney won't generate a billion dollar remake ever again after TLM.

It's very useful. It helps to see whether audiences will agree or offset critic scores. If both are bad, the movie will likely not succeed. If the critic scores are really good, but the audience scores are not, we can possibly look at a decent OW but then see poor legs. If the critic score is really bad but audience scores are good, it means that a movie could have a slow burn and better legs. Plus, the audience score usually indicates what the cinemascore will likely be.

Yeah looking back I suppose you are right. I guess the question is why did comps keep going down and will the audience reaction give it at least a 10X IM.

How did tracking get this so wrong? For a while, $12-$13 million looked solid.

Well, based on the audience score right now, a low overseas total says more about "them" than the movie I'd say. With all that has been said, I am more curious about the response from Europe and Australia than Asia because, well, there was nothing anyone could do about the response from Asian nations. As for domestic, this is going to make more than Aladdin. Possibly quite a bit more. Do people foresee an Aladdin situation where the true Friday-Monday stays pretty even and flat?

And a vast majority are 5 stars from verified audiences.

As long as they can be translated.

I wonder if some critics purposely waited until just before or right around release to drop their reviews. It's gone down a bit while the verified audience is still at 92% with over 100 reviews. Still early though. @KonI think it was after Captain Marvel.

I've never looked into how audience scores work. With critics, there are actual scores. Are there a number of stars needed for an audience review to be positive? Or does it count the total number of stars given out of the total number possible (5 per review)?

92% now, Audience scores still in the infancy stage though.

$11 m seems to low.

What movie?

WT actual F?????😵

Sounds like we should completely disregard review sites from other countries as they don't seem to have anything in place to separate verified from general.

Are all the audience scores so far only foreign?

A lot of obsessing over The Flash when we have TLM coming out tomorrow.

That makes me very disappointed in South Korea if true. China-I have no idea what to think, but I expect better from SK. As for comparing the live actions to animated, I'd say this. ALL the live actions are better live action movies than the animated movies. Likewise, ALL the animated movies are better animated movies than the live action movies.🥴

Worse than what we've seen here in the US with "those" groups?

In ALL Asian nations? I've given up on trying to figure out China, but what agenda would Japan and South Korea have against it?

So $120 million 3-day and over $140-150 million 4-day is on the table?

How do you come to those numbers?

That would be in the Sonic 2 (post pan) and BatB (pre pan ) range. That would be pretty good.

But isn't TLM prime for walk-ups? Plus, we have to factor in that Monday is a holiday for all schools, thus amplifying Sunday's numbers. Both Aladdin (pre-pandemic) and TGM (post pandemic) dropped less than 5% from Saturday to Sunday over Mem. weeknd. (but yeah, TGM's multi was muted)

For TLM, are we expecting a weekend multiplier (3-Day) from previews to be in the range of movies like Sonic 2/Beauty and the Beast/Aladdin (11-13X) or more like JWD/AvatarWOW/Lion King (around 8X)? My personal guess would be in between at around 9-10X range.